Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Plays Rangers, playoff odds unchanged at 0.0003%

56-78 .418

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Angels 9 Astros 3	-1.3		-0.3
Rays 0 Athletics 3	-0.1

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Angels 2 Astros 1	-1.0		-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

84		28	-	0	3.8	%					4	19	47	26	5							183
82		26	-	2	Out									20	40	40						5
81		25	-	3	Out									9	64	23	5					22
80		24	-	4	Out									7	32	44	16	1				183
79		23	-	5	Out									1	14	47	35	2				767
78		22	-	6	Out									0	4	33	52	10	0			3,112
77		21	-	7	Out									0	1	16	59	23	2	0		9,624
76		20	-	8	Out										0	6	49	39	7	0		25,710
75		19	-	9	Out										0	1	31	49	17	2		56,802
74		18	-	10	Out											0	16	47	31	6	0	107,880
73		17	-	11	Out											0	6	35	43	16	0	177,010
72		16	-	12	Out											0	2	20	46	32	1	250,114
71		15	-	13	Out											0	0	9	39	49	3	308,012
70		14	-	14	Out												0	3	25	62	9	330,596
69		13	-	15	Out												0	1	13	65	22	308,849
68		12	-	16	Out													0	5	56	39	250,525
67		11	-	17	Out													0	2	40	59	176,952
66		10	-	18	Out													0	0	24	76	107,692
65		9	-	19	Out														0	12	88	57,260
64		8	-	20	Out														0	5	95	25,667
63		7	-	21	Out															2	98	9,820
62		6	-	22	Out															0	100	3,010
61		5	-	23	Out															0	100	787
56	-60				Out																100	398	*

Total:					0.0	%					0	0	0	0	0	0	3	11	22	41	22	2,210,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Angels 9 Astros 3	+0.6

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Angels 2 Astros 1	+0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

84		28	-	0								1	1	2	14	36	27	14	4	1
82		26	-	2															20	20	40	20
81		25	-	3															14	9	50	18	9
80		24	-	4														1	4	16	27	30	16	5	1
79		23	-	5															0	2	9	26	32	20	8	1	0
78		22	-	6																0	2	9	25	32	22	8	1	0	0
77		21	-	7																	0	1	8	23	33	24	9	2	0	0
76		20	-	8																		0	1	7	22	31	24	11	3	0	0
75		19	-	9																		0	0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0
74		18	-	10																			0	0	1	6	19	32	28	12	2	0
73		17	-	11																				0	0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1	0	0
72		16	-	12																					0	0	1	7	23	38	26	5	0	0
71		15	-	13																						0	0	1	9	30	42	17	2	0
70		14	-	14																							0	0	2	14	40	35	8	1
69		13	-	15																								0	0	4	25	45	23	3
68		12	-	16																									0	1	10	38	39	12
67		11	-	17																									0	0	3	22	47	29
66		10	-	18																										0	0	9	40	51
65		9	-	19																											0	2	25	72
64		8	-	20																												0	13	87
63		7	-	21																												0	5	95
62		6	-	22																													2	98
61		5	-	23																													1	99
56	-60																																	100

Total:												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	9	14	21	21	16	10