Bab's Boys Playoff Chances 2012-2013

Beat Stephen 47-41, playoff odds up 11.8 to 99.97%

14 points 7-4

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Babs 47 Stephen 41	+9.2		+0.5
Chris 47 Brandon 46	+1.3		+0.1
Jake 48 Josh 49	+0.3		+0.1
Jason 74 Bill 40	+0.1
Kyle 88 Yarroch 50	-0.1
Zach 65 Darryl 56			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/26	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Babs vs Jake	InIn*+0.0-0.0		+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.5
Brandon vs Stephen	-0.0*-0.0InIn
Chris vs Josh			-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3
Zach vs Bill			-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Kyle vs Jason			+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Babs finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

18	2	-	0	In		0	15	73	12									6,042,517
16	1	-	1	In			0	29	71									7,676,768
14	0	-	2	99.8	%				100		0	0						2,379,481

Total:				100.0	%	0	6	41	53		0	0						16,098,766

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 11/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
Babs 47 Stephen 41	-0.5
Chris 47 Brandon 46	-0.1
Jake 48 Josh 49	-0.1
Zach 65 Darryl 56	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/26	100.0*	Lottery seed
Babs vs Jake	-0.3-0.3+0.4+0.5
Chris vs Josh	+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3
Zach vs Bill	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1
Kyle vs Jason	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

18	2	-	0	0	15	73	12
16	1	-	1		0	29	71
14	0	-	2				100		0	0

Total:				0	6	41	53		0	0