| Week of 11/1 |
| Trinidad 2 Guatemala 1 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | +0.2 | | -2.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Trinidad | +7.3 | | +3.7 | | +0.3 | |
| Guatemala | -7.2 | | -0.9 | | -0.3 | |
| St. Vincent | -0.2 | | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Guatemala 4 St. Vincent 0 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | -0.5 | | -0.3 | | | |
| Trinidad | -2.4 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | |
| Guatemala | +3.6 | | +0.5 | | +0.4 | |
| St. Vincent | -0.7 | | | | -0.3 | |
|
| United States 0 Trinidad 0 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | -1.6 | | -12.4 | | -0.3 | |
| Trinidad | +3.5 | | +11.5 | | +0.4 | |
| Guatemala | -1.6 | | +0.9 | | -0.0 | |
| St. Vincent | -0.2 | | | | | |
|
| St. Vincent 1 United States 6 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | +0.8 | | +3.2 | | +0.1 | |
| Trinidad | | | -2.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Guatemala | -0.4 | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | |
| St. Vincent | -0.3 | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Costa Rica 2 Panama 1 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | | | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Jamaica 1 Haiti 0 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Guatemala | | | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Mexico 2 Honduras 0 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | | | | | -0.0 | |
| Trinidad | | | | | +0.0 | |
|
| El Salvador 0 Mexico 3 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | | | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Haiti 0 Costa Rica 1 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | | | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Guatemala vs TrinidadIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 94.097.298.4 | | 70.766.849.9 | | 3.03.03.3 | |
| Trinidad | 71.297.799.9 | | 24.632.550.1 | | 4.94.03.6 | |
| Guatemala | 34.75.01.6 | | 4.70.60.0 | | 7.28.28.4 | |
| St. Vincent | 0.20.10.0 | | | | 11.711.611.4 | |
|
| United States vs GuatemalaHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 99.294.075.3 | | 60.543.536.5 | | 3.13.64.3 | |
| Trinidad | 95.893.188.8 | | 39.254.653.9 | | 4.03.73.9 | |
| Guatemala | 4.912.835.8 | | 0.32.09.7 | | 8.37.97.0 | |
| St. Vincent | | | | | 11.511.611.7 | |
|
| Guatemala vs United StatesHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 78.495.899.6 | | 38.544.761.1 | | 4.13.53.1 | |
| Trinidad | 88.893.396.1 | | 53.354.038.7 | | 3.93.74.0 | |
| Guatemala | 32.710.84.2 | | 8.21.30.1 | | 7.28.08.3 | |
| St. Vincent | | | | | 11.711.611.5 | |
|
| Trinidad vs St. VincentHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 97.497.897.7 | | 52.769.775.0 | | 3.32.92.8 | |
| Trinidad | 96.690.083.2 | | 46.629.122.5 | | 3.84.34.7 | |
| Guatemala | 6.012.115.7 | | 0.81.31.5 | | 8.28.18.2 | |
| St. Vincent | 0.00.13.4 | | 0.00.00.9 | | 11.511.410.9 | |
|
| St. Vincent vs TrinidadHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 97.797.797.4 | | 75.069.452.4 | | 2.82.93.3 | |
| Trinidad | 84.590.396.7 | | 22.929.346.8 | | 4.64.33.8 | |
| Guatemala | 15.411.95.9 | | 1.61.30.7 | | 8.28.18.2 | |
| St. Vincent | 2.4*0.10.0 | | 0.50.00.0 | | 11.011.411.6 | |
|
| United States vs St. VincentHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 98.494.288.7 | | 59.943.338.4 | | 3.13.63.9 | |
| Trinidad | 95.195.393.4 | | 39.455.357.3 | | 4.03.73.7 | |
| Guatemala | 6.510.414.1 | | 0.71.42.2 | | 8.28.28.3 | |
| St. Vincent | 0.00.13.7 | | 0.00.02.2 | | 11.511.410.9 | |
|
| St. Vincent vs GuatemalaHomeDrawAway | |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 99.398.696.6 | | 56.856.756.2 | | | |
| Trinidad | 98.797.793.3 | | 43.043.042.5 | | 3.83.84.0 | |
| Guatemala | 1.53.610.1 | | 0.10.31.3 | | 9.08.28.0 | |
| St. Vincent | 0.40.00.0 | | | | 10.711.711.7 | |
|
| Trinidad vs United StatesHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| United States | 94.596.999.6 | | 8.540.393.5 | | 4.33.62.4 | |
| Trinidad | 99.596.091.9 | | 90.858.25.8 | | 2.93.64.7 | |
| Guatemala | 6.07.08.3 | | 0.71.50.7 | | | |
|
| Haiti vs JamaicaHomeDrawAway | |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Guatemala | | | | | 8.08.28.2 | |
| St. Vincent | | | | | 11.611.511.5 | |
|
| Costa Rica vs JamaicaHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Trinidad | | | | | 3.93.93.8 | |
| Guatemala | | | | | 8.28.28.3 | |
|
| Jamaica vs PanamaHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Trinidad | | | | | 3.83.93.9 | |
|
| Panama vs HaitiHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Guatemala | | | | | 8.28.28.1 | |
|
| Haiti vs PanamaHomeDrawAway | |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Qualified | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Guatemala | | | | | 8.18.28.2 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.