National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Washington +3.6, Dallas -8.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
10/27GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
Arizona16-1-0.8572585.7%+0.28.7%+0.1341911212854211100003.4+0.052Arizona Cardinals
Denver16-1-0.8578283.2+0.08.4-0.034171259654322100003.61Denver Broncos
Detroit6-2-0.7503681.5+0.47.8+0.2222117311965321100003.9+0.0515Detroit Lions
DallasLWashington 17-206-2-0.7504675.5-8.06.9-1.21917122151186432110004.5-0.7314Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis5-3-0.6256374.2-0.05.7-0.061116381233444421005.16Indianapolis Colts
New England6-2-0.7506171.6+0.06.6-0.0181513710876543210004.79New England Patriots
Philadelphia15-2-0.7144763.6+1.25.5+0.31015153111197653221105.5+0.195Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay5-3-0.6253150.5+0.44.0+0.1491241012109875432106.711Green Bay Packers
Cincinnati14-2-1.643-346.7-0.03.9-0.0798481099987631006.84Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh5-3-0.625946.6+0.03.9610839101210986431006.717Pittsburgh Steelers
San Diego5-3-0.6255646.6-0.03.6654217131110986531007.010San Diego Chargers
Buffalo5-3-0.6251344.6-0.03.5-0.067878988998742107.212Buffalo Bills
Baltimore5-3-0.6258644.03.5-0.048978988998742107.216Baltimore Ravens
Carolina3-4-1.438-4143.0+0.02.8+0.0025340123577887648.5-0.0520New Orleans 0-0 (8:25 PM ET)Carolina Panthers
San Francisco14-3-0.571-742.4+0.43.3+0.1455115121110976543217.5-0.013San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans13-4-0.4291141.7+0.02.8+0.0127310124678887538.4-0.0523Carolina 0-0 (8:25 PM ET)New Orleans Saints
Seattle14-3-0.5712240.6+0.43.2+0.1455112121211976543217.5-0.017Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City14-3-0.5714837.6+0.02.9+0.05443121099998753107.88Kansas City Chiefs
Miami14-3-0.5712334.3-0.02.7+0.045548810101099863107.919Miami Dolphins
Houston4-4-0.5001933.2+0.02.4+0.024613456799101085218.4+0.0118Houston Texans
Cleveland14-3-0.5711131.0+0.02.5-0.03563689101010101063108.224Cleveland Browns
NY Giants13-4-0.429-1516.5+0.71.2+0.11231577910101010987410.1-0.0213New York Giants
Chicago3-5-0.375-4213.9+0.21.0+0.011213599910109997510.3-0.0622Chicago Bears
Atlanta2-6-0.250-2913.4+0.00.9+0.000112001235791114171812.2-0.0930Atlanta Falcons
Minnesota3-5-0.375-3410.8+0.20.7+0.001113589910101010108410.6-0.0625Minnesota Vikings
WashingtonWDallas 20-173-5-0.375-298.8+3.60.6+0.3012124578910111111111011.4+0.9221Washington Redskins
St. Louis12-5-0.286-746.8+0.10.5+0.001111346789101113141111.9-0.0726St. Louis Rams
Tampa Bay11-6-0.143-905.2+0.00.3+0.0001400012356912183913.8-0.0732Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tennessee2-6-0.250-654.2-0.00.30002011245812201915912.627Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville1-7-0.125-1001.4-0.00.10001000112471321272314.129Jacksonville Jaguars
NY Jets1-7-0.125-840.50.00000001123581523251913.928New York Jets
Oakland10-7-0.000-760.20.0000000000123715254714.931Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/23
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+1.2
+0.3
Dallas+1.1
Philadelphia+1.1
Green Bay-11.3
-1.2
Carolina-4.9
-0.3
San Francisco+1.6
New Orleans+8.9
+0.6
Seattle+1.4
NY Giants+0.9
Atlanta-1.8
Tampa Bay-1.0
Carolina 9 Seattle 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-1.0
Green Bay-1.2
Carolina-10.0
-0.8
San Francisco-1.0
New Orleans+4.0
+0.3
Seattle+8.7
+0.8
Atlanta+2.6
+0.2
Tampa Bay+1.7
New England 51 Chicago 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+1.2
New England+8.8
+1.1
Green Bay+0.9
Buffalo-2.4
-0.2
San Francisco+1.0
Miami-2.0
-0.2
Chicago-6.9
-0.5
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+10.0
+1.2
Green Bay-1.8
-0.2
Carolina+2.6
New Orleans+1.8
Chicago-1.1
Atlanta-7.0
-0.5
Pittsburgh 51 Indianapolis 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis-7.2
-1.2
Cincinnati-1.5
Pittsburgh+11.2
+1.1
Baltimore-1.2
Houston+2.1
+0.2
Cleveland-1.2
Kansas City 34 St. Louis 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+1.0
Denver-0.9
-0.2
Cincinnati-0.9
Pittsburgh-0.9
San Diego-1.9
-0.2
Baltimore-0.8
Seattle+0.9
Kansas City+9.0
+0.7
St. Louis-4.6
-0.3
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+12.6
+1.2
Baltimore-13.2
-1.4
Denver 35 San Diego 21
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+10.9
+1.6
San Diego-12.9
-1.6
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+9.6
+1.3
Detroit+0.4
Philadelphia-10.8
-1.3
NY Jets 23 Buffalo 43
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England-1.7
-0.2
San Diego-0.9
Buffalo+10.9
+0.9
Miami-1.8
NY Jets-1.7
Tennessee 16 Houston 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis-1.1
Houston+10.0
+0.8
Tennessee-6.2
-0.4
Jacksonville 13 Miami 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England-1.7
Buffalo-1.2
Miami+9.3
+0.8
Jacksonville-1.6
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati-1.3
Pittsburgh-0.9
Baltimore-1.1
Cleveland+8.4
+0.7
Dallas 17 Washington 20
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-8.0
-1.2
Philadelphia+1.2
+0.3
Washington+3.7
+0.3
Tampa Bay 13 Minnesota 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+2.1
Minnesota+3.4
+0.2
Tampa Bay-4.3
-0.3
Week of 10/30
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh63.543.229.7
5.63.32.2
Baltimore28.046.360.1
2.0*3.74.9
Houston vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis69.570.178.9
5.45.46.0
Philadelphia54.166.573.1
4.45.86.5
Houston42.234.824.2
3.2*2.31.7
Carolina vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina59.142.226.9
3.9*3.01.7
New Orleans25.742.557.7
1.7*2.83.9
Miami vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego32.7*47.160.5
2.4*3.54.8
Miami46.4*34.022.3
3.8*2.61.7
NY Giants vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis66.269.382.2
4.85.46.6
Houston36.936.029.4
2.72.62.1
NY Giants22.816.910.2
1.6*1.20.7
San Francisco vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco55.239.729.6
4.42.92.2
St. Louis2.14.411.5
0.10.30.8
New England vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver75.583.690.9
7.1*8.49.7
New England82.676.060.6
8.07.05.1
Cincinnati vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati58.648.934.9
5.1*4.02.8
Dallas vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona78.887.292.7
7.4*8.79.9
Dallas86.079.165.0
8.47.35.4
Cleveland vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland39.732.722.3
3.2*2.61.7
Tampa Bay2.54.77.8
0.2*0.30.5
Kansas City vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City48.633.526.7
3.92.72.0
Seattle vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle49.839.931.4
4.0*3.02.3
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota16.58.75.0
1.10.60.3
Washington3.88.113.9
0.2*0.51.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.