Arizona Diamondbacks Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 0.004%

55-78 .414

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0	-1.3		-0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cardinals 3 Diamondbacks 2	-1.1		-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

84		29	-	0	44.8	%			3	8	33	36	17	2								183
82		27	-	2	Out								100									2
81		26	-	3	Out							7	36	29	29							14
80		25	-	4	Out								17	30	35	17						103
79		24	-	5	Out								3	18	41	31	6	1				478
78		23	-	6	Out								0	3	23	44	25	5	1			1,980
77		22	-	7	Out									1	8	31	39	18	3	0		6,469
76		21	-	8	Out									0	1	14	35	34	13	2		17,663
75		20	-	9	Out										0	3	19	39	30	8	0	41,260
74		19	-	10	Out										0	1	7	27	43	23	0	82,181
73		18	-	11	Out											0	1	13	41	44	1	142,548
72		17	-	12	Out											0	0	4	28	64	4	214,132
71		16	-	13	Out												0	1	15	73	12	278,502
70		15	-	14	Out												0	0	6	69	25	318,715
69		14	-	15	Out													0	2	55	43	319,912
68		13	-	16	Out													0	0	38	62	279,421
67		12	-	17	Out														0	22	77	214,051
66		11	-	18	Out														0	11	89	142,234
65		10	-	19	Out														0	5	95	82,707
64		9	-	20	Out														0	2	98	41,505
63		8	-	21	Out															0	100	17,783
62		7	-	22	Out															0	100	6,343
61		6	-	23	Out															0	100	2,025
55	-60				Out																100	769	*

Total:					0.0	%			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	45	39	2,210,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0	+0.6

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cardinals 3 Diamondbacks 2	+0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

84		29	-	0								1	8	36	3	15	21	11	5
82		27	-	2															100
81		26	-	3														7	36	29	21		7
80		25	-	4															7	20	20	36	16	1
79		24	-	5															0	5	11	27	32	19	4
78		23	-	6																0	2	10	27	36	19	6	1
77		22	-	7																0	0	2	10	28	34	20	6	1	0
76		21	-	8																		0	2	11	27	33	20	6	1	0	0
75		20	-	9																		0	0	2	10	25	32	22	8	1	0	0
74		19	-	10																			0	0	2	9	23	32	23	8	1	0
73		18	-	11																				0	0	2	8	23	33	24	8	1	0
72		17	-	12																					0	0	1	8	24	35	24	7	0	0
71		16	-	13																						0	0	2	10	28	37	21	3	0
70		15	-	14																							0	0	2	13	34	38	12	1
69		14	-	15																								0	0	3	19	44	29	5
68		13	-	16																								0	0	1	7	33	45	16
67		12	-	17																									0	0	2	17	48	33
66		11	-	18																										0	0	6	40	53
65		10	-	19																											0	2	26	72
64		9	-	20																												0	15	85
63		8	-	21																												0	7	93
62		7	-	22																													3	97
61		6	-	23																													1	99
60		5	-	24																													1	99
55	-59																																	100

Total:												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	11	16	21	21	15