Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Rays 1156-764, playoff odds up 8.7 to 88.5%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +6.3
+0.2
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +1.1
+0.1
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.5
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.2
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox-5.6+5.1
-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.7+4.2
-0.0+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.2+2.0
-0.0+0.1
Braves vs Tigers+0.9-0.0
Marlins vs Angels+0.0-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In94674,743,666
1810-1100.0%5644000351,339,328
179-2100.017776000700,362,864
168-397.62662912000772,329,572
157-480.2027522155000519,004,223
146-543.7044002128700221,171,220
135-612.901307383670060,524,284
124-71.7020013493430010,575,220
113-80.10012157192001,154,828
102-90.00023244192075,119
91-10Out5264620302,664
80-11Out03274522300224,832
Total:88.5%1550231542000000002,711,507,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs