Jea Football Playoff Chances 2011

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Trees		8	-	3	-	0	.727	199	In		+0.0	67	31	2								1.4	+0.61	1	.691	Team Green Trees
Fartsicle		8	-	3	-	0	.727	182	In			33	65	2								1.7	-0.50	2	.691	Team Fartsicle
Ants		6	-	4	-	1	.591	76	In		+0.6	0	4	73	20	3	0					3.2	+0.22	3	.576	Fire Ants
Feeny		6	-	5	-	0	.545	38	100.0	%	+0.2			19	41	23	16	0				4.4	-0.48	4	.538	William Daniels as Mr. Feeny
Cactus		5	-	5	-	1	.500	86	90.1		+22.3			1	16	48	25	9	1	0	0	5.3	+0.86	6	.500	Lonely Cactus
Steeles		5	-	5	-	1	.500	40	90.8		-1.9			3	23	22	42	8	1	0	0	5.3	-0.26	5	.500	Stompin' Steeles

Knight		4	-	7	-	0	.364	-44	2.7		-15.1					0	2	36	29	24	8	8.0	-0.61	9	.386	The Dark Knight
Explosion		4	-	7	-	0	.364	-290	7.7		+4.1					1	6	25	31	26	11	8.1	+1.04	7	.386	Explosion Imminent
When		4	-	7	-	0	.364	-50	8.3		+2.6					1	7	18	25	36	13	8.3	+0.56	8	.386	Team When
Hahne		3	-	7	-	1	.318	-237	0.4		-12.7					0	0	5	12	15	68	9.4	-1.44	10	.348	Team Hay Knee

Week of 11/20
Cactus 93 Feeny 70
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Trees	*In
Ants	-0.5		+0.2
Feeny	-0.3		-0.5
Cactus	+20.9		+0.7
Steeles	-1.3		-0.1
Knight	-8.9		-0.1
Explosion	-0.7
When	-2.8		-0.1
Hahne	-6.4		-0.1

Hahne 56 When 132
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cactus	+3.5		+0.0
Steeles	+0.9
Knight	+0.7		+0.1
Explosion	+0.4		-0.0
When	+5.9		+0.9
Hahne	-11.4		-1.0

Fartsicle 83 Explosion 128
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Trees			+0.3
Fartsicle			-0.3
Ants	-0.2
Cactus	-1.6		-0.1
Steeles	-5.7		-0.1
Knight	-0.5		-0.2
Explosion	+10.1		+1.0
When	-1.0		-0.3
Hahne	-1.0		-0.3

Knight 91 Trees 118
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Trees	*In		+0.2
Fartsicle			-0.1
Ants	+0.3		-0.0
Feeny	+0.1		-0.0
Cactus	+4.2		+0.1
Steeles	+1.2
Knight	-8.8		-0.3
Explosion	+0.5		+0.0
When	+1.1		+0.0
Hahne	+1.5		+0.1

Ants 124 Steeles 124
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Trees			-0.0
Ants	+0.6		+0.0
Feeny			+0.2
Cactus	+0.7		+0.1
Steeles	+2.9		-0.1
Knight	-0.3
Explosion	-2.0		-0.1
When	*-0.1
Hahne	-1.9

Week of 11/27
When vs CactusIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Feeny	100.0InIn		4.24.44.5
Cactus	73.796.6In		6.05.34.8
Steeles	88.492.292.2		5.15.15.5
Knight	4.94.61.3		8.28.27.8
Explosion	9.76.56.6		8.38.37.9
When	22.2OutOut		7.47.88.8
Hahne	1.00.00.0		9.59.69.4

Explosion vs AntsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ants			3.63.33.0
Feeny			4.14.54.5
Cactus	87.191.491.4		5.35.25.3
Steeles	79.780.796.5		5.45.45.3
Knight			8.38.37.8
Explosion	23.515.6Out		7.17.88.5
When	6.69.09.0		8.58.28.2
Hahne	0.30.50.4		9.69.49.4

Feeny vs SteelesHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ants			3.33.13.1
Feeny	InIn100.0		3.74.55.1
Cactus	92.288.087.9		5.25.45.3
Steeles	82.991.4In		6.05.34.5
Knight	3.71.91.6
Explosion	11.911.32.6		8.08.08.1
When	9.07.07.5
Hahne	0.30.50.4

Knight vs FartsicleHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Trees			1.11.41.4
Fartsicle			2.01.71.6
Cactus	85.887.791.4		5.45.35.3
Steeles	88.191.691.5
Knight	12.33.7Out		7.18.08.2
Explosion	6.28.18.1		8.38.08.0
When	7.38.58.5		8.68.28.2
Hahne	0.30.40.4		9.69.49.4

Trees vs HahneHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Trees			1.21.71.9
Fartsicle			1.81.31.3
Ants			3.33.33.1
Cactus	90.590.588.4
Knight			7.98.38.4
Explosion			8.08.48.4
When	8.2*8.38.3		8.27.98.6
Hahne	OutOut2.1		9.79.18.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Jea Football Playoff Chances 2011

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