How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/11100.0*Chance in next round100.0*Qualified100.0*Average seed
Tajikistan vs Jordan+11.1-7.8-16.5
+11.6-7.6-17.8
+3.6-2.2-5.7
Bangladesh vs Kyrgyzstan-0.1+0.8-0.6
-0.3+1.2-0.7
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Chinese Taipei vs Indonesia-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Palestine vs Saudi Arabia-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Malaysia vs Timor-Leste-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Cambodia vs Singapore-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Yemen vs North Korea-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Maldives vs Qatar-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Guam vs Turkmenistan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Laos vs Myanmar-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lebanon vs Kuwait-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Afghanistan vs Syria-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Hong Kong vs Bhutan-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Philippines vs Bahrain-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
India vs Oman-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Tajikistan finish out the group.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish group at seed
TPW-D-Lnext roundQualified12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940Count
248-0-0InYes9910395,640
227-1-0InYes964001,904,340
217-0-1InYes901000003,282,006
206-2-0InYes8018200005,100,485
196-1-1InYes6031710001017,278,452
186-0-2100.0%100.0%32381961000400014,444,472
5-3-0InYes373918510001007,623,563
175-2-1100.0100.01430281551005000038,083,508
165-1-299.999.931121231672014300000062,423,612
4-4-0100.0100.04152626156105100006,967,841
154-3-199.799.70271622189212820000000045,460,351
5-0-397.797.70141116159219145100002000033,541,133
144-2-293.194.5000271316991614721004000000109,443,903
3-5-098.699.0001513222297107310001003,975,317
134-1-350.163.90000151015111615931136200000000114,874,253
3-4-172.982.60000141319161315126205200000031,766,877
123-3-214.238.900017001511161578129410002000099,699,839
4-0-44.320.700001001261011610171583100810000044,237,357
2-6-036.862.0000324002714181344531000001,385,298
113-2-30.310.400000000261115111515104111510000000153,133,735
2-5-13.025.0003000015162216111310510310000012,994,345
103-1-40.01.000000200025101288161510410061000114,881,611
2-4-20.04.200001800141016178712952000100049,830,287
1-7-00.614.5100032500261319145453100000269,419
92-3-3Out0.200000000261314101516114110510000099,688,176
3-0-5Out0.000000012702713161361181131000033,552,670
1-6-10.01.30003000141423151114126203100002,884,193
82-2-4Out0.0000004001371416910161362000109,452,896
1-5-2Out0.000000190015121816781173100012,998,443
0-8-0Out0.20003200027151914456310022,283
72-1-5OutNo0000000028142817211682062,447,598
1-4-3Out0.00001000014131821017171151031,765,917
0-7-1Out0.0000400027192131015126200269,642
61-3-4OutNo00000021201615242313345,476,953
2-0-6OutNo00001801514242617514,450,593
0-6-2OutNo00000419028172218821,385,111
51-2-5OutNo0000400141327331838,079,520
0-5-3OutNo000070015162829133,977,955
41-1-6OutNo0010000313374617,273,821
0-4-4OutNo002000141638406,968,351
30-3-5OutNo00000425707,632,846
1-0-7OutNo00000323743,280,802
20-2-6OutNo000111885,095,162
10-1-7OutNo004961,905,166
00-0-8OutNo0199395,858
Total:29.8%34.9%22223333222333332233333233333222333332221,472,001,600
Points
Chance Will Make Next Round