National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

San Diego +2.2, Kansas City -12.7
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
11/20GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPISunday
Arizona19-1-0.9006198.6%+0.011.4%+0.074920112100001.81at SeattleArizona Cardinals
New England18-2-0.80010589.7+0.59.5+0.144191129543210002.8+0.073DetroitNew England Patriots
Indianapolis16-4-0.6005777.5+0.15.3+0.1261257011235551005.2+0.039JacksonvilleIndianapolis Colts
Detroit17-3-0.7003275.9-0.06.8-0.0527190101497421000004.57at New EnglandDetroit Lions
Green Bay17-3-0.70010575.2-0.06.45231811217117421000004.76at MinnesotaGreen Bay Packers
Denver17-3-0.7006974.3+2.16.9+0.31521175987644310004.4+0.272MiamiDenver Broncos
Philadelphia17-3-0.7004870.1-0.05.7-0.041732169119531100004.75TennesseePhiladelphia Eagles
Dallas17-3-0.7004969.5-0.05.8-0.05182201213138531100004.917at NY GiantsDallas Cowboys
Kansas CityLOakland 20-247-4-0.6366656.3-12.74.5-1.588721812121087420006.0-0.978Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh7-4-0.6362555.7+1.24.6+0.1612133101114119631005.8+0.0518Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati16-3-1.650354.9+1.64.7+0.281210491110997640006.0+0.0811at HoustonCincinnati Bengals
San Francisco16-4-0.600-148.5+0.03.3-0.03210251817141053110006.74WashingtonSan Francisco 49ers
Atlanta14-6-0.400-1746.9-0.03.0-0.000245000136810108528.427ClevelandAtlanta Falcons
Seattle16-4-0.6004546.0+0.03.3+0.04320201714161064210006.913ArizonaSeattle Seahawks
Miami16-4-0.6006943.3+1.13.4+0.1666212111311109741006.9+0.0710at DenverMiami Dolphins
San Diego16-4-0.6002639.6+2.23.1+0.24552111211121111951007.2+0.1716St. LouisSan Diego Chargers
New Orleans14-6-0.400937.4+0.02.300136001269111197528.822New Orleans Saints
Baltimore16-4-0.6008033.7+1.32.5+0.12463910910121212920007.8+0.0615Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland16-4-0.6002133.2+1.52.5+0.12573799121211111020007.8+0.0824at AtlantaCleveland Browns
Houston15-5-0.5002529.6+0.72.1+0.1134153456912141562008.6+0.0620CincinnatiHouston Texans
Carolina3-7-1.318-8514.20.900140000258121316161412.125Carolina Panthers
Buffalo15-5-0.500-411.6+0.40.8+0.00122344710131924931010.1+0.0314NY JetsBuffalo Bills
Chicago14-6-0.400-756.80.400102491214141110965310.319Tampa BayChicago Bears
St. Louis14-6-0.400-734.1+0.00.3+0.000001338121414131197311.112at San DiegoSt. Louis Rams
Minnesota14-6-0.400-393.8-0.00.2000012810141514111074210.523Green BayMinnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay12-8-0.200-851.80.100200001246914224114.432at ChicagoTampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington13-7-0.300-520.70.000000012469111316182013.330at San FranciscoWashington Redskins
Tennessee12-8-0.200-820.50.000000001273127201113.8-0.0729at PhiladelphiaTennessee Titans
NY Giants13-7-0.300-580.40.0000000125810121416181413.021DallasNew York Giants
Jacksonville11-9-0.100-1240.20.000000131124352514.6-0.0931at IndianapolisJacksonville Jaguars
NY Jets12-8-0.200-910.0+0.00.000000001139323116613.6-0.0426at BuffaloNew York Jets
OaklandWKansas City 24-201-10-0.091-109OutNo000312275715.4+0.2128Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/20
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.5
+0.1
Indianapolis+0.1
Denver+2.1
+0.3
Kansas City-12.7
-1.5
Pittsburgh+1.2
+0.1
Cincinnati+1.6
+0.2
Miami+1.1
+0.1
San Diego+2.2
+0.2
Baltimore+1.3
+0.1
Cleveland+1.5
+0.1
Houston+0.7
+0.1
Buffalo+0.4
Atlanta vs ClevelandIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh57.655.853.7
4.8*4.64.4
Cincinnati57.154.452.7
4.9*4.64.5
Atlanta57.743.536.1
3.62.72.3
New Orleans30.942.743.9
1.92.72.8
Cleveland21.938.944.5
1.63.03.5
Carolina10.911.317.5
0.70.71.1
Houston vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis71.271.683.8
5.05.05.7
Pittsburgh58.154.753.3
4.84.54.4
Cincinnati40.953.468.9
3.24.46.2
Houston40.731.518.5
2.9*2.11.2
New Orleans vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh57.655.253.8
4.8*4.64.4
Cincinnati57.057.052.8
