Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Plays Rays, playoff odds up 0.7 to 94%
75-56   .573

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 +3.2
+0.3
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 +0.5
Angels 9 Astros 3 -0.3
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 -3.1
-0.3
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 -0.5
Padres 0 Twins 2 -0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
101-106In100404*
10025-6In982766
9924-7In9732,757
9823-8In901008,210
9722-9In8119020,804
9621-10In6534045,408
9520-11In4752187,209
9419-12In286840145,230
9318-13In14761000212,501
9217-14100.0%57321000272,547
9116-15100.0162370000308,456
9015-1699.8044550100309,605
8914-1798.90257003100272,664
8813-1894.60117706510212,405
8712-1983.03710812500146,408
8611-2061.30540720172087,156
8510-2134.3031321359145,568
849-2212.701211243275020,858
838-232.520429441918,124
827-240.300114040802,677
816-25Out22650210804
805-26Out1844461196
794-27Out32665634
77-78Out1006*
750-31Out17324515183
Total:94.0%9434002321000002,210,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs