National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Kansas City +8.6, New England -10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
Cincinnati13-0-01.0004766.1%+0.06.1%+0.020128512976543322115.42Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona13-0-01.0002164.9-0.06.0-0.019129610866544332215.51Arizona Cardinals
Houston3-1-0.7502061.3-0.15.5+0.0131313106666554433215.915Houston Texans
San Diego3-1-0.7503958.3-1.05.2-0.01312969877654433216.1-0.074San Diego Chargers
Baltimore3-1-0.7504355.7-0.04.8+0.012864151087655433216.5-0.016Baltimore Ravens
Detroit3-1-0.7502355.5+0.04.9+0.012111088866655443326.59Detroit Lions
Dallas3-1-0.7502953.1-0.04.6-0.012109510887665443316.614Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia3-1-0.7501852.7-0.04.6+0.011101078766665544326.816Philadelphia Eagles
Denver12-1-0.667850.3-0.84.4-0.0109869887665544326.9-0.068Denver Broncos
Carolina2-2-0.500-2344.1-0.13.6+0.0679134566666665547.8-0.0112Carolina Panthers
Atlanta2-2-0.5001844.0+0.03.5-0.0579163455666666558.017Atlanta Falcons
Seattle12-1-0.6671743.9+0.13.7+0.0975311987766555437.6+0.013Seattle Seahawks
Indianapolis2-2-0.5004143.0-0.03.4+0.0579115666777665437.8-0.0121Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo2-2-0.500438.8+1.53.0+0.1369133456777776648.4+0.0810Buffalo Bills
Miami2-2-0.500-137.8+1.13.0+0.146895667777766538.2+0.0525Miami Dolphins
New EnglandLKansas City 14-412-2-0.500-1036.1-10.02.9-1.046795666777777648.5-1.1123New England Patriots
Minnesota2-2-0.500735.3+0.02.9+0.056647788777666558.522at Green BayMinnesota Vikings
Kansas CityWNew England 41-142-2-0.5002335.3+8.62.8+0.746657888877766538.4+1.1620Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh2-2-0.500-234.0+0.12.7+0.054439998877766548.618Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago2-2-0.500-833.1-0.12.7-0.055547787777776658.8-0.0119Chicago Bears
NY Giants2-2-0.5001232.6+0.02.6-0.045765667777777768.97New York Giants
Green Bay2-2-0.500-431.8-0.02.5+0.045655767777777769.0-0.0111MinnesotaGreen Bay Packers
San Francisco2-2-0.500-131.8+0.02.5-0.044438888777776658.9+0.015San Francisco 49ers
St. Louis11-2-0.333-2924.0+0.11.9+0.0334356667778899910.026St. Louis Rams
NY Jets1-3-0.250-1723.7+0.81.8+0.123464577778889989.8+0.0331New York Jets
Cleveland11-2-0.333-322.1+0.01.7+0.0232267777788899810.1-0.0124Cleveland Browns
New Orleans1-3-0.250-1521.0+0.01.5-0.0134823456678910111310.627New Orleans Saints
Tennessee1-3-0.250-5020.3+0.11.5+0.013453456778991010910.413Tennessee Titans
Tampa Bay1-3-0.250-4717.3-0.01.2-0.0123723345678911131711.329Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington1-3-0.250-1414.8+0.01.1+0.0122244566778910121511.2+0.0128Washington Redskins
Jacksonville0-4-0.000-949.7-0.00.7+0.0012312345678912152212.2-0.0230Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland0-4-0.000-527.6-0.30.5-0.0011312234568912172712.8-0.0432Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/25
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati-1.2
-0.2
Baltimore+8.5
+0.8
Carolina-8.2
-0.8
Atlanta+2.0
+0.2
New England-0.6
Pittsburgh-1.3
NY Jets-0.5
Cleveland-1.0
New Orleans+1.3
Tampa Bay+0.8
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+8.2
+0.8
Buffalo+1.3
Miami+0.9
New England+1.2
Minnesota-1.1
Chicago-1.4
Green Bay-1.2
NY Jets-7.1
-0.6
Houston 23 Buffalo 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston+9.5
+1.1
Indianapolis-2.0
Buffalo-9.9
-1.0
