Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 50.6%
70-64   .522

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 -2.0
-0.3
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0 -0.3
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 +2.0
+0.3
Cardinals 3 Diamondbacks 2 -0.3
Braves 1 Brewers 6 -0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
97-99In100187*
9626-3In94618
9525-4In928101
9424-5In861310492
9323-6In7424111,856
9222-7In5736436,504
9121-8In3645118017,597
9020-9100.0%194519170040,973
8919-10100.073228312082,289
8818-1199.62172943900142,826
8717-1296.80522472230213,345
8616-1386.7011236381210280,274
8515-1465.404194228600319,162
8414-1537.301630422010318,790
8313-1614.901133939700279,075
8212-173.7004234921300214,146
8111-180.5018403812100142,009
8010-190.00220423060082,811
799-20Out0527432140041,449
788-21Out0193337173017,672
777-22Out0021536331326,542
766-23Out03193732902,033
755-24Out162341291520
744-25Out1338463107
733-26Out208015
722-27Out50504
700-29Out35569183
Total:50.6%14817202017831000002,210,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs