Gambler’s Cup League Playoff Chances 2011

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Hullabarbaloos	1	6	-	2	-	0	.750	60	86.4	%	+13.3	44	21	13	9	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		2.4	+0.95	1	.682	Hullabarbaloos
Colo. Connectio		6	-	3	-	0	.667	129	63.4		-20.7	14	16	17	16	13	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0		3.9	-1.32	2	.623	Colo. Connection
Legion of Doom		6	-	3	-	0	.667	94	55.5		+21.5	10	16	15	14	13	12	9	6	3	1	0	0	0		4.3	+1.45	6	.623	Legion of Doom
Neighbor		6	-	3	-	0	.667	84	51.6		+21.5	10	14	14	14	13	13	11	8	2	1	0	0			4.5	+1.44	7	.623	The Neighbor

Melaniacs		6	-	3	-	0	.667	7	49.7		+17.2	9	12	13	14	14	13	11	8	3	1	0	0	0		4.6	+1.22	3	.623	Melaniacs
Fighting Baculu		6	-	3	-	0	.667	56	47.3		+7.4	8	12	13	14	14	14	11	8	4	2	0	0	0		4.8	+0.62	9	.623	Fighting Baculum
Yo11		5	-	3	-	1	.611	27	32.5		-29.3	4	7	10	12	15	16	18	12	5	1	0	0	0		5.5	-1.51	4	.582	Yo11
Hollywood Dogs		5	-	4	-	0	.556	0	10.6		-21.6	1	2	3	5	8	12	16	21	19	12	2	0	0		7.4	-1.45	8	.541	Hollywood Dogs
Pokes		4	-	5	-	0	.444	3	1.7		-4.4	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	19	32	18	9	3	0	0	8.7	-0.40	5	.459	Pokes
bluebirds		4	-	5	-	0	.444	-57	1.2		-4.7	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	9	19	37	20	5	1	0	9.6	-0.93	10	.459	bluebirds
Throwbacks		3	-	6	-	0	.333	-76	0.0		-0.2		0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	18	35	28	9	1	11.1	-0.67	11	.377	The Throwbacks
Covingtron 5000	1	2	-	6	-	0	.250	-100	0.0		+0.0			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8	25	35	25	5	11.8	+0.71	14	.318	Covingtron 5000
BUCS		1	-	7	-	1	.167	-33	Out							0	0	0	0	0	1	7	24	40	28	12.9	+0.46	12	.253	The BUCS
Orcas		1	-	8	-	0	.111	-194	Out		-0.0						0	0	0	0	0	1	6	26	67	13.6	-0.57	13	.212	The Orcas

Week of 11/6
Yo11 45 Melaniacs 49
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	+0.3
Colo. Connectio	+0.2
Neighbor	+0.4
Melaniacs	+15.3		+1.0
Fighting Baculu	+0.9
Yo11	-18.1		-1.0
Hollywood Dogs	+0.8

Colo. Connectio 63 Neighbor 76
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	-0.9		+0.0
Colo. Connectio	-12.9		-0.9
Legion of Doom	+0.4
Neighbor	+16.2		+1.0
Melaniacs	-0.4
Fighting Baculu	-0.8
Yo11	-0.7
Hollywood Dogs	-0.7

Legion of Doom 68 Hollywood Dogs 52
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colo. Connectio	-0.3
Legion of Doom	+15.3		+1.0
Melaniacs	-0.2
Fighting Baculu	-0.2
Hollywood Dogs	-14.7		-1.0

Pokes 60 Hullabarbaloos 65
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	+9.4		+0.6
Colo. Connectio	-0.2		-0.0
Legion of Doom	-0.7
Neighbor	-0.9
Melaniacs	-1.0
Fighting Baculu	-1.0
Yo11	-0.7		-0.0
Hollywood Dogs	-0.8
Pokes	-3.8		-0.5
bluebirds			+0.0

Covingtron 5000 59 bluebirds 49
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	+0.5
Colo. Connectio	+0.6
Legion of Doom	+0.5
Neighbor	+0.3
Melaniacs	+0.4
Fighting Baculu	+0.8		+0.1
Yo11	+0.6
Hollywood Dogs	+0.5		+0.1
Pokes			+0.1
bluebirds	-4.2		-0.9
Covingtron 5000			+0.4
BUCS			-0.1
Orcas			-0.2

Orcas 50 Fighting Baculu 57
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	-0.7		-0.0
Colo. Connectio	-0.3
Legion of Doom	-0.5		-0.0
Neighbor	-0.5		-0.0
Melaniacs	-0.6		-0.0
Fighting Baculu	+4.1		+0.3
Yo11	-0.8		-0.0
Hollywood Dogs	-0.5		-0.0
Pokes	-0.2		-0.0
bluebirds			-0.0
Covingtron 5000			+0.0
BUCS			+0.0
Orcas	*Out		-0.1

Throwbacks 51 BUCS 98
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
bluebirds			+0.1
Throwbacks	-0.2		-0.5
BUCS			+0.4
Orcas			-0.1

Week of 11/13
Legion of Doom vs Fighting BaculuIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	*86.488.486.4		2.42.32.4
Legion of Doom	74.354.436.8		3.34.45.3
Melaniacs	48.748.350.6		4.64.74.5
Fighting Baculu	29.249.765.3		5.74.63.8

Hollywood Dogs vs MelaniacsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	87.288.185.8		2.32.32.4
Colo. Connectio	65.361.462.0		3.94.14.0
Legion of Doom	57.656.654.0		4.34.34.4
Neighbor	52.653.650.9		4.54.44.5
Melaniacs	30.748.063.2		5.74.63.8
Fighting Baculu	48.348.246.5
Yo11	34.031.431.5
Hollywood Dogs	20.99.73.3		6.47.28.0

Yo11 vs HullabarbaloosHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	73.991.494.4		3.22.11.9
Colo. Connectio	61.762.164.5		3.94.03.9
Legion of Doom	54.552.756.2		4.34.54.3
Neighbor	50.548.452.5		4.54.74.5
Melaniacs	48.750.250.3
Yo11	51.334.720.3		4.45.36.2

Colo. Connectio vs bluebirdsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	85.687.888.0		2.52.32.3
Colo. Connectio	74.055.443.0		3.44.35.0
Legion of Doom	54.055.158.4		4.44.44.2
Neighbor	50.051.254.8		4.64.54.3
Melaniacs	48.152.252.5		4.74.54.5
Fighting Baculu	45.850.550.1		4.84.64.7
Yo11	30.733.736.0		5.55.45.4
Hollywood Dogs	9.911.911.9		7.37.37.4
bluebirds	0.20.63.3		10.09.48.8

Orcas vs NeighborHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	88.688.386.0		2.32.32.4
Colo. Connectio	67.066.162.7		3.73.84.0
Legion of Doom	58.557.055.0		4.24.34.4
Neighbor	30.038.055.4		5.75.24.3
Melaniacs	52.7*49.949.2		4.54.64.6
Fighting Baculu	50.849.846.7		4.64.74.8
Yo11	36.535.931.8		5.35.35.5
Hollywood Dogs	12.111.410.3		7.27.37.4
BUCS			13.012.912.8
Orcas			13.213.413.6

Throwbacks vs PokesHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pokes	0.30.82.8		9.58.98.2
Throwbacks			10.511.111.5

Covingtron 5000 vs BUCSHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Covingtron 5000	0.0*0.0Out		11.412.012.4
BUCS			13.212.812.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Gambler’s Cup League Playoff Chances 2011

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