| Method: | |
| Weighted | |
| 50/50 | |
| Season: | |
| AFL | |
| 28 | Kangaroos |
| 24 | Cats |
| 24 | Swans |
| 20 | Bulldogs |
| 20 | Giants |
| 20 | Hawks |
| 16 | Crows |
| 16 | Eagles |
| 16 | Demons |
| 16 | Power |
| 12 | Suns |
| 12 | Blues |
| 8 | Saints |
| 8 | Magpies |
| 4 | Tigers |
| 4 | Lions |
| 4 | Bombers |
| 0 | Dockers |
| Australia | |
| AFL | |
| USA | |
| Australia | |
| Canada | |
| What is this? | |
| Blog | |
| Friends | |
St. Kilda Saints Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Lost to Kangaroos 75-82, playoff odds down 7.5 to 17.9%
8 points 2-0-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Saints 75 Kangaroos 82 | -7.8 | -3.3 | -1.0 | |||
| Dockers 77 Giants 95 | -0.4 | -0.3 | ||||
| Power 136 Lions 59 | -0.4 | -0.2 | ||||
| Tigers 90 Hawks 136 | -0.3 | -0.2 | ||||
| Swans 135 Bombers 54 | -0.2 | -0.3 | ||||
| Cats 123 Eagles 79 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Tigers vs Magpies | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Top 4 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eagles vs Saints | -6.8-1.4+6.8 | -2.0-0.7+2.1 | -0.9-0.1+1.0 | |||
| Saints vs Bombers | +6.5-1.4-6.5 | +1.9-0.7-1.9 | +1.0-0.1-1.0 | |||
| Saints vs Dockers | +6.4-1.3-6.4 | +2.0-0.7-1.9 | +1.0-0.1-1.0 | |||
| Demons vs Lions | -0.4*-0.1+0.4 | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Hawks vs Dockers | -0.4*-0.0+0.4 | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | ||||
| Lions vs Hawks | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Kangaroos vs Blues | +0.3*-0.2-0.3 | -0.1-0.2+0.1 | ||||
| Crows vs Cats | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Swans vs Kangaroos | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Hawks vs Swans | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Magpies vs Bulldogs | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Tigers vs Swans | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Lions vs Magpies | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Blues vs Cats | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Blues vs Power | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Eagles vs Suns | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Bombers vs Kangaroos | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Magpies vs Cats | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Giants vs Suns | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Crows vs Giants | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Demons vs Bulldogs | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Suns vs Crows | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Saints finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Top 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 68 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 94 | 6 | 552 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 81 | 17 | 2 | 58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 75 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1,067 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | Yes | 55 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 811 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100.0 | % | 37 | 45 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 8,031 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 98.5 | 16 | 41 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5,363 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 94.1 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33,088 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 93.8 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1,638 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 72.9 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21,400 | * | |||||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 48.8 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 99,169 | |||||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 49.0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6,088 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57,693 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.1 | 12.4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1,100 | * | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 92.0 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218,651 | |||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 91.9 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15,259 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 58.4 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 114,813 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 59.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2,475 | * | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 27.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 364,883 | |||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27,269 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 2.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 171,987 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 2.9 | No | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3,962 | * | |||||||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 0.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 469,491 | ||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 36,604 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 381 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 197,790 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4,399 | * | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 470,216 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 36,554 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 23 | 37 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 303 | ||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 172,574 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 3,967 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 364,996 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 27,551 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 11 | 115,612 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 2,348 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 218,688 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 25 | 15,163 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 43 | 57,355 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 1 | 12 | 43 | 45 | 1,020 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 99,277 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | 6,158 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 20,807 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | 320 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 13 | 86 | 33,219 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | Out | No | 1 | 13 | 86 | 1,662 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 5,300 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 13 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 7,906 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 13 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 795 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 14 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 1,104 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | -10 | Out | No | 100 | 615 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 17.9 | % | 3.7 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3,527,532 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
