Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2014-4

Plays Twins, playoff odds down 1.1 to 84.3%
74-58   .561

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 6 White Sox 7 -3.3
-0.3
Rangers 2 Mariners 6 -0.4
Pirates 2 Orioles 9 -0.3
Padres 3 Twins 5 -0.3
Angels 9 Astros 3 -0.3
Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 7 -0.2
Cubs 6 Yankees 1 *+0.1
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 3 White Sox 1 +2.0
+0.2
Rangers 4 Mariners 3 +0.4
Angels 2 Astros 1 -0.2
Padres 0 Twins 2 -0.2
Pirates 9 Orioles 8 +0.2
Cubs 2 Yankees 4 -0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10430-0In1000583
10329-1In1008
10228-2In93757
10127-3In928389
10026-4In81192,122
9925-5In683208,581
9824-6In4851128,005
9723-7In29684075,903
9622-8In1378900172,692
9521-9In5771800334,802
9420-10100.0%16830000551,923
9319-1199.905443020786,362
9218-1299.4038550610966,893
9117-1397.202361012301,040,894
9016-1491.01260019900974,812
8915-1578.15490252110800,333
8814-1657.613202438400574,843
8713-1734.0017017511410362,384
8612-1814.70608493150198,754
8511-194.40233344171095,022
8410-200.9011443365039,249
839-210.1004274918114,060
828-22Out111453954,339
817-23Out227551501,102
806-24Out1055341237
795-25Out3560543
784-26Out25754
773-27Out1001
740-30Out555337583
Total:84.3%129420111231000007,034,980
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs