Newcastle United Title Chances 2017-2018

Beat Manchester United 1-0, average seed up 1.4 to 14

28 points 7-7-13

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/24	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bournemouth vs Newcastle United	+5.0-1.0-8.1		-0.7+0.0+1.4
Leicester City vs Stoke City	-0.6+0.2+2.0		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Burnley vs Southampton	-0.6+0.1+1.2		+0.1+0.0-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur	+1.3+0.3-0.5		-0.2-0.0+0.1
West Brom vs Huddersfield Town	-0.2-0.3+0.7		+0.0+0.0-0.1
Liverpool vs West Ham	-0.1+0.1+0.3		+0.0-0.0-0.2
Brighton vs Swansea City	+0.1-0.2-0.0		-0.0+0.1-0.0
Watford vs Everton	+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Newcastle United finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance		Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title	UEFA CL	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Relegated		Count

61	11	-	0	-	0	No	No					1	48	51	0													No		27,934
59	10	-	1	-	0	No	No						27	69	4													No		524
58	10	-	0	-	1	No	No						15	77	8													No		935
57	9	-	2	-	0	No	No					0	11	77	11	0												No		3,562
56	9	-	1	-	1	No	No					0	6	74	19	1												No		12,285
55	8	-	3	-	0	No	No					0	3	67	28	2	0											No		24,517	*
54	8	-	2	-	1	No	No					0	1	56	37	5	0											No		71,137
53	8	-	1	-	2	No	No						0	43	46	11	0	0										No		154,938	*
52	7	-	3	-	1	No	No						0	30	50	18	1	0										No		303,886	*
51	7	-	2	-	2	No	No						0	18	48	29	4	0	0									No		651,174	*
50	7	-	1	-	3	No	No						0	10	41	40	9	1	0									No		1,149,642	*
49	6	-	3	-	2	No	No						0	4	29	46	18	2	0	0								No		1,982,627	*
48	6	-	2	-	3	No	No						0	1	17	45	30	6	0	0	0							No		3,383,746	*
47	5	-	4	-	2	No	No						0	0	8	36	39	14	2	0	0							No		2,888,492
	6	-	1	-	4	No	No							0	7	33	41	17	3	0	0							No		2,195,307	*
46	5	-	3	-	3	No	No							0	3	21	42	27	7	1	0	0						No		7,498,495	*
45	5	-	2	-	4	No	No							0	0	9	32	38	18	4	0	0	0					No		7,262,417
	4	-	5	-	2	No	No							0	1	11	35	36	15	3	0	0	0					No		3,320,125	*
44	4	-	4	-	3	No	No							0	0	3	20	38	28	9	1	0	0	0				No		8,583,664
	5	-	1	-	5	No	No							0	0	2	17	36	31	11	2	0	0	0				No		5,001,034	*
43	4	-	3	-	4	No	No							0	0	1	7	26	37	22	6	1	0	0	0			0.0	%	13,375,361
	3	-	6	-	2	No	No								0	1	9	29	36	19	5	1	0	0				No		2,423,969
	5	-	0	-	6	No	No								0	0	6	23	37	25	8	1	0	0				No		1,192,403	*
42	4	-	2	-	5	No	No								0	0	2	12	30	34	17	4	0	0	0			0.0		12,375,277
	3	-	5	-	3	No	No								0	0	2	14	33	32	15	3	0	0	0			0.0		7,680,694	*
41	3	-	4	-	4	No	No									0	0	4	18	34	29	12	2	0	0	0		0.0		14,364,960
	4	-	1	-	6	No	No									0	0	3	16	33	31	14	3	0	0	0		0.0		6,308,875
	2	-	7	-	2	No	No									0	1	5	21	35	27	10	2	0	0			0.0		1,123,390	*
40	3	-	3	-	5	No	No									0	0	1	6	22	34	25	9	1	0	0		0.1		17,449,934
	2	-	6	-	3	No	No									0	0	1	8	24	35	23	8	1	0	0		0.1		3,985,153
	4	-	0	-	7	No	No									0	0	1	5	20	34	27	10	2	0	0		0.1		1,407,270	*
39	3	-	2	-	6	No	No										0	0	1	9	25	34	22	7	1	0	0	0.9		13,114,553
	2	-	5	-	4	No	No										0	0	2	10	27	34	20	6	1	0	0	0.7		9,309,246	*
38	2	-	4	-	5	No	No										0	0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0	0	4.2		13,463,269
	3	-	1	-	7	No	No											0	0	2	11	28	34	19	5	0	0	5.1		5,574,672	*
	1	-	7	-	3	No	No										0	0	0	3	15	31	32	15	3	0	0	3.4		1,178,434
37	2	-	3	-	6	No	No											0	0	0	4	16	33	32	13	2	0	15.4		13,257,253
	1	-	6	-	4	No	No											0	0	0	4	17	33	31	12	2	0	14.3		4,118,823	*
36	2	-	2	-	7	No	No												0	0	1	5	21	37	28	8	1	36.7		8,294,312
	1	-	5	-	5	No	No												0	0	1	6	22	37	27	7	0	33.9		5,541,446	*
35	1	-	4	-	6	No	No													0	0	1	9	29	39	19	2	60.4		6,520,674
	2	-	1	-	8	No	No													0	0	1	8	28	40	20	3	62.2		3,420,907	*
34	1	-	3	-	7	No	No													0	0	0	2	15	40	34	8	82.2		6,682,870	*
33	1	-	2	-	8	No	No															0	0	5	29	46	19	94.2		2,827,740
	0	-	5	-	6	No	No															0	0	6	30	46	18	93.6		1,249,889
32	0	-	4	-	7	No	No															0	0	1	16	48	34	98.6		2,129,750	*
31	0	-	3	-	8	No	No																0	0	7	41	52	99.8		987,291	*
30	0	-	2	-	9	No	No																	0	3	29	69	100.0		395,265
29	0	-	1	-	10	No	No																	0	1	17	83	100.0		105,655
28	0	-	0	-	11	No	No																		0	6	94	Yes		40,544

Total:						No	No					0	0	0	1	4	6	9	11	12	12	12	11	9	7	4	1	12.3	%	224,416,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship