Newton's First Law Playoff Chances 2012-2013Beat Brandon 47-46, playoff odds up 12.1 to 99.998% 14 points 7-4 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Chris 47 Brandon 46 | +11.8 | | +0.5 | | Jason 74 Bill 40 | -2.7 | | -0.1 | | Jake 48 Josh 49 | +0.8 | | +0.2 | | Babs 47 Stephen 41 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | Kyle 88 Yarroch 50 | +0.1 | | -0.0 | | Zach 65 Darryl 56 | | | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Chris vs Josh | In*In*-0.0-0.0 | | +0.2+0.2-0.9-0.9 | | Babs vs Jake | In*In*+0.0-0.0 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Brandon vs Stephen | -0.0*-0.0*InIn | | | | Kyle vs Jason | | | -0.2-0.2+0.3+0.2 | | Zach vs Bill | | | -0.0-0.1+0.2+0.2 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chris finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 2 | - | 0 | In | 3 | 35 | 40 | 21 | | | | | | | | | 7,257,821 | | 16 | | 1 | - | 1 | In | | 2 | 6 | 62 | 20 | 11 | | | | | | | 7,344,455 | | 14 | | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | | | | 0 | 17 | 83 | 0 | | | | | | 1,496,490 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 100.0 | % | 1 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | 16,098,766 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 11/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Chris 47 Brandon 46 | -0.5 | | Jake 48 Josh 49 | -0.2 | | Jason 74 Bill 40 | +0.1 | | Babs 47 Stephen 41 | +0.1 | | Kyle 88 Yarroch 50 | +0.0 | | Zach 65 Darryl 56 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Chris vs Josh | -0.2-0.2+0.9+0.9 | | Kyle vs Jason | +0.2+0.2-0.3-0.2 | | Zach vs Bill | +0.0+0.1-0.2-0.2 | | Babs vs Jake | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 35 | 40 | 21 | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 1 | - | 1 | | 2 | 6 | 62 | 20 | 11 | | | | | | | 14 | | 0 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 17 | 83 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 0 | | | | | |
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