National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Detroit +17.1, Chicago -6.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPISunday
Arizona19-2-0.8184596.1%-0.210.3%-0.05513419631002.5-0.011at AtlantaArizona Cardinals
New England19-2-0.81813094.4-0.010.5-0.05321122332111002.23at Green BayNew England Patriots
Indianapolis17-4-0.6367792.0+0.06.3+0.02714690001122204.212WashingtonIndianapolis Colts
Denver18-3-0.7277283.2-0.07.9+0.017251841276532103.82at Kansas CityDenver Broncos
Green Bay18-3-0.72710879.5-2.67.0-0.3102322091512710004.1-0.314New EnglandGreen Bay Packers
DallasPhiladelphia 7-17 (2:00 2nd Qtr)18-3-0.7275274.2-2.36.3-0.31017190141414831004.5-0.0616Dallas Cowboys
DetroitWChicago 34-178-4-0.6672471.5+17.16.0+1.6519210917141041004.8+0.9810Detroit Lions
PhiladelphiaDallas 17-7 (2:00 2nd Qtr)18-3-0.7276771.3-2.26.1-0.391827711141220004.4-0.059Philadelphia Eagles
Cincinnati17-3-1.6821261.9+0.05.3+0.0914124121112976315.48at Tampa BayCincinnati Bengals
SeattleSan Francisco 0-0 (8:30 PM ET)17-4-0.6366153.9-1.14.1-0.17640191815207310006.1-0.017Seattle Seahawks
San FranciscoSeattle 0-0 (8:30 PM ET)17-4-0.636351.9-1.73.8-0.155322182119710006.1-0.045San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City17-4-0.6366650.2-0.03.9+0.05652181313121085306.56DenverKansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh17-4-0.6362547.9+0.03.8-0.049102111215131085106.418New OrleansPittsburgh Steelers
San Diego17-4-0.6362947.0+0.03.6-0.05552161411121197406.815at BaltimoreSan Diego Chargers
Atlanta14-7-0.364-1942.8-0.12.7+0.00043000271012119528.8+0.0429ArizonaAtlanta Falcons
Baltimore17-4-0.6368739.9+0.02.9+0.025741012101012119807.413San DiegoBaltimore Ravens
Cleveland17-4-0.6362338.6-0.02.9+0.026938111012121110607.321at BuffaloCleveland Browns
New Orleans14-7-0.364233.4+0.02.1+0.00033001711131298429.2+0.0523at PittsburghNew Orleans Saints
Carolina13-7-1.318-8522.8+0.01.4+0.0230261011131412911.0+0.0525at MinnesotaCarolina Panthers
Miami16-5-0.5456619.8-0.01.4+0.01231671112131516102008.611Miami Dolphins
Buffalo16-5-0.5453114.3+0.01.0+0.0112236681316212110009.417ClevelandBuffalo Bills
Houston15-6-0.4551610.8-0.00.7+0.0001712457131933720010.219TennesseeHouston Texans
Tampa Bay12-9-0.182-931.0-0.00.1-0.0100124813254714.8+0.0132CincinnatiTampa Bay Buccaneers
ChicagoLDetroit 17-345-7-0.417-840.8-6.90.0-0.400161230181310631010.0-0.8420Chicago Bears
St. Louis14-7-0.364-760.7-0.00.0-0.000001151218171412108311.5+0.0714OaklandSt. Louis Rams
Minnesota14-7-0.364-420.1-0.10.0-0.000014182017141194111.1+0.0624CarolinaMinnesota Vikings
NY Giants13-8-0.273-61Out-0.0No-0.000379121518201513.4+0.0322at JacksonvilleNew York Giants
Washington13-8-0.273-56Out-0.0No-0.000268101417212213.7+0.0330at IndianapolisWashington Redskins
NY Jets12-9-0.182-126OutNo00015383117813.826New York Jets
Tennessee12-9-0.182-101OutNo000153527191314.027at HoustonTennessee Titans
Jacksonville11-10-0.091-144OutNo021022333414.931NY GiantsJacksonville Jaguars
Oakland11-10-0.091-109OutNo00618304615.228at St. LouisOakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/27
Detroit 34 Chicago 17
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.3
Green Bay-2.6
-0.3
Dallas-2.3
-0.3
Detroit+17.1
+1.6
Philadelphia-2.2
-0.3
Seattle-1.1
-0.1
San Francisco-1.7
-0.1
Chicago-6.9
-0.4
Minnesota-0.1
NY GiantsOut
No
Pittsburgh vs New OrleansIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati59.1*61.264.6
5.0*6.35.5
Pittsburgh60.6*44.735.2
4.9*4.32.6
Atlanta47.8*40.337.9
3.0*2.32.4
Baltimore37.4*38.842.3
2.7*4.03.1
Cleveland36.6*42.340.6
2.7*3.03.1
New Orleans23.440.343.4
1.5*2.62.7
Carolina27.5*17.918.2
1.7*1.01.1
San Francisco vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia71.078.471.5
Seattle35.447.472.4
2.5*4.85.7
San Francisco72.845.231.0
5.6*3.62.1
Baltimore vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego28.6*47.965.4
2.1*5.25.1
Baltimore57.6*44.022.1
4.3*2.01.5
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver71.1*83.395.2
