Chicago White Sox Playoff Chances 2014-4

Plays Indians, playoff odds unchanged at 0.008%

60-72 .455

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals 6 White Sox 7	+2.5		+0.3
Rangers 2 Mariners 6	-0.3
Angels 9 Astros 3	-0.2
Pirates 2 Orioles 9	-0.2
Padres 3 Twins 5	-0.2
Cubs 6 Yankees 1	*+0.1

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Royals 3 White Sox 1	-1.8		-0.2
Rangers 4 Mariners 3	+0.3
Padres 0 Twins 2	-0.3
Angels 2 Astros 1	-0.2
Cubs 2 Yankees 4	-0.2
Pirates 9 Orioles 8	+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the White Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

90	30	-	0	98.1	%		6	87	0	5	2										583
86	26	-	4	Out							50	50									4
85	25	-	5	14.8				7		7	30	33	22								27
84	24	-	6	0.7				1			13	46	32	7	1						139
83	23	-	7	Out							2	21	46	26	5						541
82	22	-	8	Out							0	6	33	44	16	1					2,387
81	21	-	9	Out							0	1	14	43	36	5					8,251
80	20	-	10	Out								0	4	27	51	18					24,404
79	19	-	11	Out								0	1	11	49	39	0				62,515
78	18	-	12	Out								0	0	3	34	62	0				139,530
77	17	-	13	Out									0	1	19	79	1	0			270,396
76	16	-	14	Out									0	0	8	87	5	0			460,000
75	15	-	15	Out										0	3	86	11	0	0		685,175
74	14	-	16	Out										0	1	75	22	2	0		893,022
73	13	-	17	Out											0	58	36	5	0		1,020,529
72	12	-	18	Out											0	38	48	13	0		1,022,431
71	11	-	19	Out											0	21	51	26	2	0	890,720
70	10	-	20	Out											0	9	43	42	6	0	676,885
69	9	-	21	Out											0	3	28	53	16	0	443,564
68	8	-	22	Out												1	14	54	31	0	248,172
67	7	-	23	Out												0	6	43	49	2	117,793
66	6	-	24	Out												0	2	28	64	6	46,915
65	5	-	25	Out													0	15	71	14	15,456
64	4	-	26	Out													0	5	68	27	3,979
63	3	-	27	Out														1	54	44	845
62	2	-	28	Out															37	63	123
61	1	-	29	Out															45	55	11
60	0	-	30	Out															13	87	583

Total:				0.0	%		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	46	29	16	5	0	7,034,980

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals 6 White Sox 7	-0.7

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Royals 3 White Sox 1	+0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

90	30	-	0			0	4	19	36	30	8	1		2
86	26	-	4											50	50
85	25	-	5								4	4	7	22	30	15	19
84	24	-	6										1	9	21	37	19	13		1
83	23	-	7											1	6	21	29	30	11	1
82	22	-	8											0	0	5	17	32	29	13	3	0
81	21	-	9												0	0	4	16	31	31	13	4	1	0
80	20	-	10													0	0	4	15	31	30	15	4	1	0
79	19	-	11														0	0	3	15	29	30	17	5	0	0
78	18	-	12															0	0	4	14	29	32	17	3	0	0
77	17	-	13															0	0	0	3	14	32	35	14	1	0	0
76	16	-	14																0	0	0	4	17	38	33	7	1	0
75	15	-	15																	0	0	0	5	25	44	21	4	0	0
74	14	-	16																		0	0	1	10	37	36	14	2	0	0
73	13	-	17																			0	0	2	19	37	30	10	1	0	0
72	12	-	18																				0	0	6	23	37	26	7	1	0	0
71	11	-	19																				0	0	1	9	27	37	21	4	0	0
70	10	-	20																					0	0	2	12	32	37	15	2	0	0
69	9	-	21																						0	0	3	16	38	32	10	1	0
68	8	-	22																						0	0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0
67	7	-	23																								0	1	9	33	41	16	1
66	6	-	24																									0	2	16	43	35	4
65	5	-	25																										0	5	30	51	13
64	4	-	26																										0	1	14	58	27
63	3	-	27																											0	6	49	46
62	2	-	28																												1	34	65
61	1	-	29																													36	64
60	0	-	30																													10	90

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	16	17	17	15	11	6	3	1	0