How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Manchester City+0.0*NoNo
+3.1-0.4-1.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.9+0.4-0.4
Liverpool vs West Ham-0.3+0.3+0.8
Manchester United vs Chelsea+0.2+0.0-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920RelegatedCount
7811-0-00.0%99.7%05736600No48,572
7610-1-00.094.9023462650No167,682
7510-0-10.085.70103838131No183,756
749-2-00.076.2062942213No604,019
739-1-10.057.7021640348No1,283,705
728-3-00.041.8019334216No1,930,679*
718-2-1No26.004224727No3,945,906
708-1-2No13.801134442No3,889,899
7-4-0No15.701144539No1,767,158
697-3-1No7.400738550No7,067,031
8-0-3No6.500637570No1,221,947
687-2-2No3.100329680No10,181,446
6-5-0No3.50033067No1,680,370
676-4-1No1.300120780No8,192,795
7-1-3No1.100119790No6,257,029
666-3-2No0.400013870No15,370,281
7-0-4No0.40012870No1,387,072
5-6-0No0.50014860No1,122,250
656-2-3No0.10079200No13,883,414
5-5-1No0.1008920No6,421,859
645-4-2No0.0004950No15,275,078*
6-1-4No0.00049600No6,044,574
635-3-3No0.00029710No17,431,258
4-6-1No0.0029710No4,474,951*
625-2-4No0.0019720No11,196,302
4-5-2No0.0019810No9,514,705*
614-4-3No0.0009630No13,562,670
5-1-5No0.0009540No3,718,350
3-7-1No0.0019720No1,265,124
604-3-4No0.00093700No11,454,169
3-6-2No0.00094500No4,452,451*
593-5-3No0.000901000No6,711,792
4-2-5NoNo0881200No5,928,381*
583-4-4No0.000821710No6,980,518
4-1-6NoNo0821810No2,541,408*
573-3-5NoNo0712720No4,516,075
2-6-3NoNo07523100No2,269,132*
562-5-4NoNo06234400No2,540,528
3-2-6NoNo05837500No1,940,127*
552-4-5NoNo04744900No2,782,512*
542-3-6NoNo034491610No1,612,221*
531-5-5NoNo0214927300No854,437*
521-4-6NoNo0124338700No419,360*
511-3-7NoNo532461510No186,913*
501-2-8NoNo2194826400No73,620*
490-4-7NoNo0939381210No25,407*
480-3-8NoNo03244125610No7,459*
470-2-9NoNo01233371530No1,753
460-1-10NoNo419373092No247
450-0-11NoNo052035281020No27,928
Total:0.0%2.4%0002983510000000No224,416,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship