SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/11100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Philippines vs Bahrain+11.1-7.8-16.5
+11.6-7.6-17.8
+3.6-2.2-5.7
Yemen vs North Korea-0.1+0.8-0.6
-0.3+1.2-0.7
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tajikistan vs Jordan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lebanon vs Kuwait-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
India vs Oman-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Hong Kong vs Bhutan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Maldives vs Qatar-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bangladesh vs Kyrgyzstan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Afghanistan vs Syria-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Guam vs Turkmenistan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Malaysia vs Timor-Leste-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Laos vs Myanmar-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cambodia vs Singapore-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Philippines finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundQualified12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940Count
248-0-0InYes9910396,138
227-1-0InYes964001,904,117
217-0-1InYes901000003,277,527
206-2-0InYes8018200005,099,237
196-1-1InYes60317100010017,271,229
186-0-2100.0%100.0%33371961000400014,443,264
5-3-0InYes373918510001007,627,464
175-2-1100.0100.01430281551005000038,072,036
165-1-299.999.931121231672014300000062,418,793
4-4-0100.0100.04152626156105100006,967,106
154-3-199.799.70271622189212820000000045,466,339
5-0-397.797.7014111615921914510000200033,561,547
144-2-293.194.500027131699161472100400000109,458,501
3-5-098.699.0001513222297107310001003,975,511
134-1-350.163.900000151015111615931136200000000114,899,904
3-4-172.982.60001413191613151262052000000031,773,704
123-3-214.238.900001700151116157812941000200099,693,720
4-0-44.320.700001001261011610171583100810000044,233,991
2-6-036.861.9000324002714181344531000001,384,599
113-2-30.310.400000000261115111515104111510000000153,137,817
2-5-13.025.000300015162216111310510310000012,998,783
103-1-40.01.0000002000251012881615104100610000114,888,450
2-4-20.04.2000001800141016178712951000100049,851,170
1-7-00.614.5100032500261319145453100000270,020
92-3-3Out0.2000000026131410151611411051000099,667,378
3-0-5Out0.000000012702713161361181131000033,552,811
1-6-10.01.30003000141423151114126203100002,887,436
82-2-4Out0.0000004001371416910161362000109,456,600
1-5-2Out0.000000190015121816781173100012,995,329
0-8-0Out0.200320002715191346631022,490
72-1-5OutNo0000000028142817211682062,428,228
1-4-3Out0.00001000014131821017171151031,772,346
0-7-1Out0.000040027192031014126200269,975
61-3-4OutNo00000021201615242313345,469,662
2-0-6OutNo000001801514242617514,440,099
0-6-2OutNo00000419028172218821,384,074
51-2-5OutNo0000400141327331838,067,869
0-5-3OutNo000070015162829133,979,782
41-1-6OutNo010000313374617,268,986
0-4-4OutNo002000141638406,967,650
30-3-5OutNo000000425707,623,840
1-0-7OutNo0000323743,278,742
20-2-6OutNo0000111885,096,666
10-1-7OutNo004961,904,421
00-0-8OutNo0199396,249
Total:29.8%34.9%22223333222333332233333233333222333332221,472,001,600
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round
Updated Thursday, 2015-5-28 2:03 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)