Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Royals 717-753, playoff odds unchanged at 0.000001%
1-9 .100
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nationals 717 Royals 753 | -0.3 | |||
| Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 | -0.0 | |||
| Reds 785 Cubs 1368 | +0.0 | |||
| Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 | +0.0 | |||
| Giants 1017 Padres 879 | +0.0 | |||
| Braves 595 White Sox 1119 | +0.0 | |||
| Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nationals vs Athletics | +0.0Out | +0.5-0.5 | ||
| Astros vs Reds | +0.0-0.2 | |||
| Braves vs Tigers | -0.2+0.0 | |||
| Rangers vs Padres | +0.0-0.1 | |||
| Orioles vs Rockies | +0.0-0.2 | |||
| Brewers vs Royals | -0.1+0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 58 | 0 | 224,918 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 9 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 9,292 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 244,356 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 3,424,968 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 19 | 51 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 27,365,040 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 3 | 29 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 129,670,579 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 84 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 375,456,574 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | Out | 0 | 1 | 59 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 676,181,360 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | Out | 0 | 0 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 758,613,604 | ||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 30 | 10 | 515,193,422 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 58 | 193,870,910 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 3 | 97 | 31,252,797 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 2,711,507,820 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nationals 717 Royals 753 | +0.5 | |
| Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nationals vs Athletics | -0.9+0.9 | |
| Astros vs Reds | -0.0+0.2 | |
| Rays vs Indians | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Braves vs Tigers | +0.2-0.0 | |
| Orioles vs Rockies | -0.0+0.1 | |
| Brewers vs Royals | +0.1-0.0 | |
| Rangers vs Padres | -0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 40 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 45 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 29 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | ||||||||||||