| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Brisbane Lions Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Lost to Power 59-136, playoff odds down 5 to 7.7%
4 points 1-0-6
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -5.2 | -1.4 | -0.9 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Demons vs Lions | -3.7-1.1+3.7 | -0.7-0.3+0.7 | -0.8-0.1+0.8 | |||
| Lions vs Hawks | +3.7-1.0-3.6 | +0.7-0.3-0.7 | +0.8-0.1-0.8 | |||
| Lions vs Magpies | +3.6-0.9-3.6 | +0.7-0.3-0.7 | +0.8-0.1-0.8 | |||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.2*-0.2-0.2 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Saints vs Dockers | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | |||||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Saints vs Bombers | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | |||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Dockers vs Tigers | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Blues vs Cats | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lions finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 64 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 69 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 557 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 49 | 33 | 16 | 2 | 55 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99.8 | % | 32 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1,093 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 98.7 | 15 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 832 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 93.7 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7,924 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 74.5 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 5,270 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 48.9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 33,121 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 49.3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1,638 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.1 | 13.5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21,166 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98.2 | 14.9 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 335 | ||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 91.9 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 99,117 | |||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 92.0 | 3.4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6,150 | * | |||||||||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 60.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 57,730 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 64.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1,059 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 26.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219,290 | ||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 25.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15,284 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 2.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114,424 | |||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 3.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2,445 | * | |||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 365,324 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27,588 | * | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172,794 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3,885 | * | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 470,442 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36,569 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | No | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 377 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 197,329 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 4,440 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 468,974 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 36,197 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 1 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 22 | 3 | 352 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 172,513 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 12 | 3,897 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 28 | 363,413 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 45 | 28 | 27,805 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 45 | 114,996 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 47 | 2,390 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 63 | 219,628 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 32 | 64 | 15,051 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 21 | 77 | 57,586 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 1 | 24 | 74 | 1,038 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 12 | 87 | 99,823 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 5,986 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | 20,765 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | Out | No | 8 | 92 | 298 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 33,119 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 1,686 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 5,242 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 7,990 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 832 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | -8 | Out | No | 100 | 1,713 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 7.7 | % | 1.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 3,527,532 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
