San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2014-4

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.008 to 0.3%

62-70 .470

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 3 Twins 5	-1.0		-0.3
Marlins 5 Phillies 6	+0.1
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0	-0.1

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 0 Twins 2	-0.7		-0.2
Mets 3 Dodgers 4	-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

92	30	-	0	In		33	54	5	8												583
90	28	-	2	In			33	33	33												3
89	27	-	3	In			35	15	50												34
88	26	-	4	97.8	%		6	17	56	19	2										232
87	25	-	5	87.5			2	10	40	36	12	1	0								1,263
86	24	-	6	66.4			0	3	21	42	27	6	0								5,341
85	23	-	7	36.9			0	1	7	29	39	21	4	0							18,162
84	22	-	8	13.6				0	1	12	35	37	14	0	0						50,467
83	21	-	9	3.3				0	0	3	19	42	33	3	0						121,867
82	20	-	10	0.5				0	0	0	6	31	52	10	1	0					246,128
81	19	-	11	0.0						0	1	14	57	25	3	0					433,093
80	18	-	12	0.0						0	0	4	44	41	10	0	0				658,852
79	17	-	13	Out							0	1	25	47	25	2	0	0			873,354
78	16	-	14	Out							0	0	10	39	41	9	0	0			1,011,287
77	15	-	15	Out								0	3	22	49	24	2	0			1,021,345
76	14	-	16	Out								0	0	9	41	41	9	1	0		904,749
75	13	-	17	Out									0	2	23	50	22	3	0		700,186
74	12	-	18	Out									0	0	9	42	39	10	0		471,908
73	11	-	19	Out									0	0	2	25	46	26	2	0	278,217
72	10	-	20	Out											0	10	39	44	7	0	141,370
71	9	-	21	Out											0	3	22	53	21	1	62,748
70	8	-	22	Out											0	0	9	44	41	5	23,318
69	7	-	23	Out												0	2	25	55	19	7,407
68	6	-	24	Out													0	8	50	42	1,980
67	5	-	25	Out														1	35	64	414
66	4	-	26	Out															12	88	76
65	3	-	27	Out															8	92	13
62	0	-	30	Out																100	583

Total:				0.3	%	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	15	22	25	19	9	4	1	0	7,034,980

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 3 Twins 5	+0.6

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 0 Twins 2	+0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

92	30	-	0		1	7	28	37	21	4	1
90	28	-	2						33	67
89	27	-	3				3		15	26	41	15
88	26	-	4						3	10	34	40	11	2	0
87	25	-	5						0	2	17	39	29	6	5	1	0
86	24	-	6							0	3	22	41	7	16	8	2	0
85	23	-	7							0	0	8	29	4	20	23	13	3	0	0
84	22	-	8								0	2	12	1	11	27	28	15	4	0	0
83	21	-	9									0	3	0	2	13	28	31	18	5	0	0
82	20	-	10									0	0	0	0	3	12	28	34	19	4	0	0
81	19	-	11									0	0		0	0	2	11	30	36	17	3	0	0
80	18	-	12										0			0	0	2	13	34	34	15	2	0	0
79	17	-	13														0	0	3	17	36	32	11	1	0	0
78	16	-	14														0	0	0	5	21	39	28	6	0	0
77	15	-	15																0	1	7	27	42	20	3	0	0
76	14	-	16																0	0	1	11	36	37	12	2	0	0	0
75	13	-	17																	0	0	2	18	41	28	9	1	0	0
74	12	-	18																		0	0	5	25	37	24	8	1	0	0
73	11	-	19																			0	1	8	26	35	22	7	1	0	0
72	10	-	20																				0	1	10	26	34	21	6	1	0	0
71	9	-	21																				0	0	2	10	27	34	20	5	1	0
70	8	-	22																						0	2	10	28	35	21	5	0
69	7	-	23																							0	2	10	29	37	19	3
68	6	-	24																								0	2	12	34	38	14	0
67	5	-	25																										2	17	43	35	2
66	4	-	26																											5	33	50	12
65	3	-	27																											8	8	62	23
62	0	-	30																													36	64

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	13	17	19	15	9	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0