Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.07 to 3.3%

67-66 .504

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7	+3.4		+0.4
Cubs 6 Yankees 1	+0.5
Pirates 2 Orioles 9	-0.5

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 6	+3.4		+0.4
Cubs 2 Yankees 4	-0.5
Pirates 9 Orioles 8	+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

96	29	-	0	In		49	50	1													183
94	27	-	2	In			100														2
93	26	-	3	In		7	93														15
92	25	-	4	In		3	70	19	1	7											105
91	24	-	5	99.8	%	0	54	29	5	12	0										516
90	23	-	6	97.4			34	33	6	25	3	0									1,977
89	22	-	7	90.9			18	33	4	37	9	1									6,380
88	21	-	8	74.1			6	27	2	39	22	3	0								17,935
87	20	-	9	47.5			1	16	0	30	38	14	1	0							41,132
86	19	-	10	22.4			0	7	0	15	41	32	5	0							82,971
85	18	-	11	6.9			0	2	0	5	28	46	17	2	0						142,654
84	17	-	12	1.4				0	0	1	12	43	36	8	0						213,817
83	16	-	13	0.2				0	0	0	3	26	47	23	1	0					279,541
82	15	-	14	0.0				0		0	0	10	42	43	5	0					319,618
81	14	-	15	Out							0	2	25	56	16	0					318,735
80	13	-	16	Out							0	0	11	52	35	1	0				279,079
79	12	-	17	Out								0	3	36	56	5	0	0			213,423
78	11	-	18	Out								0	1	19	67	13	0	0			142,600
77	10	-	19	Out									0	7	63	28	3	0			82,212
76	9	-	20	Out									0	2	47	42	9	1	0		41,127
75	8	-	21	Out										0	27	48	21	3	0		17,819
74	7	-	22	Out										0	11	42	35	11	1		6,347
73	6	-	23	Out										0	4	28	42	23	3		1,993
72	5	-	24	Out												11	41	37	11		499
71	4	-	25	Out												4	18	38	38	2	90
70	3	-	26	Out													16	44	36	4	25
69	2	-	27	Out															100		2
67	0	-	29	Out													1	5	54	41	183

Total:				3.3	%	0	0	1	0	2	6	14	22	30	21	4	1	0	0	0	2,210,980

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7	-0.7

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 6	-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

96	29	-	0	49	50	1	1
94	27	-	2			50	50
93	26	-	3	7	20	67	7
92	25	-	4	3	18	45	29	6
91	24	-	5	0	6	27	34	23	8	1	0			0
90	23	-	6		1	9	27	31	22	6	1			3	0
89	22	-	7		0	2	10	25	28	19	6	1	0	8	1
88	21	-	8		0	0	2	7	19	25	16	5	1	22	4	0
87	20	-	9			0	0	1	5	12	16	10	3	38	14	1	0
86	19	-	10				0	0	0	2	6	8	5	39	33	6	0	0	0
85	18	-	11						0	0	1	2	4	23	42	22	5	1	0
84	17	-	12							0	0	0	1	7	28	35	21	6	1	0	0
83	16	-	13								0	0	0	1	8	25	33	23	8	1	0	0
82	15	-	14									0	0	0	1	7	21	33	26	10	2	0	0
81	14	-	15											0	0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0	0
80	13	-	16												0	0	1	5	19	33	28	12	2	0	0
79	12	-	17													0	0	1	5	18	32	29	13	3	0	0
78	11	-	18														0	0	1	5	17	32	29	13	3	0	0
77	10	-	19																0	1	4	17	31	29	14	3	0	0
76	9	-	20																	0	0	4	16	30	29	16	4	1	0
75	8	-	21																		0	0	4	15	29	30	16	5	1	0
74	7	-	22																			0	0	3	13	28	31	18	5	1	0
73	6	-	23																				0	0	3	14	28	33	18	4	0	0
72	5	-	24																						0	2	13	30	32	19	3
71	4	-	25																								6	13	28	36	16	2
70	3	-	26																									4	32	52	12
69	2	-	27																												100
67	0	-	29																											2	17	56	25

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	5	8	9	10	12	13	12	10	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0