Toronto Blue Jays Playoff Chances 2014-4

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 0.9%
67-66   .504

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7 +3.9
+0.3
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 -0.8
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 +0.5
Rangers 2 Mariners 6 -0.3
Padres 3 Twins 5 -0.2
Rays 0 Athletics 3 *+0.1
Angels 9 Astros 3 *-0.1
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 6 +3.7
+0.3
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 -0.7
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 +0.7
Rangers 4 Mariners 3 +0.3
Padres 0 Twins 2 -0.2
Angels 2 Astros 1 -0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9629-0In887410583
9427-2In1004
9326-3In523041323
9225-497.0%36310293203
9124-594.11931243501,144
9023-679.87251471924,741
8922-760.3217042337016,047
8821-834.90802744201046,358
8720-915.603012423930112,151
8619-104.90142854121233,275
8518-111.00113552840416,169
8417-120.10044043130642,226
8316-130.00012047302864,724
8215-140.00073549901,013,016
8114-15Out0118552601,034,691
8013-16Out00645490924,563
7912-17Out01287010718,874
7811-18Out00148330485,395
7710-19Out058780283,746
769-20Out01811710143,355
758-21Out068293061,756
747-22Out049428122,497
736-23Out294820306,803
725-24Out1442341001,657
714-25Out43042231335
703-26Out123947251
692-27Out2010502010
670-29Out445502583
Total:0.9%00001313203031100007,034,980
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7 -0.6
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 6 -0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9629-08464151
9427-2502525
9326-342243264
9225-40829361673
9124-5214263316251
9023-6031327271010182
8922-7003112218513360
8821-800281482452000
8720-90015644238400
8619-1000123265017300
8518-11000019383414300
8417-12000216333115300
8316-13000315313215200
8215-14000314333413200
8114-1500316363112200
8013-1600419362911200
7912-170052236279100
7811-180017243724600
7710-190019293719300
769-2000213343514200
758-210031837301010
747-22005233626810
736-23018243524710
725-2401927342260
714-251102936203
703-26622223516
692-2720502010
670-29193442140
Total:00000000003781013161412952100000000