San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0006 to 0.5%

62-70 .470

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 3 Twins 5	-2.4		-0.3
Mets 4 Dodgers 9	-0.2

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 0 Twins 2	-2.3		-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

92	30	-	0	In		69	30	1	1												183
91	29	-	1	In		100															1
90	28	-	2	In			100														1
89	27	-	3	In			80		20												5
88	26	-	4	98.4	%	3	14	33	43	5	2										63
87	25	-	5	94.2		0	9	23	41	21	5	0									295
86	24	-	6	85.4		0	2	15	34	34	13	1									1,304
85	23	-	7	58.2			0	6	15	37	31	10	1								4,184
84	22	-	8	29.0			0	2	4	24	40	25	6	0							12,132
83	21	-	9	8.7				0	1	8	29	40	20	2	0						29,655
82	20	-	10	1.5				0	0	1	12	35	39	11	1						62,172
81	19	-	11	0.1				0	0	0	3	19	45	28	5	0					112,665
80	18	-	12	0.0						0	0	6	33	43	17	1	0				177,727
79	17	-	13	Out							0	1	15	42	35	7	0	0			246,762
78	16	-	14	Out							0	0	4	26	46	20	3	0			299,249
77	15	-	15	Out								0	1	10	40	37	11	1	0		319,290
76	14	-	16	Out								0	0	3	22	43	27	5	0		299,543
75	13	-	17	Out									0	0	8	33	41	17	1	0	247,030
74	12	-	18	Out										0	2	17	43	35	4	0	177,244
73	11	-	19	Out											0	5	30	50	14	0	112,158
72	10	-	20	Out											0	1	14	50	32	3	61,842
71	9	-	21	Out												0	4	34	51	10	29,538
70	8	-	22	Out												0	1	15	57	27	11,958
69	7	-	23	Out													0	5	45	50	4,207
68	6	-	24	Out														1	26	73	1,233
67	5	-	25	Out															13	87	293
66	4	-	26	Out															2	98	55
65	3	-	27	Out															13	88	8
62	0	-	30	Out																100	183

Total:				0.5	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	9	15	22	20	16	10	3	1	2,210,980

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 3 Twins 5	+0.7

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 0 Twins 2	+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

92	30	-	0	4	22	40	27	6	2
91	29	-	1			100
90	28	-	2					100
89	27	-	3				20		20	40	20
88	26	-	4				2	13	11	29	29	13	3	2
87	25	-	5					1	4	16	35	29	9	4	2	0
86	24	-	6					0	0	4	18	38	26	8	5	2	0
85	23	-	7							0	3	21	33	9	17	11	4	1	0
84	22	-	8							0	0	6	23	4	17	25	17	6	1	0	0
83	21	-	9								0	1	8	1	7	22	31	22	8	2	0	0
82	20	-	10									0	1	0	1	7	20	31	26	11	2	0	0
81	19	-	11									0	0		0	1	5	17	31	29	13	3	0	0
80	18	-	12										0		0	0	0	4	16	32	31	14	3	0	0
79	17	-	13													0	0	0	3	15	32	32	15	3	0	0	0
78	16	-	14															0	0	3	14	32	32	15	3	0	0	0
77	15	-	15															0	0	0	3	14	32	31	15	4	0	0
76	14	-	16																	0	0	3	15	31	31	16	4	1	0	0
75	13	-	17																		0	0	3	14	29	31	17	5	1	0	0
74	12	-	18																			0	0	3	14	29	31	18	5	1	0	0
73	11	-	19																				0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	1	0
72	10	-	20																				0	0	0	3	12	27	33	20	5	0	0
71	9	-	21																						0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4	0
70	8	-	22																								0	2	11	32	37	17	1
69	7	-	23																									0	2	15	38	37	8
68	6	-	24																										0	4	24	51	22
67	5	-	25																												9	51	40
66	4	-	26																												2	40	58
65	3	-	27																													38	63
62	0	-	30																													3	97

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	9	12	13	13	11	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0