SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Dockers 77 Giants 95 +3.9
+4.3
+0.4
Cats 123 Eagles 79 +0.5
*-0.1
Tigers 90 Hawks 136 -0.4
-0.7
-0.0
Power 136 Lions 59 -0.4
-0.2
Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 +0.1
-0.4
-0.0
Swans 135 Bombers 54 -0.1
-0.7
-0.0
Suns 87 Demons 160 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tigers vs Magpies+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Giants vs Suns+4.4-0.6-7.3
+7.2-2.8-11.9
+0.5-0.1-0.8
Crows vs Giants-6.5*+0.0+5.1
-11.5-1.7+9.0
-0.8-0.1+0.6
Giants vs Bulldogs+5.2+0.6-5.3
+11.4-0.4-11.3
+0.7+0.0-0.7
Demons vs Lions-0.4+0.2+0.9
-0.4+0.3+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Crows vs Cats-0.8-0.2+0.5
+0.6*+0.1-0.3
Eagles vs Saints-0.4*+0.2+0.7
-0.5*+0.2+0.9
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Hawks vs Dockers-0.2+0.2+0.8
-0.7+1.0+2.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kangaroos vs Blues+0.2-0.2-0.7
-0.2*+0.0+0.7
Lions vs Hawks+0.7*+0.1-0.2
+2.3+0.7-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Blues vs Cats-0.5-0.2+0.2
+1.5+0.5-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Demons vs Bulldogs-0.4-0.2+0.3
+1.1*+0.2-0.9
Hawks vs Swans-0.4*-0.2+0.3
-0.3*-0.2+0.2
Magpies vs Bulldogs+0.4*+0.1-0.2
+2.2+0.6-1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Blues vs Power+0.3*-0.0-0.2
+0.5*+0.2-0.4
Suns vs Crows+0.2*-0.0-0.2
+0.6*+0.2-0.4
Eagles vs Suns-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.3+0.7
Tigers vs Swans+0.2*-0.0-0.0
+2.3+0.8-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Saints vs Dockers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Swans vs Kangaroos-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-1.0-0.6+0.8
Saints vs Bombers-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Lions vs Magpies+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Magpies vs Cats+1.8+0.6-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Bombers vs Kangaroos+1.0*+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Power vs Eagles+0.1+0.4-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsTop 4123456789101112131415161718Count
8015-0-0InYes9913,931
7814-1-0InYes9551,619
7614-0-1InYes9010028,114*
7413-1-1InYes7921117,525*
7213-0-2InYes643330140,041
12-2-1InYes6632205,280*
7012-1-2InYes46467083,155*
6812-0-3In100.0%29511820436,894
11-2-2In100.03151171022,506*
6611-1-3In99.8144832500235,572
10-3-2In99.8155030403,708*
6411-0-4In98.36344316200923,227
10-2-3In98.563543151058,066*
6210-1-4In93.31184431600451,760
9-3-3In93.711943306008,513*
6010-0-5100.0%79.20731411830001,404,373
9-2-4In80.107324117300100,876*
589-1-5In55.4021539331010618,488
8-3-4In56.402163932101013,218*
569-0-6100.030.600525382461001,579,983
8-2-5100.030.90052539246100122,661
7-4-499.930.8052540236001,234
548-1-699.710.40110303719400621,116
7-3-599.810.901103037183014,396*
528-0-797.43.0003153432142001,344,954
7-2-697.53.00316343213200108,132
6-4-597.42.70216343114201,124*
507-1-788.40.300418363010100468,311
6-3-689.20.305193629101011,164*
487-0-867.30.0017243624710876,027*
6-2-767.40.0001724362571070,553
466-1-835.8No018273722500263,103
5-3-736.3No018263721506,161*
446-0-915.1No00213323416300432,980
5-2-814.7No002133234163034,163*
425-1-92.6No0021536331210110,399
4-3-83.1No0315363412102,528*
405-0-100.5No0016233826610162,337
4-2-90.5No01523382661011,771*
384-1-100.0No0182941193035,011*
364-0-110.0No0021538331110045,051
3-2-10OutNo021537341112,969*
343-1-11OutNo042340276007,689*
323-0-12OutNo0110323717309,346*
302-1-12OutNo2173931911,156*
282-0-13OutNo06243924601,276*
261-1-13OutNo111034409497
241-0-14OutNo41741334112*
220-1-14OutNo1001
200-0-15OutNo0747461,509
Total:87.5%41.7%4913161513108532100000010,904,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)