National Football League Playoff Chances 50/50

Pittsburgh +10.3, Houston -11.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIThursday
Indianapolis5-2-0.7148082.8%+2.57.2%+0.2141820281233332210004.1+0.154Indianapolis Colts
Dallas6-1-0.8574982.7-0.07.8-0.0281581201074321100004.07Dallas Cowboys
Arizona15-1-0.8332175.5-0.07.2-0.021191548875432111004.33Arizona Cardinals
Denver15-1-0.8336875.2-0.07.1+0.026139414965432211004.51San DiegoDenver Broncos
Philadelphia15-1-0.8335173.0-0.06.6+0.0201392181186432211004.85Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit5-2-0.7143569.3+0.06.1-0.01316145111187543211005.113Detroit Lions
New England5-2-0.7143367.8-0.06.0+0.0141414118776653211005.115New England Patriots
San Diego5-2-0.7147065.4-0.05.6-0.0151074181297643211005.517at DenverSan Diego Chargers
Green Bay5-2-0.7145263.2+0.05.4+0.0914155101197653321105.610Green Bay Packers
Baltimore5-2-0.7148962.8-0.85.4-0.0101313108876664321105.7-0.0611Baltimore Ravens
Carolina3-3-1.500-3752.83.6+0.0149360123566665437.416Carolina Panthers
San Francisco4-3-0.571-741.1-0.03.2467310111110976543217.52San Francisco 49ers
Cincinnati13-2-1.583-640.1-0.73.2-0.0576499109887653217.6-0.048Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo4-3-0.571-739.0-0.13.0-0.0358106777898764318.0-0.0114Buffalo Bills
PittsburghWHouston 30-234-3-0.571-838.8+10.33.1+0.946639101110987653107.6+1.1419Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City13-3-0.5002131.7+0.22.4+0.033321010109998865328.5+0.016Kansas City Chiefs
Miami13-3-0.500930.92.4+0.034575688999876428.618Miami Dolphins
Seattle13-3-0.5001829.7+0.02.3-0.02562691010988765428.59Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans12-4-0.333-1025.8+0.01.7014180234679910109710.028New Orleans Saints
Cleveland13-3-0.500125.6-0.71.9-0.124436889999986429.0-0.0523Cleveland Browns
HoustonLPittsburgh 23-303-4-0.429523.0-11.21.7-1.0124646689991098639.6-1.1720Houston Texans
Chicago3-4-0.429-1421.2+0.01.6-0.01331581010999877649.521Chicago Bears
Atlanta2-5-0.286-2818.8-0.01.2-0.001314012357891112121211.130Atlanta Falcons
NY Giants3-4-0.429-1514.9-0.01.0-0.00110578910101010987410.2-0.0112New York Giants
St. Louis12-4-0.333-4711.9+0.00.8-0.00132245789910101010811.022St. Louis Rams
Tennessee2-5-0.286-5110.3+0.40.7+0.001141345681011131312811.5+0.0224Tennessee Titans
Tampa Bay11-5-0.167-848.4+0.00.5+0.00016011235681012172712.8+0.0131Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Minnesota2-5-0.286-406.7-0.00.501102366789101111121311.725Minnesota Vikings
Washington2-5-0.286-325.0+0.00.300101235678101113151812.426Washington Redskins
NY Jets1-6-0.143-642.8+0.00.20001012335791318201813.127New York Jets
Jacksonville1-6-0.143-862.7+0.10.2+0.00001011234691217222113.4+0.0129Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland10-6-0.000-661.0-0.00.1000000112245813214214.4-0.0132Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/16
Denver 42 San Francisco 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+0.9
Arizona+1.3
+0.2
Denver+8.0
+1.0
Philadelphia+1.0
Detroit+0.9
San Diego-1.2
-0.3
Green Bay+0.9
San Francisco-9.7
-0.9
Kansas City-1.3
Seattle+1.3
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-1.6
Green Bay+10.8
+1.1
Carolina-10.1
-1.0
New Orleans+2.8
+0.2
Chicago-1.3
Atlanta+2.8
+0.2
Tampa Bay+0.9
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-0.8
Baltimore+9.7
+1.0
Carolina+2.6
+0.2
Cincinnati-1.7
-0.2
Pittsburgh-1.3
New Orleans+1.8
Cleveland-1.5
Atlanta-6.9
-0.5
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+10.9
+1.2
Green Bay-2.0
-0.2
Carolina+3.2
+0.2
New Orleans-9.2
-0.8
Chicago-1.2
Atlanta+1.4
Chicago 14 Miami 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit+1.5
New England-2.0
-0.2
Green Bay+1.5
Buffalo-1.2
Miami+7.4
+0.6
Chicago-7.8
-0.7
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+9.3
+1.2
Baltimore+1.3
Cincinnati-11.1
-1.2
Pittsburgh+1.1
Cleveland+1.3
Houston-1.8
Tennessee-1.4
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+2.5
+0.2
Pittsburgh+10.3
+0.9
Houston-11.2
-0.9
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England-2.0
-0.2
Buffalo+8.4
+0.7
Miami-1.4
Minnesota-4.5
-0.3
New England 27 NY Jets 25
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+12.0
+1.2
Buffalo-2.2
-0.2
Miami-1.6
NY Jets-5.3
-0.4
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+11.4
+1.4
NY Giants-11.3
-0.9
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco+1.1
Seattle-11.1
-1.0
St. Louis+4.5
+0.3
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego-10.2
-1.3
Kansas City+10.0
+0.8
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+1.5
Cincinnati+1.5
+0.2
Pittsburgh+1.2
Cleveland-10.3
-1.0
Jacksonville+1.3
Oakland 13 Arizona 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+8.1
+1.0
San Francisco-1.6
-0.2
Seattle-1.2
St. Louis-1.0
Oakland-1.5
Washington 19 Tennessee 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+1.9
Houston+1.1
Tennessee-5.8
-0.4
Washington+1.6
Week of 10/23
New Orleans vs Green BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay52.266.974.3
4.15.86.6
Carolina49.151.956.5
3.4*3.63.8
New Orleans34.2*26.517.5
2.3*1.71.1
Carolina vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina63.0*52.342.6
4.5*3.72.8
Seattle20.827.938.7
1.5*2.23.1
New Orleans22.5*26.529.2
1.5*1.91.9
Atlanta15.720.621.9
1.0*1.31.4
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England76.670.559.0
7.0*6.14.9
Chicago14.116.828.2
1.01.22.1
Atlanta vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit59.367.079.4
4.95.77.3
Carolina50.251.155.4
3.5*3.53.8
Atlanta25.717.311.8
1.7*1.10.7
Pittsburgh vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis75.880.089.9
6.0*6.88.4
Pittsburgh50.537.727.1
4.2*2.81.9
Cincinnati vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore49.466.376.2
3.95.86.8
Cincinnati52.739.327.5
4.4*3.02.0
Kansas City vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City40.627.222.7
3.12.01.6
St. Louis7.210.716.7
0.5*0.81.2
Denver vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver86.176.164.3
8.7*7.05.6
San Diego52.566.578.4
4.0*5.67.2
Arizona vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona84.877.166.1
8.5*7.55.9
Philadelphia62.575.683.5
5.3*6.87.9
NY Jets vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo27.740.550.3
2.0*3.13.9
Tennessee vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston13.0*22.732.9
0.9*1.52.4
Tennessee16.57.84.1
1.10.50.3
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami21.729.640.2
1.62.13.2
Cleveland vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cleveland34.426.916.7
2.7*2.11.2
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas90.885.674.6
9.0*7.96.7
Washington1.4*5.08.5
0.1*0.30.6
Tampa Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Tampa Bay12.4*8.34.4
0.8*0.60.3
Minnesota3.05.110.4
0.20.30.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.