Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Athletics 1047-956, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.003%
4-6   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Average seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.1
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Phillies-0.1+0.2
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1511-038.6%14331481210226,232
1410-14.7014254423359,845
139-20.2000218483101,093,891
128-30.0000224740011,137,740
117-40.00005913069,316,201
106-50.00001861300269,062,796
95-60.0000673300637,344,527
84-7Out004159000862,386,589
73-8Out017794000600,609,195
62-9Out0473212000217,799,871
51-10Out0334418410039,422,446
40-11Out0321342612303,048,487
Total:0.0%000000044523000002,711,507,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.4
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.0
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.0
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.0
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Phillies+0.3-1.0
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.0+0.2
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners-0.0+0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.0-0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1511-00016131354614200
1410-10013153429144100
139-20000312263020710
128-300000210273822100
117-4000032255172000
106-5000023641183000
95-600062637246100
84-7003153434121000
73-800182841193000
62-90003193631101000
51-10000521362792000
40-110041732291440
Total:0000000000000171116191915831100000