SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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4 a.m.

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Tigers 90 Hawks 136 +5.1
+4.9
+0.5
Power 136 Lions 59 -0.5
-0.2
Cats 123 Eagles 79 +0.3
Dockers 77 Giants 95 -0.3
-0.7
-0.0
Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 +0.2
-0.4
Swans 135 Bombers 54 -0.1
-0.8
-0.0
Suns 87 Demons 160 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tigers vs Magpies+0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Hawks vs Dockers+2.9-2.7-10.6
+3.6-4.6-13.2
+0.3-0.3-1.0
Lions vs Hawks-9.8-1.8+3.5
-12.5-3.7+4.5
-0.9-0.2+0.3
Hawks vs Swans+6.6+2.0-5.1
+12.1+1.7-9.3
+0.8+0.1-0.6
Demons vs Lions-0.5+0.5+1.1
-0.3*+0.1+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Crows vs Cats-1.0*-0.2+0.6
+0.5+0.4-0.3
Eagles vs Saints-0.5+0.3+0.9
-0.5+0.3+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kangaroos vs Blues+0.3-0.3-0.8
-0.2*+0.2+0.7
Blues vs Cats-0.7*-0.0+0.3
+1.4+0.4-0.7
Crows vs Giants-0.5*-0.1+0.4
+1.1+0.4-0.9
Magpies vs Bulldogs+0.5*+0.2-0.3
+2.0+0.8-1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Demons vs Bulldogs-0.4*-0.1+0.3
+1.1+0.5-0.9
Blues vs Power+0.4*+0.1-0.3
+0.5*+0.0-0.4
Suns vs Crows+0.3*+0.2-0.2
+0.5*+0.2-0.4
Eagles vs Suns-0.2+0.3+0.3
-0.5+0.3+0.6
Giants vs Suns+0.1*+0.0-0.2
-1.1+0.6+1.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Dockers-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Tigers vs Swans+0.2*+0.1-0.1
+2.3+0.9-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Saints vs Bombers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Swans vs Kangaroos-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-1.0-0.3+0.7
Lions vs Magpies+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Bulldogs+0.1*-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.5+0.1
Magpies vs Cats+1.7+0.6-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Bombers vs Kangaroos+1.1+0.5-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Power vs Eagles+0.2*+0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hawks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsTop 4123456789101112131415161718Count
8015-0-0InYes9913,061
7814-1-0InYes9821,144
7614-0-1InYes9010019,511*
7413-1-1InYes8217012,898*
7213-0-2InYes643330107,050
12-2-1InYes663133,972*
7012-1-2In100.0%484480065,803*
6812-0-3In99.9265022200357,556
11-2-2In99.92750212018,112*
6611-1-3In99.7144634600199,686
10-3-2In99.7144634603,050*
6411-0-4In96.84284421300812,237
10-2-3In97.152944203051,031*
6210-1-4In91.11154233810407,160
9-3-3In91.711641338107,674*
6010-0-5In69.8042441245001,318,023
9-2-4In70.90525412450093,493*
589-1-5100.0%49.50112363613200596,522
8-3-4In49.81123636131012,834*
569-0-699.920.8003183731101001,582,309
8-2-599.921.1031837301010120,443
7-4-499.921.3041738318101,101*
548-1-699.67.80172738225000636,358
7-3-599.68.00172738225014,511*
528-0-795.21.40011029361940001,428,076
7-2-695.61.40110293619400113,227
6-4-595.92.00210333417401,037*
507-1-785.80.200316353212200506,329
6-3-686.10.203163532122011,740*
487-0-856.90.0000418353011200978,310
6-2-757.80.00041835301110079,061*
466-1-831.70.00017243824610300,449
5-3-732.0No0172538237006,934*
446-0-99.8No0019273721500508,924
5-2-810.0No001927372140039,726*
425-1-92.1No0021435351310133,245
4-3-82.1No00214353414202,922*
405-0-100.3No004183831910200,529
4-2-90.3No0419383091014,702*
384-1-100.0No01728412040043,667*
364-0-11OutNo01123436152057,955
3-2-10OutNo0112343615203,738*
343-1-11OutNo04213929719,986*
323-0-12OutNo0082739224012,809*
302-1-12OutNo011435341411,644*
282-0-13OutNo04194129701,790*
261-1-13OutNo82943182157*
241-0-14OutNo131940325168*
220-1-14OutNo4040205
200-0-15OutNo0745471,511
Total:83.6%34.1%3711141514129753110000010,904,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)