National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Cincinnati +13.6, NY Jets -9.7
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
10/13GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
DenverWJacksonville 35-196-0-01.00010785.9%+9.88.0%+0.9311141291053221100004.0+0.658Denver Broncos
Kansas CityWOakland 24-76-0-01.0008785.6+10.88.0+1.031115228953221100003.9+0.779Kansas City Chiefs
New OrleansLNew England 27-305-1-0.8335884.9-5.58.3-1.1282018114433322110003.5-0.681New Orleans Saints
SeattleWTennessee 20-135-1-0.8336374.5+5.77.1+0.8241410413965432211004.5+0.584Seattle Seahawks
New EnglandWNew Orleans 30-275-1-0.8332872.8+11.76.5+1.2131916125765443221104.8+1.097New England Patriots
Indianapolis14-1-0.8006069.6+4.85.9+0.3101519212444544332105.2+0.372at San DiegoIndianapolis Colts
CincinnatiWBuffalo 27-244-2-0.6671055.5+13.64.5+1.261213144788765432106.3+1.466Cincinnati Bengals
DetroitWCleveland 31-174-2-0.6672255.2+7.04.6+0.7811106101098765432106.3+0.6811Detroit Lions
Chicago4-2-0.6671152.3-4.04.4-0.371110691098765432106.5-0.2915Chicago Bears
PhiladelphiaWTampa Bay 31-203-3-0.500-1352.1+7.64.0+0.75711233456676654216.9+0.9414Philadelphia Eagles
Green BayWBaltimore 19-1713-2-0.6002344.9+6.13.7+0.669858999876543217.2+0.675Green Bay Packers
San FranciscoArizona 32-20 (2:09 4th Qtr)13-2-0.6001544.1-3.53.5-0.375421512119876543217.4-0.273San Francisco 49ers
ArizonaSan Francisco 20-32 (2:09 4th Qtr)13-2-0.600-443.2-4.03.4-0.4664214111210876543217.3-0.2813Arizona Cardinals
DallasWashington 0-0 (8:30 PM ET)12-3-0.4001638.9-3.62.9-0.3358173456788776538.2-0.2819Dallas Cowboys
Miami13-2-0.600-338.9+1.13.2+0.14865710119876654317.8+0.1910Miami Dolphins
BaltimoreLGreen Bay 17-193-3-0.500534.9-9.02.6-0.8169102678888765428.3-0.7412Baltimore Ravens
TennesseeLSeattle 13-203-3-0.5001333.0-7.12.4-0.715884789988765428.4-0.6316Tennessee Titans
ClevelandLDetroit 17-313-3-0.500-731.5-9.02.4-0.824793678988876538.7-0.7517Cleveland Browns
St. LouisWHouston 38-133-3-0.500-1330.1+5.02.3+0.434428988998876428.8+0.6926St. Louis Rams
CarolinaWMinnesota 35-1012-3-0.4004126.8+6.92.0+0.624555678899987639.2+1.0225Carolina Panthers
NY JetsLPittsburgh 6-193-3-0.500-3125.6-9.71.9-0.914444988898887639.3-0.9029New York Jets
WashingtonDallas 0-0 (8:30 PM ET)21-3-0.250-2123.2-3.01.6-0.21241312346789101110910.4-0.2518Washington Redskins
HoustonLSt. Louis 13-382-4-0.333-7118.7-5.91.3-0.5124724678899999710.3-0.6424Houston Texans
San Diego12-3-0.400-416.2+0.91.2+0.011106777889910109710.6+0.2628IndianapolisSan Diego Chargers
Atlanta11-4-0.200-1213.3-1.20.9-0.11122446678910111111911.0-0.1621Atlanta Falcons
PittsburghWNY Jets 19-611-4-0.200-2810.7+3.70.7+0.30124134567891012151311.6+1.1627Pittsburgh Steelers
OaklandLKansas City 7-242-4-0.333-279.9-7.60.7-0.60000367789910111111611.1-0.8522Oakland Raiders
BuffaloLCincinnati 24-272-4-0.333-219.5-6.50.6-0.501122456789101112121011.5-0.8620Buffalo Bills
MinnesotaLCarolina 10-3511-4-0.200-338.8-8.30.6-0.601112345678101113131211.7-1.2232Minnesota Vikings
Tampa BayLPhiladelphia 20-3110-5-0.000-374.5-4.50.3-0.30011112345781114192313.0-1.0530Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NY Giants0-6-0.000-1063.1-0.70.2-0.0000200112356914213613.9-0.0831New York Giants
JacksonvilleLDenver 19-350-6-0.000-1281.7-1.50.1-0.1000100112345711194514.3-0.5823Jacksonville Jaguars

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/10
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-0.7
Cincinnati+2.1
+0.2
Detroit+9.5
+0.9
Chicago-1.7
-0.2
Green Bay-1.6
San Francisco-0.8
Arizona-0.9
Baltimore+2.0
Cleveland-9.0
-0.8
St. Louis-0.7
Pittsburgh+0.8
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati+1.9
Detroit-1.5
Chicago-1.5
