Rockin' The Natty Playoff Chances 2015-2016

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs										Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Addison Ferrell		8	-	2	.800	179.7	100.0	%	+0.0	53	0	46	1	0	0	0						1.9	-0.34	1	.845	Where the Wild Things Are
Brandon White		8	-	2	.800	152.7	100.0		+0.1	47	0	53	0	0	0	0						2.1	+0.41	2	.816	The Annexation of Puerto Rico
Leon Tsivin		6	-	4	.600	48.8	98.3		+41.7	0	94		1	2	2	1	1	0	0	0		2.2	+3.16	7	.643	Drago's Revenge
Dan Zibton		6	-	4	.600	-18.9	83.1		+20.7	0	0	1	44	22	16	9	6	2	0	0		5.1	+1.02	3	.442	Irish Fig Things
Pete Merkelz		5	-	5	.500	51.5	68.0		-14.6	0	5	0	19	21	22	16	10	4	2	0	0	5.7	-2.05	9	.656	Mobile, Agile, Hostile
Vivek Kuppusamy		5	-	5	.500	-25.8	58.0		-30.2			0	17	25	16	15	14	12	1	0	0	6.3	-1.35	4	.414	Organized Chaos

Adam Brashares		5	-	5	.500	-29.7	40.4		-31.7	0		0	12	14	14	16	27	14	3	0	0	6.8	-1.25	5	.408	Cleveland Superbowlers
Dan Ford		5	-	5	.500	28.8	32.0		+20.2	0	0	0	4	11	18	28	20	18	2	0	0	7.1	+1.13	6	.592	Honey Funchess Of Oats
Ben Huizenga		4	-	6	.400	-46	18.4		-5.3		1		2	5	11	14	18	41	8	2	0	8.0	-0.51	8	.368	Harbaugh City Harbaughs
Keith Morris		3	-	7	.300	-48.5	1.7		-0.9		0		0	0	1	2	5	5	53	20	13	10.2	-0.49	10	.353	Green Street Hooligans
Adam Lark		3	-	7	.300	-182.9	0.0		+0.0		0		0	0	0	0	0	3	25	66	5	10.7	+0.61	11	.145	Hyde Yo Kids Hyde Yo Wife
Nick Noel		2	-	8	.200	-109.7	0.0		-0.0						0	0	0	0	6	12	82	11.8	-0.33	12	.224	Blue Barracudas

Week of 11/15
Vivek Kuppusamy 34.4 Leon Tsivin 109.5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Leon Tsivin	+29.9		+1.7
Dan Zibton	-4.6
Pete Merkelz	-3.4		-0.7
Vivek Kuppusamy	-18.3		-0.8
Adam Brashares	-0.9
Dan Ford	-1.1
Ben Huizenga	-0.6
Keith Morris	-1.0

Adam Lark 104.9 Adam Brashares 80.7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Leon Tsivin	+3.8
Dan Zibton	+4.6		+0.2
Pete Merkelz	+3.0
Vivek Kuppusamy	+2.1		+0.2
Adam Brashares	-24.5		-1.0
Dan Ford	+4.0
Ben Huizenga	+6.1		+0.2
Keith Morris	+0.7
Adam Lark			+0.5
Nick Noel			-0.3

Dan Ford 91.6 Pete Merkelz 86.8
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Leon Tsivin	+3.5		+0.5
Dan Zibton	-0.2
Pete Merkelz	-16.0		-1.1
Vivek Kuppusamy	+0.5
Adam Brashares	-1.5
Dan Ford	+12.0		+0.7
Ben Huizenga	+1.0
Keith Morris	+0.8

Nick Noel 91.7 Dan Zibton 94.8
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Leon Tsivin	-1.8		-0.1
Dan Zibton	+9.3		+0.3
Pete Merkelz	-0.8
Vivek Kuppusamy	-1.0
Adam Brashares	-1.6
Dan Ford	-1.4
Ben Huizenga	-2.4		-0.1
Keith Morris	-0.3
Adam Lark			+0.1
Nick Noel	Out		-0.2

Brandon White 122.8 Ben Huizenga 69.2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Addison Ferrell			-0.1
Brandon White			+0.2
Leon Tsivin	+2.3		+0.1
Dan Zibton	+1.7		+0.1
Pete Merkelz	+0.9
Vivek Kuppusamy	+1.1
Adam Brashares	+1.5
Dan Ford	+0.5		+0.1
Ben Huizenga	-8.4		-0.4
Keith Morris	+0.3

Addison Ferrell 101.7 Keith Morris 85.7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Addison Ferrell			+0.1
Brandon White			-0.1
Leon Tsivin	+0.4		+0.0
Dan Zibton	+0.2
Pete Merkelz	+0.2
Dan Ford			+0.0
Keith Morris	-1.1		-0.1

Week of 11/22
Ben Huizenga vs Dan FordIf winner is:HomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brandon White	In*100.0
Pete Merkelz	70.567.0
Adam Brashares	39.340.9
Dan Ford	6.242.4		8.46.6
Ben Huizenga	43.58.3		6.78.5
Nick Noel	0.0Out

Nick Noel vs Vivek KuppusamyHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brandon White	In*100.0
Dan Zibton	86.481.7		5.05.2
Pete Merkelz	73.865.7		5.55.8
Vivek Kuppusamy	31.768.8		7.25.9
Adam Brashares	46.338.1		6.76.9
Dan Ford	37.429.8		6.97.2
Ben Huizenga	23.516.3		7.88.1
Adam Lark			10.910.7
Nick Noel	0.0Out		11.511.9

Adam Brashares vs Leon TsivinHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Leon Tsivin	94.199.9		2.72.0
Dan Zibton	79.884.3		5.25.1
Pete Merkelz	63.269.9		5.75.8
Vivek Kuppusamy	53.359.9		6.46.2
Adam Brashares	66.630.4		5.87.2
Dan Ford	27.333.8		7.37.0
Ben Huizenga	14.419.9		8.18.0

Pete Merkelz vs Brandon WhiteHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Addison Ferrell	100.0In		1.42.2
Brandon White	100.0In		2.61.8
Leon Tsivin	96.899.0		2.62.1
Dan Zibton	81.283.9		5.35.1
Pete Merkelz	89.858.6		4.66.2
Vivek Kuppusamy	54.559.6		6.46.2
Adam Brashares	37.641.7		7.06.8
Dan Ford	24.135.4		7.37.1
Ben Huizenga	15.019.8		8.17.9
Keith Morris	0.92.1		10.210.1

Dan Zibton vs Keith MorrisHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Addison Ferrell	*100.0In
Brandon White	100.0In
Dan Zibton	94.167.1		4.75.8
Pete Merkelz	66.270.7		5.85.6
Vivek Kuppusamy	55.961.1		6.36.1
Adam Brashares	37.744.4		6.96.8
Dan Ford	31.133.3
Ben Huizenga	16.820.7
Keith Morris	0.04.2		10.69.6
Adam Lark			10.610.9
Nick Noel			11.711.9

Adam Lark vs Addison FerrellHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Addison Ferrell	100.0In		2.71.9
Brandon White			1.42.1
Ben Huizenga			8.18.0
Keith Morris			10.510.2
Adam Lark	0.60.0		10.010.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Rockin' The Natty Playoff Chances 2015-2016

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