SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Dockers 77 Giants 95 +9.1
+8.3
+1.0
Tigers 90 Hawks 136 -0.3
-0.6
Power 136 Lions 59 -0.3
-0.4
Cats 123 Eagles 79 +0.2
*-0.1
Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 +0.2
-0.6
Swans 135 Bombers 54 -0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tigers vs Magpies+0.2*+0.3-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Crows vs Giants-9.1+0.8+9.1
-9.7*-0.1+9.7
-1.0+0.0+1.0
Giants vs Bulldogs+9.0+0.9-9.0
+10.0-0.5-9.9
+1.0+0.1-1.0
Giants vs Suns+9.0+0.7-9.0
+9.4-0.6-9.3
+1.0+0.0-1.0
Hawks vs Dockers-0.6*+0.2+0.6
-0.9*+0.1+0.9
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Demons vs Lions-0.5*-0.0+0.5
-0.6*+0.2+0.6
Kangaroos vs Blues+0.4*+0.0-0.4
-0.5*-0.1+0.5
Lions vs Hawks+0.4*-0.2-0.4
+0.8*-0.1-0.8
Saints vs Dockers-0.4*+0.0+0.4
-0.2*+0.1+0.2
Crows vs Cats-0.3*-0.1+0.3
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Hawks vs Swans-0.2*-0.4+0.3
Eagles vs Saints-0.2*-0.1+0.2
-0.5*-0.2+0.5
Saints vs Bombers-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Blues vs Cats-0.2*+0.0+0.2
+0.7*-0.0-0.7
Lions vs Magpies+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Swans vs Kangaroos-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Tigers vs Swans+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.9*+0.1-1.0
Dockers vs Tigers+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Magpies vs Bulldogs+0.1*+0.3-0.2
+0.7+0.5-0.8
Blues vs Power+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3*+0.1-0.3
Demons vs Bulldogs-0.1*+0.2+0.1
+0.2*+0.3-0.3
Eagles vs Suns-0.3*+0.3+0.3
Magpies vs Cats+0.8*-0.0-0.8
Suns vs Crows+0.3*+0.3-0.4
Bombers vs Kangaroos+0.8*-0.2-0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsTop 4123456789101112131415161718Count
78-80InYes100618*
7614-0-1InYes10001,161*
7413-1-1InYes991812*
7213-0-2InYes97308,041*
7012-1-2InYes94605,378*
6812-0-3InYes8911033,098
11-2-2InYes891001,660*
6611-1-3InYes79201020,989*
6411-0-4In100.0%663040099,302
10-2-3InYes6531406,166*
6210-1-4In100.04642101057,933
9-3-3InYes4940911,040*
6010-0-5In99.7304521400218,670
9-2-4In99.82946214015,361*
589-1-5In98.113393512200115,330
8-3-4In98.313393412202,530*
569-0-6100.0%90.4523372581000365,420
8-2-5In90.85233725810027,293*
548-1-6In70.618263622610172,965
7-3-5In69.2182635236103,885*
528-0-799.939.1021126322071000468,610
7-2-699.938.6021026332171035,997
6-4-5In40.711228312251349*
507-1-798.711.100292533227100196,552
6-3-698.811.30292534217104,333*
487-0-887.11.80029223124102000470,373
6-2-787.51.900292231241020036,553
5-4-690.32.612822322591340*
466-1-857.30.1016193228123000172,614
5-3-756.70.001519322911303,847*
446-0-919.40.00014152729176100364,458
5-2-819.1No01414282917510027,297*
425-1-92.5No00211273320610115,291
4-3-82.6No02112633206102,428*
405-0-100.2No002821312511200219,027
4-2-90.2No00282231251020015,086*
384-1-100.0No00162133271020057,798
3-3-9OutNo1621332910101,077*
364-0-11OutNo0015183229132099,909
3-2-10OutNo01518322911306,066*
343-1-11OutNo00162135278120,919
2-3-10OutNo015213922101318
323-0-12OutNo017233726632,935
2-2-11OutNo1623382661,703*
302-1-12OutNo02113439145,476*
282-0-13OutNo0031844347,905*
261-1-13OutNo084250820*
241-0-14OutNo0326711,180*
220-1-14OutNo217962
200-0-15OutNo0594557
Total:70.4%36.7%791010998766543221103,527,532

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)