How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 5/6 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Top 4 100.0* Average seed Swans 135 Bombers 54 -5.1 -1.5 -0.9 Dockers 77 Giants 95 -0.2 -0.1 Tigers 90 Hawks 136 -0.2 -0.1 Power 136 Lions 59 -0.1 Cats 123 Eagles 79 +0.1 Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 +0.1 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Tigers vs Magpies +0.1*+0.0-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 5/13 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Top 4 100.0* Average seed Saints vs Bombers -3.5-0.9+3.6 -0.7-0.3+0.7 -0.8-0.1+0.8 Bombers vs Tigers +3.5-0.9-3.4 +0.7-0.3-0.7 +0.8-0.1-0.8 Bombers vs Kangaroos +3.5-0.8-3.4 +0.7-0.3-0.7 +0.8-0.1-0.8 Hawks vs Dockers -0.2*-0.1+0.2 -0.1*+0.0+0.1 Demons vs Lions -0.2*+0.0+0.2 -0.1*+0.0+0.1 Lions vs Hawks +0.2*-0.1-0.2 +0.1*-0.1-0.1 Kangaroos vs Blues +0.1*-0.1-0.1 Eagles vs Saints -0.1*-0.1+0.1 Crows vs Cats -0.1*-0.0+0.1 Saints vs Dockers -0.1*+0.1+0.1 Hawks vs Swans -0.1*+0.0+0.1 Lions vs Magpies +0.1*+0.0-0.1 Magpies vs Bulldogs +0.1*+0.0-0.1 Tigers vs Swans +0.1*-0.2-0.1 +0.1*-0.1-0.1 -0.1*-0.0+0.1 Eagles vs Suns -0.1*-0.2+0.1 Blues vs Cats +0.1*+0.0-0.1 Magpies vs Cats +0.1*+0.0-0.1 -0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Bombers finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W - D - L playoffs Top 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Count 64 15 - 0 - 0 In Yes 75 23 2 554 62 14 - 1 - 0 In Yes 43 51 5 2 65 60 14 - 0 - 1 In 99.8 % 35 47 15 2 0 1,131 * 58 13 - 1 - 1 In 98.6 17 43 30 8 1 0 835 * 56 13 - 0 - 2 In 94.0 7 29 37 20 5 1 0 7,828 * 54 12 - 1 - 2 In 75.2 1 10 30 35 19 5 1 0 5,202 * 52 12 - 0 - 3 99.9 % 48.6 0 3 15 30 30 16 5 1 0 33,026 11 - 2 - 2 In 50.4 0 3 15 32 30 15 4 1 1,631 * 50 11 - 1 - 3 99.0 13.4 0 0 2 11 27 32 20 6 1 0 21,004 10 - 3 - 2 98.7 14.3 0 2 12 27 31 22 4 1 307 * 48 11 - 0 - 4 90.9 3.0 0 0 3 12 26 30 20 7 2 0 0 99,790 10 - 2 - 3 91.3 3.1 0 0 3 12 26 31 20 7 2 0 0 6,090 * 46 10 - 1 - 4 57.9 0.1 0 1 6 19 31 27 12 3 0 0 57,316 9 - 3 - 3 58.4 0.1 0 1 6 18 33 26 12 3 1 0 1,076 * 44 10 - 0 - 5 24.5 0.0 0 0 1 6 18 29 27 14 4 1 0 0 219,260 9 - 2 - 4 24.0 No 0 1 6 17 30 27 14 4 0 0 15,281 * 42 9 - 1 - 5 2.4 No 0 0 2 11 26 33 21 6 1 0 115,244 8 - 3 - 4 2.0 No 0 2 12 27 33 20 6 1 0 2,423 * 40 9 - 0 - 6 0.2 No 0 0 2 10 24 31 22 8 2 0 0 364,339 8 - 2 - 5 0.2 No 0 0 2 10 24 32 22 8 1 0 0 27,311 * 38 8 - 1 - 6 0.0 No 0 0 1 6 20 33 27 10 2 0 0 172,369 7 - 3 - 5 Out No 0 1 7 20 33 27 10 2 0 3,754 * 36 8 - 0 - 7 Out No 0 0 1 7 21 33 26 10 2 0 469,032 7 - 2 - 6 Out No 0 0 1 7 21 33 27 10 2 0 36,223 6 - 4 - 5 Out No 0 2 7 22 33 21 13 2 365 34 7 - 1 - 7 Out No 0 0 1 6 21 36 27 8 1 197,710 6 - 3 - 6 Out No 0 0 0 6 21 36 27 9 1 4,500 * 32 7 - 0 - 8 Out No 0 0 0 1 9 26 37 23 5 469,630 6 - 2 - 7 Out No 0 0 1 8 26 37 23 4 36,313 5 - 4 - 6 Out No 1 7 28 35 24 4 328 30 6 - 1 - 8 Out No 0 0 2 12 35 39 13 173,281 5 - 3 - 7 Out No 0 2 11 35 38 13 3,852 * 28 6 - 0 - 9 Out No 0 0 0 4 22 45 29 365,214 5 - 2 - 8 Out No 0 0 4 22 45 29 27,735 * 26 5 - 1 - 9 Out No 0 1 11 42 46 114,870 4 - 3 - 8 Out No 0 1 11 42 46 2,397 * 24 5 - 0 - 10 Out No 0 0 4 31 64 218,942 4 - 2 - 9 Out No 0 0 4 32 64 15,287 * 22 4 - 1 - 10 Out No 0 1 20 78 57,546 3 - 3 - 9 Out No 1 19 80 1,100 * 20 4 - 0 - 11 Out No 0 0 12 88 99,957 3 - 2 - 10 Out No 0 12 88 6,107 * 18 3 - 1 - 11 Out No 0 6 94 20,941 * 16 3 - 0 - 12 Out No 0 3 97 33,090 2 - 2 - 11 Out No 2 98 1,686 * 14 2 - 1 - 12 Out No 1 99 5,202 * 12 2 - 0 - 13 Out No 0 100 7,936 * 10 1 - 1 - 13 Out No 0 100 772 * 8 1 - 0 - 14 Out No 0 100 1,054 * 4 -6 Out No 100 626 * Total: 7.4 % 1.0 % 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 11 13 15 16 3,527,532

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs