"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Beat Athletics 1047-956, playoff odds down 0.4 to 4.9%
4-6 .400
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 | +2.5 | +0.7 | ||
| Marlins 970 Twins 846 | -1.0 | |||
| Rangers 961 Mets 1185 | -0.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 | -0.2 | |||
| Reds 785 Cubs 1368 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Giants 1017 Padres 879 | -0.2 | |||
| Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 | -0.1 | |||
| Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 | -0.1 | |||
| Nationals 717 Royals 753 | +0.1 | |||
| Braves 595 White Sox 1119 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Pirates vs Phillies | -2.6+2.6 | -0.6+0.6 | ||
| Marlins vs Angels | -1.0+1.0 | |||
| Mets vs White Sox | -0.6+0.6 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Cardinals vs Red Sox | -0.2+0.2 | |||
| Giants vs Mariners | -0.2+0.2 | |||
| Dodgers vs Cubs | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Astros vs Reds | +0.1-0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 15 | 11 | - | 0 | 99.5 | % | 57 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 466,857 | |||||||||||
| 14 | 10 | - | 1 | 92.6 | 19 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4,382,922 | ||||||||||
| 13 | 9 | - | 2 | 63.5 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21,924,855 | |||||||||
| 12 | 8 | - | 3 | 23.0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 65,790,000 | ||||||||
| 11 | 7 | - | 4 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131,569,072 | ||||||
| 10 | 6 | - | 5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 45 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184,193,598 | |||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184,198,292 | ||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 131,586,001 | ||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 65,789,143 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 21,930,518 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 33 | 4,383,404 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 466,558 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 4.9 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 816,681,220 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 | -1.5 | |
| Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Pirates vs Phillies | +1.5-1.5 | |
| Mets vs White Sox | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Brewers vs Royals | -0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 15 | 11 | - | 0 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 40 | 29 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 72 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||