New York Mets Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Plays Braves, playoff odds down 0.005 to 0.3%
62-71   .466

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 4 Dodgers 9 -2.7
-0.3
Nationals 9 Reds 4 -0.2
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mets 3 Dodgers 4 -2.5
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9129-0In464752183
8927-2In1002
8826-3In443317618
8725-498.8%6373422182
8624-582.122024361530504
8523-657.6091435311111,945
8422-727.0033213928606,391
8321-88.300172843201017,504
8220-91.600212394070041,177
8119-100.1032150223082,425
8018-110.000739401310143,142
7917-12Out01184231800213,503
7816-13Out00527422230279,742
7715-14Out011035391310319,289
7614-15Out0219432960319,311
7513-16Out0063243180279,081
7412-17Out0116443620213,459
7311-18Out006325390142,521
7210-19Out01185822182,172
719-20Out0075039441,511
708-21Out0233531217,785
697-22Out01756276,456
686-23Out0747472,002
675-24Out33166455
664-25Out1981120
653-26Out128817
620-29Out100183
Total:0.3%000001381318221914302,210,980
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 4 Dodgers 9 +0.7
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 3 Dodgers 4 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9129-01732312171
8927-2100
8826-3111744226
8725-42182832181
8624-5041331359621
8523-6021738101512510
8422-704234162619710
8321-8018062031249200
8220-9020162033261020
8119-100001519342811200
8018-11000418342912300
7917-12000417323014300
7816-130004163131153000
7715-14003153131154100
7614-1500314303016510
7513-1600315293017510
7412-17003142931175100
7311-18000314293217400
7210-1900315313216300
719-200041633321320
708-2101419373181
697-220162443233
686-2319394111
675-2402214828
664-25104743
653-2664747
620-29496
Total:00000000000001236810121312118642100