Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Plays at Orioles, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.6%
65-68   .489

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays 0 Athletics 3 -1.9
-0.3
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 +0.3
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 -0.2
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays 2 Athletics 3 -1.7
-0.3
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9429-0In2368721183
9328-1In1001
9126-3In443813616
9025-495.3%31376215107
8924-589.21734335101499
8823-665.26252332951,866
8722-742.62160254017106,299
8621-820.40701340355017,627
8520-96.50242748161041,326
8419-101.3011244357082,719
8318-110.100325472220142,810
8217-120.000093941100213,834
8116-13Out022149270279,495
8015-14Out008405020319,629
7914-15Out002236870319,099
7813-16Out010721710278,903
7712-17Out03613230213,790
7611-18Out0141461110141,813
7510-19Out02148264082,740
749-20Out08374014141,170
738-21Out22045304017,710
727-22Out0735461206,483
716-23Out219502912,069
705-24Out1743463511
694-25Out223651084
683-26Out21572114
650-29Out2971183
Total:0.6%00000261323401231002,210,980
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rays 0 Athletics 3 +0.6
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rays 2 Athletics 3 +0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9429-022442671
9328-1100
9126-325313113
9025-415213627615
8924-52520302471101
8823-601716241530296
8722-7014121682391810
8621-80027843835500
8520-900133234619400
8419-10000173235186100
8318-11001102632218200
8217-12001821312511200
8116-13001518312913300
8015-140004163131143000
7914-15000315333114300
7813-160003163330143000
7712-1700417322914300
7611-1800417302915400
7510-19001415293016400
749-20004142930174000
738-2101314293416300
727-220031533331320
716-2303183730101
705-2401724382460
694-25112944134
683-267774336
650-2943858
Total:00000000001346710121413118532100000