Green Bay+8.3
+0.8
San Francisco-0.7
Arizona-0.7
Baltimore-8.7
-0.8
Cleveland+2.2
+0.2
Minnesota-0.7
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.7
Seattle+7.9
+1.0
Indianapolis+2.4
+0.2
San Francisco-1.2
-0.2
Arizona-1.2
Tennessee-9.1
-0.8
St. Louis-1.1
Carolina-0.6
NY Jets+0.7
Houston+1.4
Houston 13 St. Louis 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-1.0
Indianapolis+1.8
Chicago-0.6
San Francisco-1.1
Arizona-1.3
Tennessee+1.5
St. Louis+7.6
+0.6
Houston-7.5
-0.6
New England 30 New Orleans 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans-4.2
-0.8
New England+8.4
+1.0
Miami-1.7
-0.2
Carolina+1.3
NY Jets-1.7
Atlanta+0.6
Buffalo-0.9
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.7
Cincinnati+10.3
+1.0
Baltimore-1.5
Cleveland-1.8
Pittsburgh-0.8
Buffalo-7.4
-0.6
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-0.7
Detroit-1.6
Chicago+10.3
+1.0
Green Bay-1.5
San Francisco-0.7
Arizona-0.7
Minnesota-0.9
NY Giants-3.4
-0.2
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+1.5
Miami+1.2
NY Jets-9.5
-0.8
Pittsburgh+3.3
+0.2
Buffalo+0.8
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia+9.0
+0.8
Dallas-2.2
Washington-2.1
Tampa Bay-4.3
-0.3
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City+9.3
+1.1
Oakland-8.6
-0.7
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans-0.7
Carolina+7.7
+0.6
Minnesota-6.8
-0.5
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+7.8
+1.0
San Diego-0.6
Jacksonville-2.0
San Francisco vs ArizonaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco57.1*44.031.1
4.7*3.82.3
Arizona30.0*42.456.4
2.2*3.24.6
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas51.636.226.3
4.0*2.21.9
Washington12.6*23.933.7
0.8*1.82.4
San Diego vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis61.172.078.0
4.9*5.36.9
San Diego23.2*15.79.1
1.7*1.10.6
Week of 10/17
Detroit vs CincinnatiIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati46.2*57.464.7
3.6*4.75.5
Detroit65.0*56.745.4
5.6*4.73.6
Tennessee vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco34.8*43.853.3
2.6*4.14.4
Tennessee41.630.824.5
3.2*2.31.7
Green Bay vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay53.8*44.836.0
4.6*3.52.9
Cleveland23.1*31.739.8
1.7*2.43.0
Philadelphia vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia67.649.136.7
5.3*3.62.7
Dallas24.536.253.4
1.7*2.24.1
Washington vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago41.156.763.5
3.2*4.55.6
Washington30.625.115.7
2.2*1.61.0
Arizona vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle63.878.285.3
5.68.28.5
Arizona56.0*43.730.5
4.7*3.72.2
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England61.176.484.4
5.2*6.67.9
NY Jets37.2*24.314.0
2.9*1.80.9
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore23.530.146.4
1.7*2.23.6
Pittsburgh16.68.74.8
1.2*0.80.3
Carolina vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
St. Louis19.6*30.040.5
1.4*2.13.2
Carolina36.3*25.217.3
2.8*1.91.3
Miami vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami50.1*37.627.8
4.2*2.92.1
Buffalo3.6*9.115.3
0.2*0.41.1
Kansas City vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City92.189.179.1
8.9*7.77.0
Houston11.412.526.0
0.8*1.01.9
Indianapolis vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver79.289.792.5
6.9*8.09.0
Indianapolis78.271.661.0
7.1*6.64.7
Jacksonville vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego9.7*16.722.6
0.71.61.6
Atlanta vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta19.59.67.2
1.4*0.70.5
Tampa Bay1.83.67.3
0.1*0.20.5
NY Giants vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota4.7*8.012.8
0.3*0.50.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.