4.94.94.5
Atlanta41.242.852.6
2.62.73.3
New Orleans47.241.827.5
3.02.61.7
Baltimore21.936.445.5
1.52.73.4
Carolina10.813.117.6
0.70.81.1
Denver vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver86.771.661.8
8.56.45.3
Miami27.440.259.2
2.03.04.9
New England vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England95.593.983.9
10.610.18.4
Detroit67.676.984.2
5.66.47.9
Seattle47.843.444.2
3.53.13.2
Miami41.341.145.2
3.23.13.7
San Diego vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City54.456.658.2
4.44.64.7
San Diego51.140.128.2
4.1*3.12.1
St. Louis1.52.56.7
0.10.20.4
Seattle vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit73.977.577.9
6.76.96.9
Green Bay72.877.477.5
6.36.66.5
San Francisco45.747.851.3
3.33.23.4
Seattle59.743.732.3
4.63.02.1
San Francisco vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit73.776.478.1
6.6*6.86.9
Green Bay72.776.877.7
6.26.56.6
Dallas67.571.471.4
5.65.95.9
San Francisco61.543.335.5
4.32.92.3
Minnesota vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay63.377.887.1
5.0*6.57.9
Seattle48.042.944.0
3.53.13.2
Minnesota7.02.30.6
0.50.10.0
NY Giants vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia73.667.666.6
6.05.65.4
Dallas57.476.681.5
4.46.47.1
Philadelphia vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia79.775.860.6
6.96.44.6
Indianapolis vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis86.972.268.1
6.25.14.4
Houston23.733.935.5
1.72.42.5
JacksonvilleOutOut0.3
NoNo0.0
Buffalo vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami41.344.145.3
3.33.53.6
Buffalo18.711.74.5
1.3*0.80.3
NY JetsOutOut0.1
NoNo0.0
Chicago vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago11.03.32.6
0.70.20.2
Week of 11/27
Pittsburgh vs New OrleansIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh67.7*55.643.7
5.84.43.4
Cincinnati52.255.257.6
4.5*4.74.9
Atlanta52.642.841.2
3.32.72.6
New Orleans27.541.747.2
1.72.63.0
Baltimore31.634.635.8
2.32.62.7
Carolina17.613.210.8
1.10.80.7
San Francisco vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay74.478.675.9
6.46.66.5
San Francisco67.742.829.2
4.82.81.9
Seattle29.243.262.8
2.03.04.6
Dallas vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia54.176.686.2
4.06.47.4
Dallas85.277.253.7
7.66.53.9
San Francisco48.544.548.4
3.33.13.3
Baltimore vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego23.541.655.7
1.73.24.4
Baltimore49.134.718.3
3.72.51.2
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver59.774.788.9
5.06.88.9
Kansas City73.755.038.9
6.44.22.7
Green Bay vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England83.993.995.5
8.410.110.6
Green Bay84.977.165.5
7.6*6.45.3
Seattle43.742.948.3
3.23.13.5
Miami45.241.241.3
3.73.13.2
Buffalo vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland18.938.947.5
1.33.03.7
Buffalo19.611.03.6
1.40.70.2
Tampa Bay vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh58.354.653.1
4.84.54.4
Cincinnati41.253.268.6
3.24.36.1
Baltimore35.831.531.6
2.72.32.3
Cleveland35.233.631.2
2.72.62.3
NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami28.740.457.9
2.13.04.7
NY Jets0.1OutOut
0.0NoNo
Detroit vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit88.776.563.1
8.36.45.2
Dallas68.272.170.7
5.46.16.1
Chicago1.13.412.5
0.10.20.8
Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis70.071.785.1
4.84.95.8
Houston41.332.017.9
3.0*2.11.2
Atlanta vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta57.743.536.1
3.62.72.3
New Orleans30.942.743.9
1.92.72.8
Carolina10.911.417.5
0.70.71.1
Minnesota vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta50.950.342.9
3.23.22.7
New Orleans40.138.234.7
2.5*2.42.2
Carolina7.210.221.2
0.50.61.3
Minnesota6.73.00.9
0.40.20.1
Indianapolis vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis85.072.270.1
6.05.14.6
Houston24.833.934.4
1.72.42.4
St. Louis vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
St. Louis6.62.51.6
0.40.20.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.