Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2014-4

Lost to Tigers 2-3, playoff odds down 1.7 to 3.8%

69-63 .523

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cubs 6 Yankees 1	-2.4		-0.2
Pirates 2 Orioles 9	-0.7
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7	-0.3
Rangers 2 Mariners 6	-0.2
Padres 3 Twins 5	-0.2
Angels 9 Astros 3	-0.2
Rays 0 Athletics 3	*+0.1

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cubs 2 Yankees 4	+3.1		+0.3
Pirates 9 Orioles 8	+0.5
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 6	-0.4
Padres 0 Twins 2	-0.2
Rangers 4 Mariners 3	+0.2
Angels 2 Astros 1	-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

99	30	-	0	In		63	37														583
96	27	-	3	In			100														8
95	26	-	4	In		4	94		2												52
94	25	-	5	In		1	89	4	2	4											336
93	24	-	6	99.2	%	0	71	10	3	15	1										1,543
92	23	-	7	96.9		0	50	17	3	27	3	0									5,850
91	22	-	8	88.7		0	28	21	1	39	11	0									18,393
90	21	-	9	72.6			11	19	1	42	25	2	0								50,651
89	20	-	10	50.4			3	13	0	34	40	10	0								118,119
88	19	-	11	27.9			1	6	0	21	47	25	1	0							238,113
87	18	-	12	11.9			0	2	0	9	40	44	4	0							418,656
86	17	-	13	3.6			0	1	0	3	26	59	12	0							638,687
85	16	-	14	0.8				0		1	12	59	26	2	0						854,996
84	15	-	15	0.1				0		0	4	45	43	8	0						996,448
83	14	-	16	0.0				0		0	1	25	50	23	2	0					1,022,872
82	13	-	17	0.0						0	0	9	40	43	8	0					916,335
81	12	-	18	Out							0	2	22	52	23	0					719,706
80	11	-	19	Out							0	0	8	45	47	0					491,945
79	10	-	20	Out								0	2	28	70	1	0				291,171
78	9	-	21	Out									0	13	84	3	0				150,155
77	8	-	22	Out									0	5	87	8	0	0			65,518
76	7	-	23	Out										1	81	17	1	0			24,384
75	6	-	24	Out										0	65	31	4	0			7,472
74	5	-	25	Out											43	44	12	1			1,966
73	4	-	26	Out											24	42	30	4			385
72	3	-	27	Out											10	37	41	10	2		51
71	2	-	28	Out													50	50			2
69	0	-	30	Out												2	17	65	16		583

Total:				3.8	%	0	0	1	0	3	9	28	26	20	13	0	0	0	0		7,034,980

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cubs 6 Yankees 1	+0.5

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cubs 2 Yankees 4	-0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

99	30	-	0	63	36	1
96	27	-	3		50	50
95	26	-	4	6	42	46	6
94	25	-	5	1	19	44	30	6	1
93	24	-	6		5	28	40	21	5	0				1
92	23	-	7		1	10	30	35	18	4	0			3
91	22	-	8		0	2	12	28	29	15	3	0		11	0
90	21	-	9			0	2	11	24	24	10	1	0	26	2	0
89	20	-	10			0	0	2	9	19	16	4	0	42	8	0
88	19	-	11			0	0	0	1	7	12	6	1	50	22	1	0
87	18	-	12					0	0	1	4	4	2	42	41	5	0	0
86	17	-	13						0	0	1	1	2	24	52	17	2	0	0
85	16	-	14							0	0	0	1	9	42	35	12	2	0	0
84	15	-	15								0	0	0	2	19	37	29	11	2	0	0
83	14	-	16									0	0	0	5	19	34	29	11	2	0	0
82	13	-	17										0	0	1	5	18	35	30	10	1	0	0
81	12	-	18												0	1	4	19	37	28	9	1	0	0
80	11	-	19												0	0	0	5	22	38	26	8	1	0
79	10	-	20														0	1	7	25	37	23	6	1	0
78	9	-	21														0	0	1	10	29	37	20	4	0	0
77	8	-	22																0	2	13	33	36	14	2	0	0
76	7	-	23																0	0	3	18	38	31	8	1	0
75	6	-	24																	0	0	5	24	40	23	6	1	0
74	5	-	25																			1	8	29	34	20	6	1		0
73	4	-	26																				2	10	28	31	21	5	1
72	3	-	27																					2	16	29	24	25	4
71	2	-	28																									100
69	0	-	30																							1	2	17	37	34	10	0

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	9	17	15	14	13	11	8	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0