National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Detroit +12.2, Washington -12.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
ArizonaWSan Francisco 23-143-0-01.0002165.9%+11.56.1%+1.3181310710866544322115.4+1.163Arizona Cardinals
CincinnatiWTennessee 33-73-0-01.0004765.6+9.66.1+1.120128512976543322115.4+1.032Cincinnati Bengals
PhiladelphiaWWashington 37-343-0-01.0002364.0+9.55.8+1.117121189765554332215.7+1.0215Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta2-1-0.6673152.1+0.64.4+0.19910126666665544326.9+0.0412Atlanta Falcons
CarolinaLPittsburgh 19-372-1-0.667551.2-8.94.3-1.0999107776665544326.9-0.8816Carolina Panthers
HoustonLNY Giants 17-302-1-0.6671451.0-6.64.3-0.891011125556665554437.0-0.7221Houston Texans
DenverLSeattle 20-262-1-0.667850.8-8.94.4-0.910101087777665544326.9-0.8412Denver Broncos
DetroitWGreen Bay 19-72-1-0.6671649.0+12.24.1+1.18910116666666554437.2+1.309Detroit Lions
San DiegoWBuffalo 22-102-1-0.6672048.6+10.64.2+1.199987666666554437.2+1.251San Diego Chargers
BuffaloLSan Diego 10-222-1-0.6671045.7-9.93.9-1.189986766766655437.5-1.037Buffalo Bills
BaltimoreWCleveland 23-212-1-0.6671545.1+10.03.7+0.98654121098766554327.5+1.104Baltimore Ravens
SeattleWDenver 26-202-1-0.6671744.6+7.93.7+0.7876410987766554437.5+0.825Seattle Seahawks
New EnglandWOakland 16-92-1-0.6671744.0+10.83.7+1.088768877766655437.6+1.2925New England Patriots
DallasWSt. Louis 34-312-1-0.667843.4+8.33.6+0.877759877766655437.7+1.0519Dallas Cowboys
PittsburghWCarolina 37-192-1-0.667142.8+7.73.6+0.7865411987766655437.8+0.846Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago11-1-0.500539.0+0.53.2+0.067776677666666558.2+0.0114at NY JetsChicago Bears
NY Jets11-1-0.500-237.6+0.63.2+0.167657787776666548.3+0.0830ChicagoNew York Jets
IndianapolisWJacksonville 44-171-2-0.3331733.1+11.12.6+0.9357113456677778879.1+1.3620Indianapolis Colts
TennesseeLCincinnati 7-331-2-0.333-2631.5-7.92.4-0.835784556677778879.2-1.0010Tennessee Titans
MinnesotaLNew Orleans 9-201-2-0.333-628.9-9.62.3-0.934564566777778889.4-1.1827Minnesota Vikings
New OrleansWMinnesota 20-91-2-0.333628.0+7.72.2+0.634555677777778879.4+1.1226New Orleans Saints
Kansas CityWMiami 34-151-2-0.333-426.9+7.52.1+0.634564566777888889.6+1.1622Kansas City Chiefs
MiamiLKansas City 15-341-2-0.333-2525.8-9.12.0-0.834445667777888889.7-1.0823Miami Dolphins
Green BayLDetroit 7-191-2-0.333-2525.5-10.72.0-1.0245645566778899109.9-1.2717Green Bay Packers
St. LouisLDallas 31-341-2-0.333-2924.7-10.31.9-0.923445667778888989.8-1.2230St. Louis Rams
NY GiantsWHouston 30-171-2-0.333-1924.3+4.81.9+0.4234555567778899910.0+0.758New York Giants
San FranciscoLArizona 14-231-2-0.333-624.2-11.21.8-1.023336677778888889.9-1.2910San Francisco 49ers
WashingtonLPhiladelphia 34-371-2-0.3331723.8-12.41.8-1.133336677777888999.9-1.3724Washington Redskins
ClevelandLBaltimore 21-231-2-0.333-321.8-11.41.7-1.0232267777778899910.1-1.2718Cleveland Browns
JacksonvilleLIndianapolis 17-440-3-0.000-7516.1-7.01.2-0.6123423455678910121711.3-1.0528Jacksonville Jaguars
OaklandLNew England 9-160-3-0.000-2813.6-7.01.0-0.6113512345678911142011.8-1.1332Oakland Raiders
Tampa Bay0-3-0.000-5011.3+0.10.8+0.0112323345678911142112.0-0.0429Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/18
Seattle 26 Denver 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-1.3
-0.2
Denver-7.8
-0.9
San Diego+1.7
+0.2
Seattle+7.5
+0.7
Kansas City+1.3
St. Louis-0.8
San Francisco-0.9
Oakland+0.9
Carolina 19 Pittsburgh 37
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati-1.1
Atlanta+1.9
+0.2
Carolina-7.7
-0.9
Baltimore-1.1
Pittsburgh+7.6
+0.7
New Orleans+1.2
Cleveland-0.9
Tampa Bay+0.7
