| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Western Bulldogs Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.04 to 70.4%
20 points 5-0-2
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bulldogs 123 Crows 108 | +9.6 | +8.9 | +1.0 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.5 | -0.7 | ||||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.3 | -0.4 | ||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.3 | -0.6 | ||||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +0.2 | -0.6 | ||||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +0.2 | -0.2 | ||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.1 | -0.7 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Demons vs Bulldogs | -9.1+0.5+9.0 | -9.6-0.6+9.7 | -1.0+0.0+1.0 | |||
| Giants vs Bulldogs | -9.0+0.6+9.0 | -9.9-0.5+10.0 | -1.0+0.0+1.0 | |||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | -8.8+0.8+8.7 | -9.1-0.5+9.1 | -0.9+0.0+0.9 | |||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.5*-0.2+0.5 | -0.9*-0.1+0.9 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.5*+0.4+0.4 | -0.6*+0.4+0.6 | ||||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.4*+0.2-0.4 | -0.4*+0.1+0.4 | ||||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.4*+0.3-0.4 | +0.9*+0.2-0.9 | ||||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.4*-0.3+0.4 | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | ||||
| Saints vs Dockers | -0.4*+0.2+0.3 | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | ||||
| Blues vs Cats | -0.3*-0.0+0.3 | +0.6*-0.0-0.6 | ||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.3*+0.1+0.3 | -0.5*+0.2+0.5 | ||||
| Saints vs Bombers | -0.3*+0.2+0.2 | -0.2*+0.2+0.2 | ||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | |||||
| Lions vs Magpies | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | +0.9*-0.1-0.9 | ||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.1*-0.2+0.2 | -0.2*-0.3+0.2 | ||||
| Dockers vs Tigers | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | +0.9*-0.4-0.8 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +0.7*-0.0-0.7 | |||||
| Giants vs Suns | -0.6*+0.0+0.6 | |||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.3*+0.4+0.3 | |||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.3*+0.3-0.3 | |||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.3*+0.2-0.3 | |||||
| Crows vs Giants | +0.2*-0.2-0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Bulldogs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 80 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 553 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 63 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 1,137 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 852 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | 8,030 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 5,449 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 33,330 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | 1,675 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 21,338 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 67 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 99,456 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 6,140 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 100.0 | % | 48 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 57,523 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 50 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 1,113 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 99.7 | 30 | 45 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 218,313 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 99.8 | 30 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15,331 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 98.2 | 13 | 39 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 115,369 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 98.2 | 13 | 38 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2,375 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | In | 90.4 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 365,155 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 90.6 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27,235 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | 70.8 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172,760 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 69.4 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3,862 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 99.9 | 39.0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 469,494 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 99.9 | 38.7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36,020 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | In | 37.7 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 363 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 50 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 98.7 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 197,367 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 98.7 | 11.1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4,469 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 87.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 468,687 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 87.5 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36,406 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 85.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 381 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 57.3 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 173,159 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 57.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3,845 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 19.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 365,376 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 19.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27,457 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 2.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115,017 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 1.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2,516 | * | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218,965 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 15,393 | * | |||||||||||||
| 38 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 57,740 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 1,056 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 36 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 99,214 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6,124 | * | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 21,060 | * | |||||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 33,114 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 5 | 1,642 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 5,248 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 33 | 7,853 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 41 | 51 | 776 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 1,133 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 2 | 14 | 84 | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 92 | 549 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 70.4 | % | 36.7 | % | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3,527,532 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