6.1*5.99.7
Kansas City67.7*45.432.9
5.6*3.72.2
Buffalo vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland22.646.354.6
1.6*3.04.2
Buffalo24.9*12.93.7
1.8*0.40.2
Dallas vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas89.6*78.758.7
8.4*6.04.3
Philadelphia55.586.087.0
4.2*8.58.0
Tampa Bay vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati47.6*64.776.1
3.7*6.66.8
Pittsburgh50.5*45.945.3
4.0*3.53.6
Baltimore42.6*35.337.1
3.1*3.32.7
Cleveland41.1*40.136.0
3.1*2.92.7
Atlanta vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona93.3*96.398.9
9.4*8.011.1
Atlanta53.9*38.031.7
3.4*2.92.0
New Orleans27.439.439.4
1.7*2.92.5
Carolina18.2*22.027.4
1.1*1.01.7
NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England95.697.393.2
10.6*9.810.3
Kansas City51.557.349.0
4.0*3.43.8
Miami8.2*15.931.4
0.5*1.32.3
Green Bay vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England90.598.298.3
9.6*11.511.3
Green Bay88.8*82.070.2
8.3*7.85.7
Seattle51.7*53.056.2
3.9*4.04.3
Minnesota vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta48.450.337.2
3.1*3.02.3
New Orleans37.1*33.929.7
2.4*2.61.9
Carolina13.315.132.4
0.8*0.72.0
Minnesota0.0*NoNo
Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis87.2*89.996.9
5.9*3.76.6
Houston17.7*10.14.0
1.1*0.40.2
Indianapolis vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis96.087.188.0
6.9*5.85.7
Houston7.6*14.414.0
0.5*0.40.9
Week of 12/4
Green Bay vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay90.2*82.768.8
8.5*7.25.5
Dallas72.2*75.876.1
6.0*6.36.7
Detroit69.6*69.973.5
5.6*7.46.3
Philadelphia69.7*69.672.8
5.89.86.4
Seattle51.6*51.556.3
3.9*3.54.3
San Francisco49.6*52.454.2
3.7*4.24.0
Atlanta31.7*41.754.0
2.0*2.23.4
New Orleans39.539.327.3
2.5*1.51.7
Carolina27.417.718.2
1.7*0.61.1
Cincinnati vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati79.0*58.744.7
7.1*4.53.4
Pittsburgh28.1*47.367.7
1.9*2.95.6
New Orleans vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans50.2*37.716.6
3.2*2.11.1
Carolina7.714.437.9
0.5*0.92.4
Cleveland vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis87.987.496.2
5.6*6.77.0
Cincinnati59.4*61.364.3
5.1*6.55.5
Kansas City48.3*46.752.2
3.7*1.74.0
Pittsburgh46.1*50.049.8
3.6*3.33.9
Cleveland52.5*44.124.7
4.1*3.21.7
Houston13.5*14.38.2
0.9*1.30.5
Philadelphia vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia86.8*75.455.7
7.9*7.24.4
Seattle38.5*49.769.4
2.7*5.45.5
Miami vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore24.3*43.055.5
1.6*3.74.1
Miami32.9*19.36.7
2.4*0.40.4
Arizona vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona99.1*96.693.2
11.2*12.39.3
Cincinnati64.0*62.459.7
5.5*5.25.1
Kansas City36.9*45.463.6
2.7*3.65.1
San Diego49.0*50.445.0
3.7*4.33.5
Baltimore42.0*41.737.7
3.0*4.72.7
San Diego vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England89.7*96.299.1
9.3*13.611.6
Cincinnati60.0*60.863.7
San Diego62.1*49.331.9
5.0*3.82.2
Cleveland36.6*40.740.6
2.8*2.43.0
Detroit vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas71.5*77.276.8
6.0*6.46.7
Detroit85.1*72.858.0
7.6*5.14.4
Philadelphia68.8*71.273.8
5.7*6.66.5
Seattle50.7*50.557.2
3.9*4.04.4
San Francisco49.5*51.254.3
3.6*3.54.0
Oakland vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay81.4*81.577.6
7.2*6.86.9
Dallas76.3*76.072.0
6.5*6.06.2
Detroit73.265.869.9
6.1*3.45.8
Philadelphia73.478.869.1
6.3*7.65.9
San Francisco41.4*46.562.4
2.9*2.84.7
Denver vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver93.4*80.473.0
9.4*7.76.4
Buffalo4.69.224.0
0.3*0.21.7
Chicago vs DallasHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay81.9*78.777.1
7.5*7.56.6
Dallas63.081.585.4
4.9*7.57.8
Detroit74.1*66.369.0
6.4*5.45.5
San Francisco53.9*51.649.9
4.0*5.23.7
Jacksonville vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis96.9*91.187.2
6.6*6.16.0
Houston3.8*9.717.8
0.2*0.91.1
Minnesota vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota0.0*NoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.