Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2014-4

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0009 to 99.4%
75-57   .568

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals 9 Reds 4 +2.5
+0.2
Marlins 5 Phillies 6 +0.5
Braves 5 Brewers 0 -0.2
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0 -0.1
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals 1 Reds 2 -3.8
-0.3
Braves 1 Brewers 6 +0.4
Marlins 14 Phillies 5 -0.3
Mets 3 Dodgers 4 -0.2
Cardinals 3 Diamondbacks 2 -0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
102-105In1001,152*
10126-4In10002,590
10025-5In100010,711
9924-6In100033,899
9823-7In100090,130
9722-8In991200,033
9621-9In97300376,008
9520-10In93700602,762
9419-11In841600830,946
9318-12In692910996,377
9217-13In51454001,040,623
9116-14In31561210947,295
9015-15100.0%155726300756,299
8914-16100.0544446100526,925
8813-1799.51255811500320,706
8712-1896.40960141330171,083
8611-1985.202501122132079,227
8510-2062.20326242810032,106
849-2132.901621536283011,165
838-2211.450528461413,274
827-232.61113433560885
816-240.61222472431165
805-25Out359221632
794-26Out25754
750-30Out012443770583
Total:99.4%513213210000000007,034,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs