Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 5.7%

65-67 .492

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins 5 Phillies 6	-3.4		-0.4
Nationals 9 Reds 4	-0.3
Pirates 2 Orioles 9	+0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins 14 Phillies 5	+3.3		+0.4
Braves 1 Brewers 6	+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

95	30	-	0	In		97	3														183
93	28	-	2	In		50	50														2
92	27	-	3	In		63	38														8
91	26	-	4	In		57	35		8												51
90	25	-	5	In		29	47	6	18												321
89	24	-	6	In		13	41	16	28	2											1,210
88	23	-	7	99.7	%	3	26	23	42	7	0										4,134
87	22	-	8	96.5		0	10	21	44	21	3	0									12,195
86	21	-	9	83.9		0	2	14	32	36	14	2	0								29,577
85	20	-	10	57.0			0	6	14	37	32	10	1	0							62,083
84	19	-	11	27.0			0	1	4	22	39	28	6	0							112,553
83	18	-	12	8.0				0	1	7	29	43	20	1	0						178,552
82	17	-	13	1.5				0	0	1	12	39	41	6	0	0					246,614
81	16	-	14	0.1				0	0	0	3	23	54	18	2	0	0				298,740
80	15	-	15	0.0						0	0	8	47	36	8	1	0	0			320,036
79	14	-	16	Out							0	2	27	45	22	4	0	0			298,564
78	13	-	17	Out							0	0	10	35	38	15	2	0			246,870
77	12	-	18	Out								0	2	17	37	32	10	1	0		177,621
76	11	-	19	Out									0	4	22	40	27	6	0		112,372
75	10	-	20	Out									0	1	8	31	42	19	0		61,838
74	9	-	21	Out										0	2	15	44	38	2	0	29,439
73	8	-	22	Out											0	4	31	56	9	0	12,105
72	7	-	23	Out												1	17	60	21	1	4,116
71	6	-	24	Out												0	5	56	36	3	1,258
70	5	-	25	Out													1	40	51	8	274
69	4	-	26	Out														21	58	21	71
68	3	-	27	Out														30	20	50	10
65	0	-	30	Out															12	88	183

Total:				5.7	%	0	0	1	1	4	7	14	25	20	13	8	4	2	0	0	2,210,980

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Marlins 5 Phillies 6	+0.7

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Marlins 14 Phillies 5	-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

95	30	-	0	40	44	14	1
93	28	-	2		100
92	27	-	3		38	38	25
91	26	-	4		10	35	37	12	4	2
90	25	-	5		1	14	33	32	16	4		0
89	24	-	6		0	3	13	30	29	19	5	1
88	23	-	7			0	2	11	26	31	21	6	1	0	0
87	22	-	8				0	1	8	23	32	25	8	3	1	0
86	21	-	9				0	0	1	5	20	33	25	8	5	2	0	0
85	20	-	10						0	0	4	19	34	10	16	12	4	1	0	0
84	19	-	11							0	0	5	22	4	17	25	18	6	1	0	0
83	18	-	12								0	1	7	1	7	21	30	23	9	2	0	0
82	17	-	13									0	1	0	1	6	20	32	27	11	2	0	0
81	16	-	14									0	0	0	0	1	5	18	33	29	11	2	0	0
80	15	-	15										0			0	0	4	17	33	30	12	2	0	0
79	14	-	16														0	0	4	17	32	30	14	3	0	0	0
78	13	-	17														0	0	0	4	15	30	31	16	4	0	0	0
77	12	-	18																0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	1	0	0
76	11	-	19																	0	0	2	11	27	33	20	6	1	0
75	10	-	20																		0	0	2	10	26	34	21	6	1	0
74	9	-	21																			0	0	2	10	27	35	20	5	0	0
73	8	-	22																					0	2	11	31	35	17	3	0
72	7	-	23																						0	3	17	35	33	11	2	0
71	6	-	24																						0	1	4	23	38	25	8	0
70	5	-	25																									7	24	45	20	3	1
69	4	-	26																									1	7	41	39	10	1
68	3	-	27																										10	30	30	20	10
65	0	-	30																											1	4	32	63

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	1	2	4	6	9	11	13	12	11	9	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0