Deep Gresh Playoff Chances 2014

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs										Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

SHIE		9	-	4	.692	127	In			100												1.0	+0.09	1	.668	SHIE
AYER		8	-	5	.615	94	85.6	%	+42.5		34	28	23	14								3.2	+1.62	3	.601	AYER
PART		8	-	5	.615	242	85.5		-10.1		34	28	23	14								3.2	-0.68	4	.601	PART
LARS		8	-	5	.615	-33	79.8		+57.8		24	28	28	20								3.4	+1.88	2	.601	LARS
PFD		8	-	5	.615	160	49.1		-47.0		7	16	26	51								4.2	-1.40	6	.601	PFD
REED		7	-	6	.538	-63	Out		-43.1						100	0						6.0	-1.20	8	.534	REED
JDY		6	-	7	.462	-88	Out								0	75	25					7.2	+0.82	5	.466	JDY
TRAL		6	-	7	.462	-162	Out		-0.1							25	75					7.8	-1.00	7	.466	TRAL
WARN		5	-	8	.385	-2	Out											50	50			9.5	+0.76	9	.399	WARN
MMC		5	-	8	.385	-83	Out											50	50	0		9.5	+0.35	10	.399	MMC
BC		4	-	9	.308	-141	Out												0	57	43	11.4	+0.49	12	.332	BC
SHAP		4	-	9	.308	-51	Out													43	57	11.6	-1.72	11	.332	SHAP

Week of 11/24
TRAL 65 PART 98
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	+2.2
PART	+9.7		+0.5
LARS	-0.4
PFD	+1.0
REED	+2.2
TRAL	-14.7		-0.6

SHAP 87 AYER 111
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	+11.4		+0.4
PART	-1.5
LARS	-2.9
PFD	-1.1
REED	-3.1
TRAL	-2.9
MMC	Out
SHAP	Out		-0.4

MMC 87 REED 94
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	-3.2
PART	-1.5
LARS	-2.9
PFD	-1.1
REED	+11.4		+0.4
TRAL	-2.9
WARN	*Out
MMC	Out		-0.4
SHAP	Out

WARN 91 LARS 110
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	-2.5
PART	-1.5
LARS	+8.8		+0.4
PFD	-1.0
REED	-2.6
TRAL	-1.2
WARN	*Out		-0.4

BC 43 PFD 87
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	-1.1
PART	-0.6
LARS	-1.1
PFD	+5.0		+0.2
REED	-1.1
TRAL	-1.1
BC			-0.1

JDY 102 SHIE 81
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JDY			+0.9
WARN			-0.3
MMC			-0.3
SHAP			-0.3

Week of 12/1
AYER 87 REED 64
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	+35.4		+0.7
REED	-35.4		-0.7

LARS 131 PART 98
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	-7.0		-0.2
PART	-5.9		-0.5
LARS	+23.7		+0.7
PFD	-3.7		+0.2
REED	-7.0		-0.2

JDY 125 PFD 87
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	+1.8		+0.2
PART	+1.2		+0.2
LARS	+4.0
PFD	-8.8		-0.7
REED	+1.8		+0.2
JDY			+0.2

TRAL 47 WARN 151
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
LARS			+0.2
TRAL	Out		-0.3
WARN			+0.6
MMC			-0.3
SHAP			-0.3

BC 85 SHIE 59
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
SHIE			-0.4
PART			+0.2
PFD			+0.2
WARN			-0.2
BC			+0.4

SHAP 90 MMC 91
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
MMC			+0.6
SHAP			-0.6

Week of 12/8
SHIE vs PFDIf winner is:HomeAway
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	93.674.8		3.03.4
PART	93.674.8		3.03.4
LARS	90.265.9		3.23.7
PFD	22.684.5		4.73.5

LARS vs TRALHomeAway
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	81.891.9		3.42.9
PART	81.891.9		3.42.9
LARS	95.852.1		2.94.3
PFD	40.564.0		4.43.9
JDY			7.17.5
TRAL			7.97.5

WARN vs PARTHomeAway
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	91.383.0		2.83.3
PART	59.097.3		4.22.7
LARS	87.076.6		3.13.6
PFD	62.643.2		3.94.3
WARN			9.29.7
MMC			9.89.3

AYER vs MMCHomeAway
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
AYER	97.359.0		2.74.2
PART	83.091.3		3.32.8
LARS	76.687.0		3.63.1
PFD	43.262.6		4.33.9
WARN			9.39.8
MMC			9.79.2

BC vs JDYHomeAway
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JDY			7.57.1
TRAL			7.57.9
BC			11.111.6
SHAP			11.911.4

SHAP vs REEDHomeAway
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BC			11.811.3
SHAP			11.211.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Deep Gresh Playoff Chances 2014

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