"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Bulldogs 123 Crows 108 -9.6
-8.8
-1.0
Dockers 77 Giants 95 -0.5
-0.7
Power 136 Lions 59 -0.3
-0.3
Tigers 90 Hawks 136 -0.3
-0.6
Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 +0.3
-0.4
Swans 135 Bombers 54 -0.2
-0.8
Cats 123 Eagles 79 +0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tigers vs Magpies+0.2+0.5-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Top 4100.0*Average seed
Suns vs Crows-10.3*-0.1+10.3
-7.0-1.1+7.0
-1.1-0.0+1.1
Crows vs Giants+10.3*+0.0-10.3
+7.5-0.9-7.4
+1.0-0.0-1.1
Crows vs Cats+10.1*-0.3-10.0
+7.5-1.3-7.4
+1.0-0.0-1.0
Hawks vs Dockers-0.6*+0.0+0.6
-0.6*+0.0+0.6
Demons vs Lions-0.6*-0.1+0.6
-0.4*+0.1+0.4
Kangaroos vs Blues+0.5*-0.4-0.5
-0.4*-0.3+0.4
Blues vs Cats-0.3-0.5+0.3
+0.5*-0.3-0.5
Lions vs Hawks+0.4*+0.1-0.4
+0.6*+0.2-0.6
Saints vs Dockers-0.4*+0.0+0.4
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Eagles vs Saints-0.3*+0.2+0.3
-0.3*+0.1+0.3
Saints vs Bombers-0.2*-0.1+0.3
Magpies vs Bulldogs+0.3*-0.1-0.2
+0.6*+0.2-0.6
Lions vs Magpies+0.2*-0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Hawks vs Swans-0.2*-0.3+0.2
Tigers vs Swans+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.7*-0.0-0.7
Swans vs Kangaroos-0.2*+0.0+0.2
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Dockers vs Tigers+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Demons vs Bulldogs-0.1*-0.2+0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Magpies vs Cats+0.7*+0.1-0.7
Bombers vs Kangaroos+0.6-0.4-0.6
Giants vs Suns-0.4*+0.2+0.4
Eagles vs Suns-0.2+0.5+0.2
Blues vs Power+0.2*-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crows finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsTop 4123456789101112131415161718Count
7615-0-0InYes1000564
7414-1-0InYes10057
7214-0-1InYes9821,114*
7013-1-1InYes946867*
6813-0-2InYes901007,967*
6612-1-2InYes8019105,264*
6412-0-3In100.0%673030033,159
11-2-2InYes6630401,662*
6211-1-3In99.94742101021,392*
6011-0-4In99.731452030099,675
10-2-3In99.7314519406,215*
5810-1-4In98.11339351220057,758
9-3-3In97.814393311201,106*
5610-0-5In91.052537248100218,513
9-2-4In90.8525372481015,420*
549-1-5100.0%69.8182635227100115,597
8-3-4In71.818283520712,361*
529-0-699.940.702112732207100364,428
8-2-599.940.50211273219710027,368*
508-1-698.610.800292533228100173,351
7-3-598.411.502102433227203,907*
488-0-788.22.10002923312392000469,492
7-2-688.31.800292331231020036,460
6-4-591.02.228223424810368
467-1-756.90.101619322812300197,586
6-3-656.90.001619312713304,398*
447-0-821.50.00015162929165100469,610
6-2-721.10.000151629291651036,018
5-4-620.1No031729311451364*
426-1-82.6No002112733206100172,213
5-3-72.7No002122633196103,941*
406-0-90.2No002102331239200364,783
5-2-80.2No002923322392027,401*
385-1-90.0No00172233259100115,031
4-3-8OutNo0172234259102,438*
365-0-10OutNo00172133261020218,120
4-2-9OutNo017213326102015,334*
344-1-10OutNo0172335257157,560
3-3-9OutNo027243623801,045*
324-0-11OutNo0019263623599,501
3-2-10OutNo01827362246,156*
303-1-11OutNo0021335371221,333*
283-0-12OutNo00422442933,234
2-2-11OutNo032344291,644*
262-1-12OutNo011143455,322*
242-0-13OutNo0430667,919*
221-1-13OutNo22177775*
201-0-14OutNo010901,129*
180-1-14OutNo69447
160-0-15OutNo0199565
Total:51.9%20.4%3567788888766543213,527,532

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs