"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/11100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Hong Kong vs Bhutan-9.9+0.8+21.3
-10.4+1.6+21.5
-3.1+0.6+6.2
Maldives vs Qatar-0.1+0.8-0.6
-0.3+1.2-0.7
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Malaysia vs Timor-Leste-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bangladesh vs Kyrgyzstan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lebanon vs Kuwait-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Yemen vs North Korea-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
India vs Oman-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Afghanistan vs Syria-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Guam vs Turkmenistan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Philippines vs Bahrain-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tajikistan vs Jordan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cambodia vs Singapore-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Laos vs Myanmar-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Bhutan finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundQualified12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940Count
248-0-0InYes10000396,138
227-1-0InYes964001,903,094
217-0-1InYes901000003,276,334
206-2-0InYes801820005,101,275
196-1-1InYes6031710001017,273,053
186-0-2100.0%100.0%323819610004000014,445,424
5-3-0InYes373918510001007,629,831
175-2-1100.0100.01430281551005000038,078,103
165-1-299.999.931121231672014300000062,426,667
4-4-0100.0100.04152626156105100006,969,672
154-3-199.799.70271622189212820000000045,463,972
5-0-397.797.70141116159219145100002000033,545,084
144-2-293.194.5000271316991614721004000000109,460,676
3-5-098.699.00015132222971073100010003,975,056
134-1-350.163.900000151015111615931136200000000114,893,971
3-4-172.982.600001413191613151262052000000031,764,587
123-3-214.238.9000017001511161578129410002000099,680,131
4-0-44.320.700001001261011610171593100810000044,237,944
2-6-036.762.00003230027141813445310000001,385,195
113-2-30.310.40000000026111511151510411151000000153,155,891
2-5-13.025.000300001516221611131051031000013,000,399
103-1-40.01.000000200025101288161510410061000114,874,933
2-4-20.04.20000018001410161787129520001000049,842,544
1-7-00.614.41003250026131814545310000269,142
92-3-3Out0.200000000261314101516114110510000099,693,291
3-0-5Out0.000000012702713161361181131000033,557,193
1-6-10.01.40003000141423151114126203100002,886,893
82-2-4Out0.0000004001371416910161362000109,451,248
1-5-2Out0.000000190015121817781173100012,995,896
0-8-0Out0.310003200027151914466310022,581
72-1-5OutNo000000028142817211682062,427,150
1-4-3Out0.0000100014131821017171151031,763,119
0-7-1Out0.000400027192031014126200269,948
61-3-4OutNo00000021201615242313345,464,176
2-0-6OutNo00001801514242617514,445,263
0-6-2OutNo00000419028172218821,385,450
51-2-5OutNo0000400141327331838,073,031
0-5-3OutNo000070015162829133,975,766
41-1-6OutNo0010000313374617,273,061
0-4-4OutNo0002000141638406,965,045
30-3-5OutNo000000425707,630,248
1-0-7OutNo00000323743,276,661
20-2-6OutNo000111885,097,147
10-1-7OutNo004961,903,868
00-0-8OutNo0199395,449
Total:29.8%34.9%22233333222333332233333233333222333332221,472,001,600
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round