Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.1%

61-72 .459

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins 5 Phillies 6	+2.7		+0.3
Braves 5 Brewers 0	-0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins 14 Phillies 5	-3.0		-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

90	29	-	0	In		34	36	5	24	1											183
88	27	-	2	In		33			67												3
87	26	-	3	In			8	17	75												12
86	25	-	4	88.6	%	1	1	10	34	42	9	2									88
85	24	-	5	66.1				6	17	43	28	6	0								513
84	23	-	6	37.4				1	6	30	38	22	3	0							1,939
83	22	-	7	12.9				0	1	12	34	39	14	1							6,287
82	21	-	8	2.4				0	0	2	16	43	33	5	0						17,649
81	20	-	9	0.3						0	4	25	47	20	3	0					41,061
80	19	-	10	0.0						0	0	8	39	38	13	1	0				82,070
79	18	-	11	Out							0	1	18	42	31	7	1	0			142,681
78	17	-	12	Out							0	0	5	25	42	23	4	0	0		213,767
77	16	-	13	Out								0	1	9	34	38	16	2	0		279,565
76	15	-	14	Out								0	0	2	17	40	33	8	0		320,599
75	14	-	15	Out									0	0	5	27	45	22	0		319,285
74	13	-	16	Out										0	1	12	43	41	3	0	279,296
73	12	-	17	Out										0	0	4	30	57	9	0	213,513
72	11	-	18	Out											0	1	16	62	21	1	142,283
71	10	-	19	Out											0	0	7	54	36	3	81,974
70	9	-	20	Out												0	2	38	51	9	41,403
69	8	-	21	Out													0	22	57	21	17,658
68	7	-	22	Out													0	10	53	37	6,403
67	6	-	23	Out														4	41	56	1,982
66	5	-	24	Out														1	30	68	478
65	4	-	25	Out															15	85	79
64	3	-	26	Out															14	86	22
63	2	-	27	Out																100	4
61	0	-	29	Out															1	99	183

Total:				0.1	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8	14	19	24	22	6	1	2,210,980

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Marlins 5 Phillies 6	-0.7

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Marlins 14 Phillies 5	+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

90		29	-	0		3	15	33	30	13	5	1
88		27	-	2					33	33		33
87		26	-	3							25	25	42	8
86		25	-	4						1	5	19	38	26	6	3		2
85		24	-	5								5	25	36	5	16	9	3	1	0
84		23	-	6								0	7	29	4	16	22	14	6	1	0
83		22	-	7								0	1	12	1	6	21	29	20	8	2	0
82		21	-	8									0	2	0	1	6	19	31	26	11	2	0	0
81		20	-	9										0		0	1	5	17	31	30	14	3	0	0
80		19	-	10										0			0	0	3	14	32	31	15	3	0	0
79		18	-	11														0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0	0	0
78		17	-	12															0	0	2	12	29	33	18	5	1	0
77		16	-	13																0	0	2	11	28	33	19	6	1	0	0
76		15	-	14																	0	0	2	11	27	33	20	6	1	0	0
75		14	-	15																		0	0	2	11	27	33	20	6	1	0
74		13	-	16																			0	0	2	11	28	34	19	4	0	0
73		12	-	17																				0	0	3	13	31	34	16	3	0	0
72		11	-	18																					0	0	4	17	34	32	11	2	0
71		10	-	19																						0	1	5	21	37	27	8	1	0
70		9	-	20																							0	1	8	26	37	23	4	0
69		8	-	21																							0	0	2	12	31	37	16	2
68		7	-	22																									0	3	17	38	34	8
67		6	-	23																										0	5	25	45	24
66		5	-	24																											1	13	47	38
65		4	-	25																											1	8	23	68
64		3	-	26																													23	77
61	-63																																	100

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	10	12	13	14	13	10	6	3	1	0	0