Chicago White Sox Playoff Chances 2014-4 50/50

Plays Indians, playoff odds up 0.0009 to 0.02%

60-72 .455

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals 6 White Sox 7	+2.9		+0.4
Cubs 6 Yankees 1	+0.3
Padres 3 Twins 5	-0.3

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals 3 White Sox 1	-3.0		-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the White Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

90		30	-	0	In		1	30	66	2	2											183
88		28	-	2	In						100											1
87		27	-	3	In			17	33	17	33											6
86		26	-	4	53.6	%		3	29	1	20	33	13									69
85		25	-	5	19.4				9		10	33	36	12	1							335
84		24	-	6	4.4				3		2	18	39	32	6	0						1,261
83		23	-	7	0.4				0		0	5	25	45	22	3						4,177
82		22	-	8	0.0						0	1	9	37	40	12	0					11,999
81		21	-	9	Out							0	2	19	44	32	3					29,652
80		20	-	10	Out							0	0	6	31	50	13	0				61,819
79		19	-	11	Out								0	1	15	52	31	0				112,111
78		18	-	12	Out									0	5	40	53	2	0			177,770
77		17	-	13	Out									0	1	23	69	7	0	0		246,811
76		16	-	14	Out										0	10	71	17	1	0		299,149
75		15	-	15	Out										0	3	60	32	5	0		319,363
74		14	-	16	Out										0	1	41	44	14	1	0	299,279
73		13	-	17	Out											0	22	46	27	4	0	246,597
72		12	-	18	Out											0	9	37	42	11	0	179,060
71		11	-	19	Out											0	3	23	48	25	1	112,313
70		10	-	20	Out												1	10	43	42	4	61,634
69		9	-	21	Out												0	3	29	56	11	29,296
68		8	-	22	Out													1	15	61	24	12,071
67		7	-	23	Out													0	5	55	40	4,256
66		6	-	24	Out														2	42	55	1,219
65		5	-	25	Out															24	76	296
64		4	-	26	Out															8	92	63
60	-63				Out																100	190	*

Total:					0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	12	41	23	13	5	1	2,210,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals 6 White Sox 7	-0.7

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals 3 White Sox 1	+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

90		30	-	0		3	15	28	31	17	4	1
88		28	-	2							100
87		27	-	3					17	17	33	33
86		26	-	4					1	6	7	23	14	1	33	13
85		25	-	5							0	1	9	9	30	34	15	1	1
84		24	-	6									1	3	13	32	33	13	4	0
83		23	-	7									0	0	2	12	29	31	18	6	1	0
82		22	-	8										0	0	2	10	24	31	22	9	2	0
81		21	-	9												0	1	7	20	31	25	12	3	0	0
80		20	-	10												0	0	1	5	17	30	28	15	4	1	0
79		19	-	11														0	0	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0	0
78		18	-	12														0	0	0	3	12	27	31	20	6	1	0	0
77		17	-	13															0	0	0	2	11	26	33	21	6	1	0	0
76		16	-	14																	0	0	2	10	26	34	21	6	1	0	0
75		15	-	15																	0	0	0	2	10	27	34	21	6	1	0	0
74		14	-	16																			0	0	2	10	27	34	21	6	1	0
73		13	-	17																				0	0	2	11	27	34	20	5	0	0
72		12	-	18																				0	0	0	2	12	29	35	18	4	0	0
71		11	-	19																						0	0	3	13	33	35	15	2	0
70		10	-	20																							0	0	3	17	37	33	9	1
69		9	-	21																								0	0	5	23	42	25	4
68		8	-	22																									0	1	9	34	42	14
67		7	-	23																									0	0	2	20	47	31
66		6	-	24																											0	8	40	52
65		5	-	25																												2	24	73
64		4	-	26																													11	89
60	-63																																	100

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	8	11	13	14	13	11	8	5	3	1	0