"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Giants 879-1017, playoff odds unchanged at 0%
1-9 .100
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Giants 1017 Padres 879 | *Out | -0.1 | ||
| Nationals 717 Royals 753 | +0.1 | |||
| Reds 785 Cubs 1368 | +0.0 | |||
| Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 | +0.0 | |||
| Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 | +0.0 | |||
| Braves 595 White Sox 1119 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Rangers vs Padres | -0.2+0.8 | |||
| Astros vs Reds | +0.0-0.2 | |||
| Orioles vs Rockies | +0.0-0.2 | |||
| Braves vs Tigers | -0.2+0.0 | |||
| Brewers vs Royals | -0.1+0.1 | |||
| Nationals vs Athletics | -0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 25 | 74 | 0 | 224,810 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 955 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 31,448 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 53 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 557,548 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 20 | 50 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 5,950,045 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 3 | 29 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 39,560,996 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 7 | 77 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167,022,138 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 1 | 48 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 448,706,491 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 11 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 756,473,184 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 768,130,645 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 426,026,162 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 98,823,398 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 2,711,507,820 | ||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Giants 1017 Padres 879 | +0.1 | |
| Nationals 717 Royals 753 | -0.0 | |
| Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Rangers vs Padres | +0.3-1.3 | |
| Orioles vs Rockies | -0.0+0.2 | |
| Astros vs Reds | -0.0+0.2 | |
| Braves vs Tigers | +0.2-0.0 | |
| Brewers vs Royals | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Rays vs Indians | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | 1 | 16 | 83 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 12 | ||||||||||||