Minor League Football Playoff Chances 2010

										100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs										Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Gladiators	1	5	-	0	1.000	38	99.9	%	+0.2	99	0	0	0	0	1.0	+0.01	1	.850	Alabama Gladiators
Grizzlies		4	-	2	.667	13	97.6		+5.9	63	34	2	0	0	1.4	+0.52	4	.623	Boise Grizzlies
Tropics		4	-	2	.667	11	97.1		-2.4	36	61	3	0	0	1.7	-0.49	5	.623	Hawaii Tropics
Navy	1	3	-	2	.600	33	59.1		-4.8	0	59	25	10	5	2.6	-0.06	3	.570	Connecticut Navy
Polaires		3	-	3	.500	9	33.1		+22.0	0	33	46	16	6	2.9	+0.87	2	.500	Quebec Polaires
Kings	1	2	-	3	.400	-3	5.6		-2.7	0	6	16	35	43	4.2	-0.01	6	.430	Memphis Kings
Aces	1	2	-	3	.400	42	4.3		-3.6	1	4	73	22	0	3.2	-0.14	8	.430	Las Vegas Aces
Shockers		3	-	3	.500	5	2.3		-14.6	0	2	13	39	46	4.3	-0.82	7	.500	Louisville Shockers
Nightmare		2	-	4	.333	-27	1.0		+0.2	0	1	21	77	0	3.8	+0.16	9	.377	San Antonio Nightmare
Albuquerque		0	-	6	.000	-121	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	100	5.0	-0.06	10	.130	Albuquerque 47s

Wednesday, 1/6
Polaires 41 Shockers 37
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gladiators	+0.1
Navy	+2.5
Polaires	+10.8		+0.5
Kings	-0.5		+0.1
Shockers	-13.0		-0.6

Grizzlies 17 Tropics 14
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies	+5.8		+0.4
Tropics	-0.9		-0.3
Aces	-4.3
Nightmare	-0.5

Albuquerque 24 Nightmare 31
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies	-0.4
Aces	+0.1		-0.0
Nightmare	+0.3		+0.1
Albuquerque	Out		-0.1

Kings vs NavyIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Navy	38.639.170.870.9		3.13.12.42.3
Polaires	44.745.126.326.4
Kings	13.512.51.21.0		3.63.74.44.4
Shockers	3.33.31.91.8		4.44.44.24.2

Aces vs GladiatorsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gladiators	99.599.799.999.9
Grizzlies	94.794.897.998.0
Tropics	93.393.997.597.6
Aces	11.310.63.43.4		2.93.03.23.2
Shockers	2.72.52.32.3
Nightmare	0.70.71.11.1		3.93.93.73.7

Thursday, 1/7
Shockers vs PolairesIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Navy	67.567.450.650.8		2.62.62.72.7
Polaires	20.921.345.545.2		3.33.22.62.6
Kings	7.27.13.93.9		4.34.34.14.0
Shockers	4.64.30.10.1		3.93.94.74.7

Gladiators vs NavyHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gladiators	100.0100.099.599.4
Navy	55.055.277.376.8		2.72.72.32.3
Polaires	36.636.617.517.9		2.92.93.13.1
Kings	5.8*5.64.54.5		4.14.14.24.2
Shockers	2.62.61.21.3		4.34.34.44.4

Aces vs TropicsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies	96.095.998.398.3		1.21.21.51.5
Tropics	91.094.199.899.8		1.91.91.51.5
Aces	11.78.61.01.0		3.03.03.33.3
Nightmare	1.31.30.90.9		3.93.93.73.7

Albuquerque vs GrizzliesHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies	90.691.198.398.2		1.81.81.41.4
Tropics	97.797.7*97.097.0		1.41.41.71.7
Aces	9.08.63.93.9
Nightmare	2.72.60.90.9

Nightmare vs KingsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Grizzlies	96.896.998.298.2
Tropics	96.496.397.697.6
Navy	60.460.358.258.2
Polaires	34.134.132.132.3		2.92.93.03.0
Kings	3.03.07.87.6		4.44.43.93.9
Aces	4.74.74.04.0		3.33.33.13.1
Shockers	2.72.72.12.1		4.14.14.44.4
Nightmare	2.12.00.20.2		3.63.63.93.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Minor League Football Playoff Chances 2010

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