St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2014-4

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 65.8%
71-61   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0 +2.3
+0.2
Braves 5 Brewers 0 +0.5
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 +0.3
Nationals 9 Reds 4 *+0.1
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 3 Diamondbacks 2 +2.2
+0.2
Braves 1 Brewers 6 -0.7
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 +0.3
Mets 3 Dodgers 4 -0.2
Marlins 14 Phillies 5 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
98-101In100615*
9726-4In955236
9625-5In871301,091
9524-6In762314,717
9423-7In60374016,092
9322-8In404811145,731
9221-9In22522330110,097
9120-10In10433890226,909
9019-11100.0%328491910405,798
8918-1299.81134932500627,013
8817-1398.10438401620844,224
8716-1491.10122363281993,718
8615-1574.5009234222301,024,182
8514-1649.6031036391200924,543
8413-1725.2013214628100730,451
8312-189.00183748600505,365
8211-192.2002205619200303,666
8110-200.30074637910158,530
809-210.0012545244071,665
798-22Out083539152027,617
787-23Out021741319108,994
776-24Out05263924502,443
765-25Out173141191574
754-26Out41938373109
743-27Out38501316
732-28Out1001
710-30Out01755271583
Total:65.8%161819211812310000007,034,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs