"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2014-4

Beat Cubs 7-2, playoff odds up 0.4 to 1.5%
65-70   .481

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals 9 Reds 4 -1.9
-0.2
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 0 -0.3
Braves 5 Brewers 0 +0.2
Marlins 5 Phillies 6 +0.2
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 +0.1
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals 1 Reds 2 +2.1
+0.3
Braves 1 Brewers 6 -0.3
Cardinals 3 Diamondbacks 2 -0.2
Mets 3 Dodgers 4 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9328-0In315514583
9126-2In33673
9025-3In22369761
8924-4In01864162359
8823-599.1%0658269102,007
8722-694.201383223507,713
8621-777.60172337193025,265
8520-846.504103336152069,172
8419-917.612153735100160,921
8318-104.100421442920313,814
8217-110.500173451700530,016
8116-120.000117611920772,871
8015-130.00055236700971,761
7914-14Out013346182001,064,680
7813-15Out001543338001,008,040
7712-16Out0529442120829,959
7611-17Out01134038800591,558
7510-18Out0424482220362,901
749-19Out019423990190,942
738-20Out022648231085,484
727-21Out01243423032,576
716-22Out0430589010,388
705-23Out115622112,675
694-24Out0753383556
683-25Out138481281
672-26Out901010
661-27Out1001
650-28Out43957583
Total:1.5%00001382725191141007,034,980
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 9 Reds 4 +0.5
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 1 Reds 2 -0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9328-0525392561
9126-2333333
9025-322103036202
8924-40216373591
8823-505204524510
8722-60052843183210
8621-700933355115100
8520-8011332418209200
8419-9003151112727133000
8318-1000403132830164000
8217-110100312283318400
8116-120000212303517400
8015-13000213343314300
7914-1400317363111100
7813-1500052238287000
7712-160017274021300
7611-17001113538122000
7510-180021841289100
749-190052737237100
738-200110293420610
727-210213293318500
716-22031432321630
705-23041633331220
694-2401618392881
683-25173136177
672-264060
661-27100
650-2817344910
Total:0000000010123591316171510421000000