National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Denver +10.9, San Diego -12.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPISunday
DenverWSan Diego 35-2116-1-0.8578286.1%+10.98.7%+1.6361711510643221100003.3+1.131Denver Broncos
Indianapolis15-2-0.7148083.0+0.17.1-0.0131820282233332210004.1-0.014at PittsburghIndianapolis Colts
Dallas16-1-0.8574982.7+0.07.8-0.0281581201074321100004.07Dallas Cowboys
Arizona25-1-0.8332175.5-0.07.2-0.021191548875432211004.33PhiladelphiaArizona Cardinals
Philadelphia25-1-0.8335173.06.6-0.0201392181186432211004.85at ArizonaPhiladelphia Eagles
Detroit15-2-0.7143569.3+0.06.1+0.01316145111187543211005.113at AtlantaDetroit Lions
New England15-2-0.7143367.9+0.16.0141414118776643211005.115ChicagoNew England Patriots
Green Bay15-2-0.7145263.2+0.05.4-0.0914155101197653321105.610at New OrleansGreen Bay Packers
Baltimore15-2-0.7148963.0+0.25.3-0.091313118976664321105.7-0.0111at CincinnatiBaltimore Ravens
Carolina13-3-1.500-3752.8+0.03.6-0.0149360123566665437.416SeattleCarolina Panthers
San DiegoLDenver 21-355-3-0.6255652.5-12.94.0-1.6754220141110865421006.6-1.1814San Diego Chargers
San Francisco14-3-0.571-741.0-0.03.2-0.0467310111110976543217.52San Francisco 49ers
Cincinnati23-2-1.583-640.4+0.33.2+0.05764910109887653217.6+0.018BaltimoreCincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh14-3-0.571-839.1+0.33.1+0.0466310101110987653107.6+0.0119IndianapolisPittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo14-3-0.571-739.1+0.13.0+0.0358106777898764317.9+0.0117at NY JetsBuffalo Bills
Kansas City23-3-0.5002132.0+0.42.4-0.033321110109998765328.5-0.016St. LouisKansas City Chiefs
Miami23-3-0.500931.0+0.12.4+0.034575688999876428.6+0.0118at JacksonvilleMiami Dolphins
Seattle23-3-0.5001829.8+0.02.3+0.02562691010988765428.5+0.019at CarolinaSeattle Seahawks
New Orleans22-4-0.333-1025.8-0.01.7-0.0014180234679910109710.027Green BayNew Orleans Saints
Cleveland23-3-0.500125.8+0.22.0+0.024436889999986429.0+0.0123OaklandCleveland Browns
Houston13-4-0.429523.1+0.21.7+0.0124646689991098639.6+0.0120at TennesseeHouston Texans
Chicago13-4-0.429-1421.2-0.01.6+0.01331581010999877649.521at New EnglandChicago Bears
Atlanta12-5-0.286-2818.8+0.01.201314012357891112121211.130DetroitAtlanta Falcons
NY Giants13-4-0.429-1514.9-0.01.0-0.00110578910101010987410.212New York Giants
St. Louis22-4-0.333-4711.9-0.00.8+0.00132245789910101010811.022at Kansas CitySt. Louis Rams
Tennessee12-5-0.286-5110.4+0.10.7+0.001142345681011131312811.5+0.0124HoustonTennessee Titans
Tampa Bay21-5-0.167-848.4-0.00.50016011235681012172712.831MinnesotaTampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota12-5-0.286-406.7+0.00.5+0.001102366789101111121311.725at Tampa BayMinnesota Vikings
Washington12-5-0.286-325.0+0.00.3+0.000101235678101113151812.426Washington Redskins
NY Jets11-6-0.143-642.9+0.00.2+0.00001012335791318201813.128BuffaloNew York Jets
Jacksonville11-6-0.143-862.7-0.00.20001011234681217222113.429MiamiJacksonville Jaguars
Oakland20-6-0.000-661.0+0.00.1+0.0000000112245813214214.432at ClevelandOakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/23
Denver 35 San Diego 21
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+10.9
+1.6
Indianapolis+0.1
New England+0.1
Baltimore+0.2
San Diego-12.9
-1.6
Cincinnati+0.3
Pittsburgh+0.3
Buffalo+0.1
Kansas City+0.4
Miami+0.1
Cleveland+0.2
Houston+0.2
Tennessee+0.1
New Orleans vs Green BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit70.768.468.0
6.3*6.45.9
Green Bay52.267.274.3
4.15.96.6
Carolina49.1*52.556.5
3.4*3.43.8
New Orleans34.2*25.517.5
2.3*1.71.1
Atlanta17.317.220.2
1.2*1.21.3
Carolina vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina63.051.742.6
4.5*3.62.8
Seattle20.828.538.7
1.5*2.13.1
New Orleans22.426.929.2
1.5*1.71.9
Atlanta15.721.021.9
1.01.51.4
Tampa Bay7.07.39.8
0.5*0.50.6
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit70.6*69.468.1
6.2*6.16.0