NY Giants 30 Houston 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia-1.0
Houston-7.7
-0.8
Dallas-0.8
Indianapolis+1.3
Tennessee+1.5
NY Giants+5.6
+0.5
Washington-0.8
Jacksonville+1.2
Buffalo 10 San Diego 22
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-1.2
San Diego+9.2
+0.9
Buffalo-9.8
-1.1
New England+0.8
NY Jets+0.8
Miami+0.9
Oakland-0.8
Cincinnati 33 Tennessee 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+9.8
+1.1
Houston+1.2
Baltimore-0.8
Pittsburgh-0.8
Indianapolis+0.7
Tennessee-9.5
-0.9
Cleveland-0.8
St. Louis 31 Dallas 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+0.7
Philadelphia-1.0
Dallas+9.2
+0.9
St. Louis-9.4
-0.9
Washington-0.7
Arizona 23 San Francisco 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+11.6
+1.3
San Francisco-11.3
-1.1
Philadelphia 37 Washington 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia+11.4
+1.2
Washington-10.9
-1.1
Detroit 19 Green Bay 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+11.3
+1.0
Green Bay-11.1
-1.0
Cleveland 21 Baltimore 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+11.0
+1.0
Cleveland-10.6
-0.9
Atlanta 56 Tampa Bay 14
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta+11.1
+1.0
Carolina-0.7
Tampa Bay-8.4
-0.7
New Orleans 20 Minnesota 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina-0.7
Detroit+0.8
Chicago+0.8
Minnesota-9.2
-0.9
New Orleans+7.0
+0.6
Green Bay+1.0
New England 16 Oakland 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.9
San Diego+0.6
Buffalo-1.0
New England+8.9
+0.8
NY Jets-0.8
Miami-0.7
Oakland-6.8
-0.6
Miami 15 Kansas City 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego-0.6
Buffalo+0.9
New England+0.9
NY Jets+0.7
Kansas City+6.9
+0.6
Miami-9.4
-0.9
Jacksonville 17 Indianapolis 44
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.1
Indianapolis+8.2
+0.7
Jacksonville-8.4
-0.7
NY Jets vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago31.437.246.5
2.5*3.23.9
NY Jets45.135.730.2
3.9*2.92.4
Week of 9/25
Baltimore vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina43.048.559.4
3.53.65.2
Baltimore53.5*44.236.6
4.5*3.72.9
NY Jets vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit40.8*48.057.1
3.3*3.94.9
NY Jets45.135.630.1
3.9*2.82.4
Houston vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston60.652.941.4
5.4*4.43.3
Buffalo35.8*45.955.6
2.8*3.94.9
Minnesota vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta42.148.562.2
3.3*4.25.5
Minnesota37.526.720.4
3.11.81.5
Pittsburgh vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh51.0*43.634.6
4.3*3.62.8
Tampa Bay7.2*11.415.3
0.5*0.71.1
Kansas City vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England34.046.154.1
2.7*3.94.7
Kansas City35.4*26.918.4
2.8*2.31.3
Indianapolis vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis44.329.921.9
3.52.21.6
Tennessee20.529.342.4
1.5*2.43.4
Chicago vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago50.137.027.8
4.3*2.92.2
Green Bay15.6*26.535.4
1.1*2.22.8
Dallas vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas53.445.233.4
4.6*3.52.6
New Orleans19.227.036.8
1.4*1.92.9
San Francisco vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia54.567.373.4
4.7*6.06.9
San Francisco32.6*24.115.8
2.6*2.01.1
San Diego vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego58.0*48.539.3
5.2*4.03.2
Jacksonville10.313.922.0
0.70.91.7
Oakland vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami17.6*25.534.0
1.3*2.12.7
Oakland18.812.58.4
1.4*0.90.6
Washington vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Giants15.4*24.533.2
1.1*1.92.6
Washington32.9*23.914.8
2.6*1.91.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.