hornets Playoff Chances 2012-2013

Lost to Jason 40-74, playoff odds down 2.7 to 2.9%

8 points 4-7

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jason 74 Bill 40	-5.3		-0.5
Jake 48 Josh 49	+2.5
Chris 47 Brandon 46	+1.0		+0.1
Kyle 88 Yarroch 50	+0.6		+0.1
Babs 47 Stephen 41	+0.4		+0.1
Zach 65 Darryl 56			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/26	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Zach vs Bill	OutOut+10.5+10.4		-0.4-0.4+1.6+1.6
Babs vs Jake	+2.1+2.2OutOut
Brandon vs Stephen	-0.6-0.6+0.8+0.8
Darryl vs Yarroch	+0.5+0.5-0.3-0.4		+0.3+0.3-0.2-0.2
Chris vs Josh			+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3

Chances based on how well the Bill finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

12	2	-	0	22.7	%						23	52	16	9				2,067,259
10	1	-	1	Out								7	23	28	40	1	0	8,798,062
8	0	-	2	Out											3	59	38	5,233,445

Total:				2.9	%						3	11	15	17	23	20	12	16,098,766

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 11/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jason 74 Bill 40	+0.5
Babs 47 Stephen 41	-0.1
Chris 47 Brandon 46	-0.1
Kyle 88 Yarroch 50	-0.1
Zach 65 Darryl 56	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/26	100.0*	Lottery seed
Zach vs Bill	+0.4+0.4-1.6-1.6
Darryl vs Yarroch	-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2
Chris vs Josh	-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

12	2	-	0						23	52	16	9
10	1	-	1							7	23	28	40	1	0
8	0	-	2										3	59	38

Total:									3	11	15	17	23	20	12