New England76.770.859.1
7.06.54.9
Buffalo36.6*38.441.5
2.8*3.13.2
Miami29.129.432.9
2.2*2.22.5
Chicago14.116.928.2
1.01.22.1
Atlanta vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit59.366.679.4
4.9*5.87.3
Green Bay65.1*63.661.4
5.6*5.05.1
Carolina50.251.155.4
3.5*3.63.8
New Orleans24.027.327.6
1.6*1.71.8
Atlanta25.817.511.8
1.7*1.10.7
Pittsburgh vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis75.980.490.0
5.9*7.08.3
Baltimore61.7*62.364.4
Cincinnati39.0*40.541.7
3.2*3.13.3
Pittsburgh50.8*38.327.4
4.2*3.01.9
Houston24.325.021.9
1.8*1.91.6
Kansas City vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego50.753.654.3
3.9*4.24.2
Kansas City41.028.223.0
3.12.11.7
St. Louis7.210.816.6
0.5*0.81.2
Cincinnati vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore49.866.576.3
3.9*5.66.8
Cincinnati53.039.527.8
4.4*3.02.0
Arizona vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona84.876.966.1
8.5*7.15.9
Philadelphia62.575.683.5
5.3*6.77.9
NY Jets vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England70.0*68.665.9
6.2*5.95.8
Buffalo27.740.850.4
2.0*3.03.9
Miami32.7*31.329.3
2.5*2.32.2
NY Jets5.11.50.7
0.30.10.0
Tennessee vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis84.181.281.9
7.2*7.27.1
Houston13.122.133.1
0.9*1.52.4
Tennessee16.77.94.1
1.10.50.3
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England69.669.466.2
6.1*5.85.8
Miami21.729.740.3
1.6*2.23.2
Jacksonville4.21.91.1
0.3*0.10.1
Cleveland vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland34.626.716.9
2.7*2.01.2
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas90.885.674.6
9.08.36.7
Washington1.4*4.98.5
0.1*0.30.6
Tampa Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina51.0*53.654.6
3.5*3.73.8
Tampa Bay12.4*8.04.4
0.8*0.60.3
Minnesota3.04.810.4
0.20.30.7
Week of 10/30
Miami vs San DiegoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England66.869.869.0
5.96.46.0
San Diego38.7*53.266.3
2.8*4.05.2
Kansas City33.029.931.1
2.5*2.32.3
Miami41.829.720.2
3.3*2.21.5
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore49.067.577.0
3.85.96.8
Pittsburgh54.036.924.3
4.42.71.7
Houston vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis80.581.085.5
7.0*6.97.3
Philadelphia65.175.480.9
5.6*6.77.6
Houston30.5*22.515.8
2.2*1.61.1
Carolina vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina67.0*53.338.6
4.7*3.72.5
New Orleans13.5*25.238.1
0.9*1.62.6
Atlanta17.220.220.4
1.1*1.31.3
San Francisco vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco54.339.727.8
4.3*3.22.0
St. Louis4.89.519.1
0.30.61.4
New England vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver79.287.192.9
7.4*8.710.0
New England78.870.757.0
7.4*6.24.5
Buffalo37.1*38.341.1
2.8*3.03.1
Miami29.530.032.5
2.3*2.22.5
NY Giants vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis76.879.789.2
6.26.68.1
Houston25.024.921.2
1.81.91.5
NY Giants20.815.79.0
1.5*1.10.6
Tennessee11.7*10.99.1
0.8*0.70.6
Cleveland vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore61.8*62.664.3
5.2*5.35.4
Carolina54.654.150.9
3.8*3.63.5
Cincinnati39.1*40.641.7
3.1*3.23.3
Pittsburgh37.840.040.4
3.0*3.13.2
Cleveland33.627.517.9
2.6*2.01.3
Tampa Bay4.6*8.212.1
0.3*0.60.8
Cincinnati vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore61.261.864.9
5.24.95.5
Cincinnati51.3*41.129.5
4.3*3.22.2
Pittsburgh37.537.840.7
3.0*2.93.2
Jacksonville1.02.04.4
0.1*0.10.3
Kansas City vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego50.854.254.2
3.9*4.24.2
Kansas City42.327.821.8
3.22.11.6
NY Jets1.01.54.7
0.10.10.3
Dallas vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas91.085.974.4
9.1*8.26.6
Arizona66.577.084.4
5.9*7.48.5
Seattle vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle37.428.022.1
3.0*2.11.6
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota10.54.83.0
0.70.30.2
Washington2.04.57.9
0.1*0.30.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.