| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
North Melbourne Kangaroos Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Beat Saints 82-75, playoff odds up 4.6 to 92.3%
28 points 7-0-0
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | +5.0 | +8.8 | +0.7 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.3 | -0.4 | ||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.2 | -0.6 | ||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.8 | |||||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +3.7+1.2-3.7 | +8.3+1.9-8.4 | +0.6+0.2-0.6 | |||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -3.6+1.2+3.6 | -8.9+1.8+8.8 | -0.7+0.1+0.7 | |||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | -3.5+1.2+3.4 | -8.0+2.0+7.9 | -0.6+0.2+0.6 | |||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.2*+0.2+0.2 | -0.6*+0.0+0.6 | ||||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | -0.8*+0.1+0.8 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.1-0.3+0.1 | |||||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | +0.8*+0.2-0.8 | ||||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | +0.2*+0.2-0.2 | ||||
| Saints vs Dockers | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Lions vs Magpies | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | ||||
| Blues vs Cats | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | +0.6*+0.4-0.6 | ||||
| Eagles vs Saints | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | -0.5*+0.3+0.4 | ||||
| Saints vs Bombers | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1*+0.4+0.1 | ||||
| Dockers vs Tigers | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.8*+0.2-0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Crows vs Giants | +0.2*+0.3-0.2 | |||||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +0.7*+0.2-0.7 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | +0.7*+0.0-0.7 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Giants vs Suns | -0.5*+0.2+0.5 | |||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.2+0.5-0.3 | |||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.3*+0.3-0.3 | |||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.3*+0.4+0.2 | |||||
| Demons vs Bulldogs | +0.2*+0.4-0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Kangaroos finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 82 | -88 | In | Yes | 100 | 2,622 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 7,857 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 5,367 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 33,161 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 1,623 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 99 | 1 | 20,903 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | 308 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | 99,362 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 6,090 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | 57,474 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | 1,032 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 218,598 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 90 | 9 | 0 | 15,255 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 115,154 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | Yes | 85 | 14 | 1 | 2,454 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | In | 100.0 | % | 66 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 365,095 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 100.0 | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27,557 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | In | 100.0 | 53 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 172,796 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | Yes | 53 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 3,769 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | In | 99.5 | 27 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 468,913 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | In | 99.6 | 28 | 45 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 36,588 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | In | Yes | 36 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 349 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | In | 98.2 | 16 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197,968 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | In | 97.9 | 15 | 39 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4,427 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | 100.0 | % | 85.2 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 469,352 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | In | 86.3 | 3 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36,108 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | In | 86.0 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 336 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 100.0 | 68.6 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 172,318 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | In | 67.7 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3,867 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 99.7 | 24.5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 365,314 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 99.7 | 25.2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27,583 | * | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 97.9 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 115,046 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 97.9 | 9.1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2,430 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 72.9 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218,090 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 74.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15,242 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | 46.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 57,810 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 42.9 | No | 0 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1,072 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 44 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | 6.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100,069 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | 6.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 6,141 | * | ||||||||||||
| 42 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | 1.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21,000 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | 1.3 | No | 1 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 320 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 40 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33,398 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1,610 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5,374 | * | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 7,853 | * | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 789 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 10 | 1,080 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | Out | No | 4 | 13 | 40 | 29 | 15 | 55 | |||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 38 | 553 | |||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 92.3 | % | 71.4 | % | 31 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,527,532 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
