| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
Collingwood Magpies Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Plays at Tigers 7:50 PM, playoff odds down 0.1 to 17.1%
8 points 2-0-5
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Magpies 84 Blues 99 | -7.8 | -3.2 | -1.0 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.4 | -0.2 | ||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +0.1 | |||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | -6.2-1.1+6.3 | -1.9-0.5+1.9 | -1.0-0.1+1.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +6.6-1.1-6.5 | +2.0-0.7-2.0 | +0.9-0.1-0.9 | |||
| Magpies vs Cats | +6.4-0.9-6.3 | +2.1-0.6-2.0 | +0.9-0.0-0.9 | |||
| Lions vs Magpies | -6.3-0.8+6.3 | -1.9-0.5+1.9 | -1.0-0.0+1.0 | |||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.4*+0.0+0.4 | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | ||||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.4*-0.1+0.4 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.3*-0.1-0.3 | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Saints vs Dockers | -0.3*+0.0+0.3 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.3*-0.3-0.3 | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | |||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.2*-0.3+0.2 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Saints vs Bombers | -0.2*+0.3+0.1 | |||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Blues vs Cats | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.1*-0.3+0.1 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Dockers vs Tigers | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Giants vs Suns | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Crows vs Giants | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Magpies finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 68 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 92 | 8 | 561 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 80 | 20 | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 74 | 24 | 3 | 1,119 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 52 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 806 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 99.9 | % | 36 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 8,014 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 98.6 | 16 | 43 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5,379 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 93.9 | 7 | 29 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33,126 | |||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 93.3 | 6 | 30 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1,723 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 74.7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21,012 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 73.4 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 335 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | 47.1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 99,361 | |||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 47.1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6,146 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 98.9 | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57,303 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.8 | 15.3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1,053 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 89.6 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218,714 | ||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 90.2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 15,431 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 115,099 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2,445 | * | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 22.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 365,184 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 21.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27,627 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 2.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172,869 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 2.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3,883 | * | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 469,244 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36,338 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | No | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 389 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197,250 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4,475 | * | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 468,916 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36,539 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 26 | 32 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 342 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 172,534 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 3,805 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 364,579 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 4 | 27,843 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 11 | 114,955 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 36 | 12 | 2,392 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 44 | 26 | 219,105 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 45 | 25 | 15,377 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 57,929 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 1 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 1,105 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | 99,792 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 60 | 6,055 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 75 | 21,012 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 33,069 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 1 | 14 | 86 | 1,630 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 5,218 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 7,895 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 827 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 1,052 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | -10 | Out | No | 100 | 621 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.1 | % | 3.6 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3,527,532 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
