"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Paris Saint-Ger 4 Leicester City 0 No
-0.1
Real Madrid 3 Chelsea 2 +0.8
+0.2
Liverpool 2 Milan 0 +0.4
+0.3
Inter Milan 1 Bayern Munich 4 +0.2
+0.9
Barcelona 3 Celtic 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid+0.2-0.2-1.4-3.0
Barcelona vs Leicester City-0.0+0.1+0.4+0.5
Milan vs Chelsea+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome SOAway SOAway
Week of 8/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Liverpool vs Barcelona+0.4+0.2-0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Bayern Munich finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-OT-WL-SOwins title12345678910Count
71-0-00-0No48525,761,673,968
60-0-10-0No19681401,645,106,624
50-0-00-1No015543163,195,576
40-0-01-0No14049900224,997,012
Total:No40543110007,694,973,180
Points
Chance Will Win Championship