National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Pittsburgh +25.7, New Orleans -50.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
New EnglandWNY Jets 17-1612-3-0.800163In12.5%+0.987131.1+0.402New England Patriots
Denver111-3-0.786104In11.7+0.11375122.0-0.141at CincinnatiDenver Broncos
ArizonaSeattle 0-0 (8:06 1st Qtr)111-3-0.78643In10.2+0.056603702.63Arizona Cardinals
DallasWIndianapolis 42-711-4-0.73388In+7.87.0+0.0013872.9+0.339Dallas Cowboys
Green BayWTampa Bay 20-311-4-0.733128In+3.19.4+1.4123713383.8+0.655Green Bay Packers
DetroitWChicago 20-1411-4-0.73349In9.4-0.2644013373.8-0.286Detroit Lions
IndianapolisLDallas 7-4210-5-0.66772In6.3-0.713873.9-0.517Indianapolis Colts
PittsburghWKansas City 20-1210-5-0.66758In+25.76.2+1.3500504.0+1.2916Pittsburgh Steelers
SeattleArizona 0-0 (8:06 1st Qtr)110-4-0.71497In+1.67.8-0.42501337254.0-0.204Seattle Seahawks
Cincinnati19-4-1.6792293.7%+10.16.7+0.7122513311264.3+0.2411DenverCincinnati Bengals
San Diego9-6-0.6001250.1+6.33.1+0.413386191967.18San Diego Chargers
CarolinaWCleveland 17-136-8-1.433-6650.0+25.03.1+1.650313191237.5+2.3125Carolina Panthers
AtlantaWNew Orleans 30-146-9-0.400-550.0+25.03.1+1.650313139667.7+2.8721Atlanta Falcons
BaltimoreLHouston 13-259-6-0.6009731.2-28.22.0-1.8625259191237.6-0.9514Baltimore Ravens
Kansas CityLPittsburgh 12-208-7-0.5336012.5-16.00.8-1.01325121225138.5-0.9112Kansas City Chiefs
HoustonWBaltimore 25-138-7-0.5335912.4+7.80.8+0.5122519191968.3+1.5018Houston Texans
Philadelphia9-6-0.60066Out-12.5No-0.81007.0-0.5013Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco7-8-0.467-37OutNo1008.0+0.3817San Francisco 49ers
MiamiWMinnesota 37-358-7-0.53328Out-0.3No-0.09281325259.3+1.0010Miami Dolphins
BuffaloLOakland 24-268-7-0.53346Out-5.5No-0.33131913341910.2-1.2115Buffalo Bills
New OrleansLAtlanta 14-306-9-0.400-26Out-50.0No-3.15001228910.5-3.1324New Orleans Saints
MinnesotaLMiami 35-376-9-0.400-22OutNo2531131312610.8-0.6326Minnesota Vikings
NY GiantsWSt. Louis 37-276-9-0.400-12OutNo1325161225911.4+0.9220New York Giants
ClevelandLCarolina 13-177-8-0.467-28OutNo198111.8-0.7223Cleveland Browns
St. LouisLNY Giants 27-376-9-0.400-16OutNo619196252512.0-1.2719St. Louis Rams
ChicagoLDetroit 14-205-10-0.333-119OutNo919195313.2-1.4422Chicago Bears
NY JetsLNew England 16-173-12-0.200-131OutNo62251313.5-0.3128New York Jets
Jacksonville3-12-0.200-157OutNo2537251214.230Jacksonville Jaguars
OaklandWBuffalo 26-243-12-0.200-166OutNo1225372514.7+0.5627Oakland Raiders
Washington4-11-0.267-110OutNo10015.0+0.1229Washington Redskins
Tennessee2-13-0.133-167OutNo12256315.5-0.2532Tennessee Titans
Tampa BayLGreen Bay 3-202-13-0.133-130OutNo10016.0-0.1231Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/18
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+12.5
+0.8
Atlanta+25.0
+1.6
New Orleans-37.5
-2.3
Pittsburgh 20 Kansas City 12
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England-0.3
PittsburghIn
+1.9
Cincinnati+3.9
+0.2
San Diego-3.1
-0.2
Baltimore-3.1
-0.2
Kansas City-23.8
-1.5
MiamiOut
No
Buffalo+0.8
Houston 25 Baltimore 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+3.1
+0.2
San Diego+9.4
+0.6
Baltimore-25.0
-1.6
Kansas City+4.7
+0.3
Houston+4.7
+0.3
Buffalo+3.1
+0.2
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+6.9
+0.5
Green Bay+8.0
+0.4
DetroitIn
+0.3
Seattle+3.1
Philadelphia-22.7
-1.4
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati-4.0
-0.2
San Diego+16.3
+1.0
Baltimore-6.3
-0.4
Houston-2.4
-0.2
Miami-0.4
Buffalo-3.1
-0.2
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+12.5
+0.8
New Orleans-12.5
-0.8
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.2
DallasIn
+0.7
Indianapolis-0.4
SeattleIn
Cincinnati+0.2
PhiladelphiaOut
No
Oakland 26 Buffalo 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+3.1
+0.2
Kansas City+3.1
+0.2
Houston+3.1
+0.2
BuffaloOut
No
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-2.3
-0.6
Green BayIn
+1.4
Detroit-0.6
Seattle-0.8
-0.2
Chicago 14 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+0.8
-0.4
Green Bay-0.4
Detroit+1.0
Seattle-0.8
-0.2
NY Jets 16 New England 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.9
Indianapolis-0.3
Pittsburgh-0.3
Cincinnati-0.2
Cincinnati vs DenverIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver10.9*10.412.4
CincinnatiInIn87.5
7.8*6.65.5
Baltimore24.924.437.5
1.6*1.02.4
Arizona vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona12.5*9.07.9
Dallas6.3*8.37.8
Seattle6.3*7.29.3
Week of 12/28
Kansas City vs San DiegoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
CincinnatiIn87.387.5
7.0*7.06.3
San DiegoOut60.6In
No*4.26.3
Baltimore49.952.112.5
3.1*3.00.8
Kansas City25.1OutOut
1.6NoNo
Houston24.9OutOut
1.6NoNo
Atlanta vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
CarolinaOutInIn
No7.16.2
AtlantaInOutOut
6.2NoNo
Baltimore vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati87.5InIn
6.3*7.97.1
Baltimore62.451.0Out
3.93.3No
Kansas CityOutOut25.1
NoNo1.6
HoustonOutOut24.9
No*No1.6
Houston vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas CityOut25.325.0
No1.91.6
Houston24.9OutOut
1.6*NoNo
Pittsburgh vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver12.5*11.910.9
Cincinnati87.5InIn
5.5*6.47.8
Baltimore37.526.024.9
2.4*1.51.5
Green Bay vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay12.56.26.3
Detroit6.2*9.912.5
Seattle vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona9.4*10.110.9
Dallas6.2*8.57.8
Seattle9.4*5.66.2
San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona9.4*11.211.0
Dallas7.8*5.46.3
Denver vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver12.4*9.710.9
Cincinnati5.9*8.27.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.