Miami+0.9
New England+0.8
NY Jets+0.6
Tennessee-0.7
Jacksonville-0.6
Kansas City 41 New England 14
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego-0.9
Denver-0.7
Buffalo+1.5
Miami+1.0
New England-10.1
-1.0
Kansas City+8.6
+0.8
NY Jets+0.8
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+1.2
+0.2
Baltimore+1.2
Denver+0.6
Carolina-0.8
Atlanta-0.9
Miami+0.6
Pittsburgh-8.2
-0.8
Cleveland+0.8
New Orleans-0.6
Tampa Bay+4.2
+0.3
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.9
Carolina+1.4
Atlanta-9.8
-1.0
Minnesota+8.3
+0.8
New Orleans+1.2
Tampa Bay+1.0
Chicago 17 Green Bay 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago-11.8
-1.2
Green Bay+9.9
+0.8
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+9.7
+0.9
Philadelphia-1.1
Carolina+0.9
Atlanta+1.2
NY Giants-1.0
New Orleans-8.6
-0.8
Indianapolis 41 Tennessee 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+11.2
+1.0
Tennessee-11.0
-0.9
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+0.8
Philadelphia-9.5
-1.1
NY Giants+1.1
San Francisco+8.3
+0.7
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego+9.4
+1.0
Denver-1.3
Kansas City-0.9
Jacksonville-5.9
-0.5
Oakland-0.7
Oakland 14 Miami 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego+0.6
Buffalo-1.0
Miami+8.3
+0.7
New England-1.1
NY Jets-0.7
Oakland-5.2
-0.4
Washington 14 NY Giants 45
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Giants+8.8
+0.7
Washington-8.9
-0.7
Week of 10/2
Dallas vs HoustonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston53.464.669.3
4.6*5.76.4
Dallas61.6*55.144.7
5.6*4.33.7
Indianapolis45.5*41.140.4
3.6*3.23.2
Detroit vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit63.8*55.047.2
5.8*4.04.0
Buffalo30.6*39.446.9
2.3*2.93.7
Denver vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona57.2*65.572.6
5.1*6.37.0
Denver58.746.442.0
5.2*4.03.5
San Francisco vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City27.3*34.443.4
2.1*2.93.6
San Francisco39.6*32.124.0
3.2*2.31.8
Indianapolis vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore44.6*55.866.9
3.6*4.85.9
Indianapolis53.540.232.4
4.5*3.02.4
Carolina vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina53.839.734.4
4.5*3.02.6
Chicago23.6*32.142.6
1.8*2.83.6
NY Giants vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta34.440.353.6
2.5*2.94.4
NY Giants41.9*31.623.4
3.4*2.41.7
San Diego vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego68.2*58.748.3
6.4*4.94.1
NY Jets16.019.331.3
1.2*1.42.5
New England vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati56.5*67.575.7
4.9*6.37.3
New England45.939.226.2
3.8*3.42.0
Green Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota23.632.747.1
1.8*2.84.0
Green Bay43.2*30.620.5
3.5*2.41.6
Philadelphia vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia63.1*54.742.3
5.7*5.33.5
St. Louis15.6*23.732.3
1.2*1.82.6
Washington vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle34.1*43.053.8
2.8*3.84.7
Washington21.1*13.68.5
1.6*1.10.6
Jacksonville vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh24.5*32.843.4
1.9*2.53.5
Jacksonville14.18.15.3
1.0*0.50.4
Tennessee vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland14.425.029.8
1.1*2.02.3
Tennessee27.8*18.912.9
2.1*1.60.9
New Orleans vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans29.718.312.3
2.2*1.10.9
Tampa Bay9.3*18.625.2
0.6*1.61.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.